Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Odds, Player Props and Picks for April 16

Steinbrenner Field rapidly turned into the new hitters’ paradise in Major League Baseball.

The Tampa Bay Rays and their opponents have combined to score at least nine runs in each of the last seven games at the temporary home of the American League East side. 

The midweek series with the Boston Red Sox has been particularly advantageous to over bettors. 

The Rays put up 16 runs on Monday and the Red Sox rebounded with a 7-4 victory on Tuesday. 

Wednesday’s pitching matchup between Sean Newcomb and Zack Littell will only further fuel the high-scoring trend in Tampa. 

Newcomb and Littell have a combined 0-5 record and each hurler owns an ERA over 4.90. 

Over 9 (-108)

A full week’s worth of high-scoring games have taken place at Steinbrenner Field during Tampa Bay’s current home stand. 

The Rays’ temporary home is one of the more wind-sensitive parks in the majors, and its dimensions are incredibly short in the corners. The left-field foul pole is 318 feet, and the right-field line is 314 feet. The wind on Wednesday is forecasted to blow out to right-center, per Swish Analytics.

Nine of the 14 games at Steinbrenner have had at least seven runs and eight of them have had at least nine runs. 

That’s as large of a sample size as you’ll get this early in the MLB campaign. 

Add in the brutal numbers Newcomb and Littell have recorded and you have the perfect concoction for another over to hit. 

Newcomb conceded at least six hits in each of his three starts. He hasn’t let up a home run yet, but 11 runs have been allowed with him on the mound. Only seven of them have been earned runs, but he’s still letting a ton of runners reach base.

Littell couldn’t keep the ball in the park in his last outing versus the Los Angeles Angels. He allowed four home runs and seven earned runs in that appearance. He’s conceded a total of 13 earned runs, 18 hits and five home runs. 

Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Jarren Duran enters Wednesday with a home run and a .333 batting average in nine at-bats versus Littell in his career.

The Boston leadoff man homered on Tuesday night and reached base safely in seven of his last nine games. He had two or more total bases in four games during that span.

Lefties are hitting .364 against Littell through three starts, a number worth keeping in mind not just for Duran, but for Rafael Devers, Triston Casas and Wilyer Abreu as well.

Given the offensive environment in Tampa, Duran will probably get five shots from the top spot in the lineup. With his history against Littell, it’s easy to see the over cashing in the first few innings. 

Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105)

A similar logic applies to betting on Yandy Diaz as it does for Duran. 

Diaz enters Wednesday on a five-game hitting streak in which he’s had four games with two or more total bases. 

The Rays leadoff man is far better against lefties. He owns a .333 batting average and 1.233 OPS against southpaws in 2024. A year ago, he hit .346 with a .923 OPS versus lefties. 

Newcomb’s been terrorized by right-handed batters, who have a .395 batting average against him this season. 

All of the numbers are perfect for Diaz to continue his hot run at the plate.

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