Free MLB Pick: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres: September 2nd 2009

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres
Free MLB Pick: Nationals vs. Padres Under 8 Runs (September 2nd 2009)
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Going with the under here as two decent pitchers go with two struggling offenses in a nice big ball park. Correia pitches for the Padres against the Nationals John Lannan in what will be a day start at 3:40 local time and 6:40 on the east coast.

Correia has not pitched better during the day (4.93ERA) but he goes up against a Nationals offense that is just depleted without Nyjer Morgan (0-5 since being out). They have scored a whopping total of 9 runs in their last 5 games while he has been out. Now Christian Guzman arguably their best pure hitter is going to be out for a couple of games. The Nats are hitting .220 and scoring 3.34 runs per 9 vs. RHP in their last 10 games. And the Padres bullpen has just been spectacular this year so I can easily see Correia pitching into the 7th of quality baseball and then the Padres bullpen closing this one out.

Lannan will go for the Nats and he’s no slouch with a 3.86 ERA during day starts this year. He has a solid career vs. the Padres over his career with 4 ER in 21 IP on 14H and 7 BB over his career. He had a great start in late July against the Padres going 8 innings giving up 5 hits and 1 ER. The Padres though have been hitting better as of late face a tough pitcher here today and at home they have really struggled vs. LHP. They own a .193 average and are scoring 2.93 runs per 9 innings at home this year. You read that stat an average under .200 for the year in their home ball park. Lannan has struggled as of late due to the long ball 3HR in his last 3 starts should feel comfortable pitching in San Diego the most friendly pitching park.

WAS is under 10-1 in Lannan’s last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in previous game, and they are under 20-7-2 in Lannan’s last 29 on 4 days rest. While SD is under 9-3 in their last 12 as a home favorite -110 to -150. The under is 23-7-3 in the last 33 meetings in SD… Take the Under.