Free MLB Pick: Chicago Cubs vs. Houston Astros: September 1st 2009

Chicago Cubs vs. Houston Astros
Free MLB Pick: Chicago Cubs -1.5 +118 (September 1st 2009)
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We are going with the Cubs on the run line with great value here today. Moehler has been pretty consistent and on the road he’s 5-3 with a 4.35 ERA, but vs. the Cubs it’s a totally different story with 3 starts this year and 9.2 IP with 15 ER. The Cubs have a collective .313 average vs. Moehler including Lee .412 w/3HR. To be honest the Astros have struggled to put up runs and although they scored 5 yesterday I think they face Wells in a tougher match up for them. Wells has yet to allow a run to the Astros in two starts this year vs. the Astros and the Astros are hitting .239 scoring 3.35 runs per 9 innings in their last 10 games. The Astros bullpen is 6.84 in their last 3 so advantage Cubs there too. 8 of the 9 Cubs wins over the Astros this year have come via more than 1 run and the Cubs are 9-1 in Wells’ last 10 as a favorite. I like Wells to bounce back from his last outing he was unable to locate his sinker so he threw some pitches he normally has not. Wells said he figured out his problems and should be back to his usual self here tonight.