Free MLB Pick: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: August 26th 2009

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Free MLB Pick: Over 9.5 Runs (August 26th 2009)
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Cincinnati and Milwaukee put up 14 runs last night, 12 before the game went to extra innings, and we should see more of the same tonight. The Reds had scored a total of six runs in a four-game span before putting up 12 runs over the last two games as the offense looks to be finally hitting against. As for the Brewers, they have averaged a healthy 6.8 rpg over their last five games. Aaron Harang was supposed to be in this spot but he is out for the season after going through an emergency appendectomy this past weekend. His spot will be taken by Kip Wells who is making his first start in over a year when he was with the Rockies. Wells has pitched out of the bullpen all season and he has been far from effective. He has a 5.91 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 26 appearances between Washington and Cincinnati. His last stint as a starting pitcher was not good as he put up a seven-spot in just one-third of an inning and his last six starts going back to 2007, he has posted an 11.03 ERA and 2.75 WHIP covering only 23.2 innings. Braden Looper has been hit or miss all season long. Only 11 of his 26 starts have been quality outings and that includes only five of his 14 starts at home. He is 11-6 on the season but that is a façade as he has a 4.95 ERA and 1.42 WHIP on the year. The reason for the lack of losses is due to solid run support as Milwaukee has given him 5.7 rpg on the entire season and that goes up in his more recent outings as the Brewers have plated 6.5 rpg over his last 11 outings with nine of those games going over the total which comes as no surprise. The ‘Over’ is 14-2 in the Brewers last 16 home games against a team with a losing record and the ‘Over’ is 5-1 in Looper’s last six starts against a team with a losing record. Looper is also on a 7-0 ‘Over’ run following a quality outing in his last start. 3* Over Cincinnati Reds/Milwaukee Brewers