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Cliff Lee and Jack Wilson: Big Deal

Tom Dubberke
Jul 29, 2009
Two more big trades so far today.

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The Cliff Lee Deal

The Indians sent Lee and 27-year-old, right-handed hitting outfielder Ben Francisco to the Phillies for youngsters Carlos Carrasco, Jason Donald, Lou Marson, and Jason Knapp.

All things considered, it looks like a better deal for the Phillies than the proposal that the Blue Jays turned down for Roy Halladay.ย  Mainly, the Phillies get to keep J.A. Happ, whoโ€™s pitched really well for them this year, while adding Lee.ย  Since this is a โ€œwin nowโ€ trade for a team already capable of doing just that, getting Lee without weakening the major league squad is great.

Lee has had a 2.37 ERA for the month of July, and given that heโ€™s a control pitcher going to a team that can pick it and score runs, he should win a lot of games in the next two months.ย  As a right-handed hitter with some pop, Francisco is also a useful bench player for a team looking to go deep into the post-season.

Iโ€™ve already recently commented on Carrasco and Donald, so I wonโ€™t do it again here.ย  Lou Marson is a 23-year-old catcher, who had a great season at AA Reading last year when he posted a .433 OBP.ย  Heโ€™s hit .295 with a .384 OBP at AAA Lehigh Valley this year.

Marsonโ€™s only real drawback offensively is his lack of power so far in his professional career.ย  However, heโ€™s young enough to develop in the next few years, and a catcher who gets on base the way he does at his age has real potential.

Jason Knapp was the Philliesโ€™ second round pick in the 2008 Draft (71st overall).ย  Heโ€™s got a good, live arm (111 Ks in 85.1 IP in the Sally League so far this year), but heโ€™s a long way from the majors.ย  Heโ€™s only 2-7 with a 4.01 ERA in Class A ball this year, so itโ€™s likely to be years before heโ€™s ready.

Reports are that no cash will be sent to Philly to pay for the new acquisitions.ย  This makes sense, since the Indians, who are listed with baseballโ€™s 15th highest payroll, while having a bad year in a small market, badly need to dump salary.

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The Jack Wilson Deal

The Pirates and Mariners swung a seven player deal that sends SS Jack Wilson and pitcher Ian Snell to the Mโ€™s in exchange for catcher Jeff Clement, shortstop Ronny Cedeno, and pitchers Aaron Pribanic, Brett Lorin and Nathan Adcock.

Clement was the No. 3 player selected in the 2005 Draft.ย  However, he turns 26 on August 21st and still hasnโ€™t established himself as a major league player.

Clement looked extremely promising in 2007 and early 2008, but his 203 AB trial with the Mโ€™s last year didnโ€™t go as hoped.ย  He hit only .227 with a .655 OPS, which while not terrible for a catcher, isnโ€™t good enough for a starter at the position.

Clement has been back at AAA Tacoma this year, and his .865 OPS there is solid, but itโ€™s nothing to write home about either.ย  At his age, youโ€™d kind of expect him to be over .900, what with playing in the Pacific Coast League and all.

26-year-old Ronny Cedeno has substantial major league experience, mostly for the Cubs, but he canโ€™t hit.ย  His .618 OPS in over a 1000 major league ABs pretty much says it all.

Pribanic is a 22-year-old right-hander with a 3.21 ERA in the Class Midwest League.ย  However, his strikeout numbers are not impressive for this level of the minors.

Brett Lorin is another 22-year-old right-hander pitching at Class A Clinton.ย  His ERA is 2.44, and he has 87 Kโ€™s in 88.2 IP, so heโ€™s a lot more promising than Pribanic.

Nathan Adcock is a 21-year-old right-hander who is currently overmatched at Class A+ High Desert in the California League.ย  He has a 5.29 ERA and lacks control.ย  He looked better last year in the Midwest League.

In short, the Pirates got five B-grade prospects for Jack Wilson and Ian Snell.ย  Wilson plays great defense, but heโ€™s overpaid for the offense he provides, and the Pirates were eager to unload Snell because he wasnโ€™t happy in Pittsburgh.

Snell is pitching great after six starts in AAA Indianapolis, with an 0.96 ERA and 47 Ks in 37.1 IP.ย  Heโ€™s 27 this year, and itโ€™s still really anybodyโ€™s guess whether heโ€™ll ever have a great season at the major league level.

The Pirates seem to make a lot of trades where they choose quantity of prospects over quality, apparently in the hope that if they get a lot of warm bodies a few of them will develop in major league stars, if only by the law of averages.ย  The problem is that the Pirates constantly seem to be in a rebuilding mode, but never quite manage to get rebuilt.