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Sad Panda: A Statistical Look at Pablo Sandoval's Road Woes

Bret Bledsoe
Jul 27, 2009

Attention, San Francisco Giants fans: The Kung Fu Panda seems to have a case of homesickness.

No, I'm not referring to his homeland of Venezuela; rather, I thinkย the portly, lovable third-sacker might be longing forย the friendly confinesย of AT&T Park.

Don't believe me? Well then, let us take a look at the numbers; after all, the stats don't lie (neither do Shakira's hips, for that matter).

For starters, here's a rundown ofย Pablo's (stellar, phenomenal, stupendous,ย whatever superlative you like) season, through July 27:

ย AB

ย Hย 

ย Rย 

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SO

ย BAย 

SLG

OPS

ย 347

112

42

28

3

15

58

26

55

.323

.550

.923

If you want to dig a little deeper, let's take a look atย Runs Created (A Bill James creation, clickย here for more info).

The followingย is a listย of the NLย leaders in RC:

1.ย ย Pujols - 103
2.ย ย Fielder -ย 91
3.ย  Utley -ย 90
4.ย  H. Ramirez -ย 82
4.ย ย Braun -ย 82
6.ย  Dunn -ย 79
7.ย  Victorino -ย 76
8.ย  Reynolds -ย 75
9.ย  Werth -ย 73
10.ย Hawpe - 72
10. Helton - 72
12. Sandoval - 71

Sandoval is in some elite company, but, onย the surface, it's not overly impressive.

However, let's take a look at the same list,ย but this time we checkย their percentage of their team's total RC:

1.ย ย Pujols -ย 21.4% -ย 1st
2.ย ย Fielder -ย 18.2% -ย  3rd
3.ย  Utley -ย 16.0%
4.ย  H. Ramirez -ย 17.5% -ย 4th
4.ย ย Braun -ย 16.4%
6.ย  Dunn -ย 16.3%
7.ย  Victorino -ย 13.5%
8.ย  Reynolds -ย 15.4
9.ย  Werth -ย 13.0%
10.ย Hawpe - 14.0%
10. Helton - 14.0%
12. Sandoval - 18.3% - 2nd

Tad bit more impressive, isn't it?

Pablo's obviously been a huge factor in the Giants' success this year, and thisย is quite deserving of praiseย (It's also a majorย indictment of the rest of the Giants lineup; the next highest RCย total behind Sandoval is a whoppingย 47, shared by Winn and Rowand).

Everything above, though, is to give you some perspectiveย on justย how dazzlingย the Panda's performance has been at the plateย this year...

Which makes it completely baffling to see how stark the difference is between his home and away stats.

Again, let's send this one over to the numbers department (home splits listed on top, away splits on the bottom).

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SO

AVG

SLG

OPS

159

25

62

13

3

9

34

12

23

.390

.679

1.119

188

17

50

15

0

6

24

14

32

.266

.441

.759

Obviously, Pablo has beenย underachieving when the Giants areย playing away from San Franciscoย (although he still does better thanย other everyday players in the Giants lineup...hmm).

Interestingly enough, this really hasn't been noticed or mentioned all that much in discussion aboutย Sandovalโ€”in fact, Iย didn't really realize the disparityย until I casually was browsing his statistics just a few days ago.

To me, this prompts the question: Could Pablo's lack of performance at the plate be aย contributing factorย of the Giant's abysmal road record (21-31, to be exact)ย this season?

My answer isย yes.

I amย is not saying thatย this is the main reason for our poor play on the road, but it certainly is a large issueโ€”one that is unsolvable by anyone but Pablo himself.

My usual assumption about poor road play is that it is due toย either theย unfamiliar park, hecklers,ย or anything else that falls into the category of "home field advantage"โ€”but Kung Fu Panda didn't have this sort of problem last year.

In fact, Sandoval road stats were better than his home stats last year (though in a smaller sample; click hereย for 2008 splits), so that would seem to invalidate most of the logical assumptions.

Do I have aย solution for the problem? No.

Do I even know theย cause? Again, No.

What I do know, however,ย is that the Giants will need their almost-All-Star third baseman to play better on the road if they want a shot at the postseason.

(Thanks to Baseball-Reference.com for mostย stats)