Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals Odds, Picks and Predictions: July 6, 2009

Free MLB Picks: Detroit Tigers -129 Odds
(Cajun Sports MLB Predictions | 10starpicks.com)

Comerica Park will be the site of a three-game set between the Detroit Tigers and the visiting Kansas City Royals.

Game one is set for Monday night with the first pitch at 7:05PM Eastern Time. Detroit will send right-hander Armando Galarraga to the bump with his 5-7 W/L record and ERA of 5.34 on the season. Galarraga is only 3-3 at home with an ERA of 5.44, but over his last three outings has received much better results going 2-0 W/L with an ERA of 4.41. The Tigers have won all three of those games.

He will be opposed by Royals right-hander Gil Meche who is 5-12 W/L with an ERA of 4.20 this season. Meche is 3-5 W/L on the highway with an ERA of 2.70 but has struggled over his last three trips to the hill going 0-3 W/L with an ERA of 9.42.

The Royals have found the road tough this season posting a record of 13-22 W/L (-6.7) while their opponent has been solid at home with a record of 23-11 W/L picking up +9.2 units for their backers.

Detroit is 8-0 W/L their last eight at home including 6-0 W/L when installed as a home favorite. When Galarraga takes the hill in the role of a favorite, the Tigers are 15-6 W/L and 5-1 W/L when he's favored -110 to -150.

Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Detroit win by 2.2 runs and our math model also favors the host and has them winning by almost three runs. So lay the chalk as the Tigers roll past an over-matched Royals team on Monday night at Comerica Park in Detroit. Get more baseball picks from this expert at handicappers picks.