Baseball Betting: Marlins vs. Giants Odds & Picks: July 6th 2009

Florida Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants o7.5 (-125) - Mon Jul 6 ‘09 10:15p
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Usually, when a game has a low posted total of 7.5, it is a pitching matchup of two studs. While Matt Cain of the San Francisco Giants may fit that billing here, Sean West of the Florida Marlins certainly does not, making the Over virtually an automatic play here at this number.

West is 3-2 with a pedestrian 4.06 ERA overall, and he recent performances have been even worse than that. He has just one Quality Start in his last four outings, putting up a 6.20 ERA with a disgusting 1.90 WHIP over those four starts. He is facing a San Francisco lineup that is actually putting up runs right now, averaging 5.60 runs over the last 10 games, and the Giants are surprising batting .304 vs. left-handed pitching at home over the entire year.

Granted, Cain is 9-2 and is among the league leaders with his 2.48 ERA. However, with this total posted so low, he should not need to give up more than a couple of runs to ensure this game goes Over, given the current form of West. Besides, it is not is if Cain is unable to throw in a clinker now and then, as he did two starts back when he allowed five earned runs in seven innings vs. the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Marlins are also hitting a hearty .299 vs. right handed pitching over the last 10 games, so we see no reason why these teams cannot score at least nine runs combined tonight.

MLB Free Pick: Marlins, Giants Over 7.5 (-125)