Baseball Betting: Mariners vs. Padres Odds & Picks: June 18th 2009

Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres o8.0 (-105) - Thu Jun 18th 2009 3:35p
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Now we realize that Petco Park is one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in baseball, but this posted total for this matinee between the Seattle Mariners and the San Diego Padres still seems low to us given this pitching matchup.

Young Joshua Geer is taking the stat for the Padres, and he has been awful thus far this year. Geer is 1-2 with a poor 6.14 ERA in nine starts, and pitching in this spacious stadium has not helped him much as he still has a 5.34 ERA at home. Moreover, he has just one Quality Start in his last six starts, posting a disgusting 7.44 ERA over those outings.

His opponent is Brandon Morrow, who is a reliever by trade and is making just his second start of the year. Morrow went only three innings in his first start of the year last Saturday, and he is 0-3 with a 5.91 ERA and a horrible 1.92 WHIP overall this season including his 18.1 innings of work out of the bullpen.

Sure, the Under is 23-6-2 in the last 31 Mariners games overall, but most of those games had much higher posted totals than the eight hung up here. Given the poor form of Geer and the lack of stamina for Morrow, we do see at least nine runs being scored in this contest.

MLB Free Pick: Mariners, Padres Over 8 (-105)