Baseball Betting: Reds vs. Royals Odds & Predictions: June 13th 2009

Cincinnati Reds vs. Kansas City Royals
Free Pick: Kansas City Royals -1.5 (170) - Sat Jun 13 ‘09 7:10p
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The Kansas City Royals took the series opener here 4-1 last night as the Cincinnati Reds offense continues to hibernate, and we see value in playing against the Reds on the Run Line until they start to hit.

The Reds are batting a pathetic .193 as a team over their last 10 games including .188 vs. right-handers, averaging just 3.00 runs during this span. That is good news for Royals starter Kyle Davies, who has been very inconsistent nut can be dominant on one of his good days. Given the current state of the Cincinnati offense, today could easily be one of those good days.

Bronson Arroyo has also been inconsistent for the Reds, although it appears he has turns things around with three Quality Starts in his last four outings. However, all three of those quality efforts came at home, and the lone non-quality outing came on the road at St. Louis, where he was touched up for five earned runs on seven hits with two walks in 5.1 innings. He is facing a Kansas City offense that is coming around scoring 16 runs the last three games.

We are not usually fans of playing home favorite on the Run Line, but as long as the Reds offense will remain non-existent, we see the Royals building at least a two-run lead over the first eight innings. We then trust closer Joakim Soria, who has allowed just one hit in his last three games, not to allow a meaningless run in the ninth.

MLB Free Pick: Royals -1.5 (+170)