Why the Orlando Magic Have a Slim-to-None Chance of Winning

Tom DeRiggiContributor IIJune 5, 2009

LOS ANGELES, CA - JUNE 04:  Kobe Bryant #24 of the Los Angeles Lakers reacts in the second half against the Orlando Magic in Game One of the 2009 NBA Finals at Staples Center on June 4, 2009 in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images)

I had to take a break for a few days after my week for the ages last week.  I believe I posted five articles last week, but hey hopefully one day I'll be writing every other day and getting paid for it.  Everyone can dream right? 

Now I'm back to give you a few reasons why I believe Orlando has a very slim to none chance to win the NBA finals.  So sit back, put your finger on the down arrow, and we'll go for an analytical ride.

1.  First reason why Orlando has a slim-none chance to win—You can not win an NBA championship living and dying by the three point line.  Do me a favor...check the last 20 NBA champions.  Then tell me which one of those teams relied heavily on the three-ball.

Don't worry I'll wait...

None of them.  The problem with the magic is that the three point shot is one of their top two weapons on offense, the other being Dwight Howard.  Sure they could knock down those threes against 6'1 Mo Williams and 6'1" Delonte West. 

Sure they could knock down those threes when Cleveland is doubling down on Dwight Howard and allowing themselves to rotate the ball to the open man, whether it be Pietrus, Turkoglu, Alston, or Lewis. 

But someone should tell Stan Van Gundy that shooting comes and goes in waves.  It's just the nature of statistics.  The Magic shot 47 percent from three in the Cleveland series.  They shot 36 percent in the regular season, so naturally they are going to come back to earth.  We saw this last night.  The Magic guards were getting good looks, but you're not always going to cash 47 percent of them.

2.  Second reason why the Magic have a slim-none chance to win--They have no size.  Now wait and hear me out because I'm sure your like well, D-Ho=7'0", Lewis/Hedo=6'10", Gortat=6'11".

They have no height in comparison to the Lakers.  Their are two forms of height.  There's the Dwight Howard/Andrew Bynum height, and then there is the Lamar Odom/Hedo/Lewis height.  The new style of big man is a guy who can step out and knock down the 15-18 footer, and sometimes even the three. 

The Magic really only have two post players.  And the one subs for the one who plays 40 minutes a game.  So in reality they have one post player and four swing men.

So when Phil Jackson trots out a Bynum, Gasol, Odom, Kobe, Fischer lineup...who is guarding the bigs?  Howard can not get in foul trouble so he stays on the passive Bynum.  Lewis can not guard Gasol in the post; Pau is too crafty for Rashard.  Odom could blow by Hedo Turkoglu every single time if he so choose to because Hedo Turkoglu plays defense like Billy Ho in White Men Can't Jump.

So unlike the previous series where Orlando had a tremendous matchup advantage, this series the Lakers clearly have an advantage over Orlando.

3.  The third and final reason why the Orlando Magic have a slim-none chance to win--A man by the name of Kobe Bryant plays on the Lakers.  If last night is any indication of how the series is going to be played, then we might as well just hand the trophy's to the Lakers right now. 

You think Kobe got pissed last year when his team lost in the finals?  This is the part where your sitting at your computer nodding your heads, Yes.

Kobe cares about being great.  I'm reading a book right now called, The Jordan Rules.  The book is about the 1990-91 season, and how Michael cared about winning so much to the point that he was considered rude and kind of a scumbag to the rest of his teammates. 

Michael challenged his teammates every day with verbal attacks and sometimes physical attacks in practice.  It seems unorthodox and unethical,  but in the long run, who is arguing with six championships?

The point I'm trying to make is, Jordan would do literally anything to win a championship.  Well, Kobe has officially reached that level.  Kobe's first three championships he was just feeding off the motivation of Shaq and Phil Jackson's competitiveness.  Being a young stud, he was still learning what that fire meant. 

Now Kobe is on his own and has developed his own competitiveness.  It's the closest intangible thing we've seen to Jordan's competitiveness since Michael's last championship. 

Kobe will not let his team lose this series.  It's just amazing to watch because if someone is out of line or confused, who is the first person to get in his face and instruct....not Phil Jackson.  It's Kobe.

Kobe has put that "Jordan-esque" fear into his teammates.  The fear that if they let him down he is going to let them have it.  And in my opinion, that fear is what drives the Lakers to be even better.

The Magic could be in for a quick NBA finals.  They have too many things going against them right now, and they have, maybe, the greatest Laker of all-time to overcome if they have any intention of actually winning that trophy. 

Final Prediction:  Lakers in five.  Kobe MVP Finals.  Kobe moves ahead of Magic and Mr. Clutch as the best Laker guard of all time.


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