Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

The total is on a 5-1 run when these teams get together, while the Giants are on a 4-1 ATS run against Green Bay. The Packers, meanwhile, are on an 0-4 slide both SU and ATS when installed as an underdog.

Point spread: Giants opened as 3-point favorites; the total was 43. (Line updates and Matchup report)

Odds Shark computer prediction: 25.6-14.2 Packers

Why the Packers can cover the spread

It may sound nuts, but third-stringer Scott Tolzien gives Green Bay a real chance to win in this game. Though he did throw two interceptions against the Eagles, he played well in place of Seneca Wallace, going 24 for 39 for 280 yards with a TD strike. With a week to prepare, he might be fine.

Why the Giants can cover the spread

Despite their 0-6 start to the season, the Giants are now just 1.5 games behind Dallas and Philadelphia in the NFC East, and just one back in the loss column. And New York can improve on their standing this week as Philadelphia gets a visit from Washington and Dallas is on a bye.

They are 4-1 ATS in five recent matchups with the Packers.

Smart Pick

The Giants' defensive unit has only allowed one touchdown over their past three games, and that came last time out when the Raiders got into the end zone on a short drive just two plays after New York fumbled the opening kickoff. Go with the Giants in this one.

Trends:

• The total has gone OVER in five of Green Bay's last six road games
• The total has gone OVER in five of NY Giants's last six home games
• NY Giants is 4-1 ATS in its last five games when playing Green Bay
• Packers 0-4 SU & ATS past four as an underdog

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark - follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.