NFL Picks Week 10: Underdogs Certain to Pull off Big Upsets

Even though we have a pretty good idea of how teams stack up after half of the NFL season, the league is always capable of surprises on a weekly basis.

In Week 9, the New York Jets showcased the idea that anyone can win on a given day when they defeated the New Orleans Saints. The Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers almost pulled off massive upsets as well, although they both fell short.

Still, there are a few teams who will finish off victories in Week 10 despite entering the weekend with low expectations. Here are the underdogs who will come away with upset wins.

Note: All spread info courtesy of Vegas Insider as of Nov. 4.

Buffalo Bills (+3.5) over Pittsburgh Steelers

After watching Jeff Tuel throw away a winnable game against the Kansas City Chiefs, the Bills received the best news possible from ESPN's Adam Schefter on Monday:

If quarterback E.J. Manuel is able to return to the field, he will bring balance to an offense that has done a good job of utilizing the run lately. C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson led the team to 241 rushing yards last game, and the unit now ranks sixth in the NFL at 145.8 rushing yards per game.

Meanwhile, the Steelers just got torched by the New England Patriots for 55 points and 610 total yards from scrimmage. Although Manuel is not quite Tom Brady, it is hard to imagine the Steelers fixing their flaws in one week.

With Mario Williams likely to be breathing down Ben Roethlisberger's neck all game, the Bills should be able to earn this road victory.

Baltimore Ravens (+1.5) over Cincinnati Bengals

Obviously, the Ravens did not look good in their loss to the Cleveland Browns. However, neither did the Bengals in a loss to the Miami Dolphins.

Andy Dalton had one of the worst games of his career on Thursday night, throwing three interceptions while taking a sack that led to a game-ending safety. Although not all of the turnovers were his fault, the inconsistency is his game is quite clear.

Additionally, the Bengals now have some serious problems to deal with defensively. With Rey Maualuga and Leon Hall already out, the team also lost All-Pro defensively tackle Geno Atkins for the season with a torn ACL.

The nonexistent Ravens run game will finally have a chance to get going against this weakened unit, and Joe Flacco will also have a chance to find his receivers in space.

Although Baltimore's playoff prospects appear to be in bad shape, a win in this contest will get the squad right back into the conversation.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3) over Miami Dolphins

While the Dolphins did end their four-game winning streak with a victory over the Bengals, the problems that had been dooming them did not go away.

Not only is Ryan Tannehill constantly under pressure, but the defense cannot stop the run. Giovani Bernard certainly proved that last point with this run:

After Buccaneers running back Mike James rushed for 158 yards against the Seattle Seahawks, he could be in line for an even bigger day against the Dolphins. He will also be helped by Mike Glennon, who is coming off his most efficient day as an NFL quarterback. 

If the Tampa Bay defense can continue forcing turnovers, this team can get its first win of the year.

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