Craig's Monday Free Winner and Breakdown: Reds at Marlins

Rough day yesterday as Craig's NBA top 2 plays split 1-1.

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Craig's free play is in the National League today between the Cincinnati Reds and Florida Marlins.

Records

• Cincinnati Reds: 13-11 (9-4 Away); Aaron Harang 2-3 (3.09 ERA)
• Florida Marlins: 14-11 (5-4 Home); Josh Johnson 2-0 (2.60 ERA)

Betting Trends

• Reds are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.
• Reds are 4-1 in their last five road games.
• Marlins are 3-10 in their last 13 games overall.
• Marlins are 1-7 in their last eight games vs. right-handed starters.

Harang and the Reds are great on the road and Florida is average at home at best. With the exception of two starts, Harang has been very good and has a ton of experience.

If you take away the hot start by Florida, where they beat up on the bottom-feeders of the league, they are way overbet so far. I love this play, especially with the value in this game.

The Reds keep up the hot streak on the road and Florida stays cold as of late.

SCORE: CIN 6, FLA 0

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