Tigers-Indians: Odds and Picks for May 1, 2009

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians
MLB Pick: Cleveland Indians (150)
Friday, May 1, 2009, 7:05 p.m. ET—MLB Baseball Odds
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The Cleveland Indians have won the last seven straight head-to-head meetings with the Detroit Tigers, including a three-game sweep here in Detroit, and at this nice price, they are worth an investment to keep that streak going.

The Indians have been rather erratic at 8-14 so far, but they have not had trouble scoring runs, averaging 5.32 runs per game. This is virtually identical to the Tigers average of 5.33 runs per contest.

Sure, it is a bit of a concern to have Carl Pavano on the mound, but he did suddenly toss a gem two starts back, limiting the mighty Yankees to just one run and four hits in six innings, and if he continues his current pattern of alternating good and bad starts, he is in line for a good one on Friday. Plus, the fact that the Tigers have never faced Pavano before should work to his advantage.

Now, we are big fans of Detroit starter Armando Galarraga, and he is certainly off to a great start at 3-0 with a 1.85 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 24 strikeouts in 24.1 innings. However, the Indians were one of the few teams to get to him last season, as he lost his last two starts against Cleveland while allowing six earned runs and a rather alarming four home runs in 14.2 innings.

If the Tribe can continue that power surge against Galarraga and get into a Detroit bullpen that has a poor 5.17 ERA, they can easily pull off the upset at a price tonight.

MLB Free Pick: Indians +150