2013 NFL Mock Draft: Current Projections for Every First-Round Selection
Well, free agency has certainly made filling out a mock draft a very interesting proposition in the past two days.
With a bevy of moves and teams making major splashes, my mock draft certainly looks a whole lot different today. And hey, that's what makes the NFL offseason so much fun, right?
I don't doubt there are more surprises to comeโI even projected a trade, though I'm sure you can guess who is involved in thatโbut for now, this is how I see the draft playing out.ย
1. Kansas City Chiefs:ย Lukeย Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M
ย The Chiefs are a team that will look a lotย differentย in 2013. New quarterback Alex Smithย will be heading the attack, and the offensive line will have some turnover withย Eric Winston releasedย andย Branden Albert given the franchise tag. I would be shocked if new coach Andy Reid doesn't solidify the trenches withย Lukeย Joeckel.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars:ย Jarvis Jones,ย OLB, Georgiaย
The Jaguars need playmakers, plain and simple, and there isn't a bigger defensive playmaker in this draft than Jones, who will be a great fit in Gus Bradley's defense. Ignore all of that spinal stenosis businessโJones is going to be a stud.
3. Oakland Raiders: Sharrifย Floyd,ย DT, Floridaย
Oakland needs to improve in the trenches. Sharrif Floyd could end up being a player similar to Geno Atkins. This is a great match.
4. Philadelphia Eagles:ย Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michiganย ย
There are so many directions the Eagles could go with this pick, and it will help to set the rest of the first-round board. They could go after Dee Milliner after cutting Nnamdi Asomugha and allowing Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie to walk.ย
This pick could be an outside linebacker like Dion Jordan orย Ezekielย Ansah, or a defensive lineman likeย Starย Lotulelei.ย But the more I look at it, the more I believe the Eagles are going to build through the trenches, and won't let Eric Fisher get past them here.
Whether he moves to right tackle or they bump Jason Peters out to the right, the Eagles could actually have one of the strongest lines in the league if they add Fisher, move Todd Herremans back inside to guard and get Peters and center Jason Kelce back healthy.
5. Detroit Lions:ย Dee Milliner, CB, Alabamaย
For a long time this has seemed to be a pretty obvious pick. It still is.
6.ย Cleveland Browns:ย Dion Jordan, OLB, Oregonย
Wait, didn't the Browns sign Paul Kruger and Quentin Groves in free agency? They sure did, but Groves is a rotation guy and the Browns should target the best player on the board. Dion Jordan is an athletic freak and will bring a lot of speed to this defense.
7. Arizona Cardinals:ย Geno Smith, QB, West Virginiaย
If either Joeckel or Fisher are on the board, that will be the pick. But seeing as they won't be, the Cardinals will go ahead and draft the quarterback they desperately need.
8. Buffalo Bills: Matt Barkley, QB, USCย
Once the Bills dropped Ryan Fitzpatrick, it became pretty obvious the team was going to target a quarterback with a first-round pick. With Smith off the board, I believe they will draft Matt Barkley.
Say what you want about Barkley, but he likely would have been the third quarterback off the board last season. Sure, his 2012 was disappointing, but do you really think he'll drop into the second round?
No way. The Bills could always wait and go after a player like Ryan Nassib, but I think Barkley's experience and excellent production prior to 2012 will make him the pick at No. 8.
9. New York Jets: Ezekielย Ansah, BYU, DE/OLBย
With Smith and Barkley off the board, the Jets will instead upgrade the pass rush with the freakishly athletic Ansah.
10. Tennessee Titans:ย Bjoernย Werner, DE, Florida State
Afterย signing Andy Levitre, the team must focus on improving its pass rush. Werner is a nice fit for the Titans.
11. San Diego Chargers: Lane Johnson, LT, Oklahoma
He's Philip Rivers, and he approves this selection.
12. Miami Dolphins:ย Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida Stateย
After addressing wide receiver in free agency byย signing Mike Wallace, the Dolphins can address other positions. While guard is also a big need, I think the Dolphins will add the best cornerback left on the board and snag Rhodes.
13. New York Jets (from Tampa Bay):ย Chanceย Warmack,ย OG, Alabamaย ย ย
Yes, I'm predicting that the Jets will trade Darrelle Revis to the Bucs and land their first-round pick (and a bunch of other compensation I won't even bother to guess). It isn't as crazy as it sounds. The Jets will then gladly fill a major need at guard with one of the best players available in this draft, period.
14. Carolina Panthers:ย Starย Lotulelei,ย DT, Utah
Unless the heart condition is career-threateningโand it doesn't appear as though it will even be an issueโI don't seeย Lotuleleiย dropping past the Panthers.
Lotulelei is the most versatile defensive lineman in this draft, and could play either nose tackle or defensive end in a 3-4 and both techniques in a 4-3. He's an incredible steal at this point in the draftโfrom a talent perspective, he could still be the top player selectedโand he fills a major need for the Panthers.
This pick makes too much sense not to happen. Well, ifย Lotulelei is available here, that is.
15. New Orleans Saints:ย Barkeviousย Mingo, DE/OLB, LSUย ย
The Saints will be thrilled that Mingo is on the board here. He'll seriously upgrade the team's outside linebacker position in the 3-4 defense.
16. St. Louis Rams:ย Cordarrelleย Patterson, WR, Tennessee ย
With Danny Amendola unlikely to return, adding a weapon out wide to stretch the defense and make plays for Sam Bradford is a must. The combination ofย Cordarrelleย Patterson and recently-signed Jared Cook will give defensive coordinators nightmares.
17. Pittsburgh Steelers:ย Alecย Ogletree, LB, Georgiaย
The Steelers always manage to get great value at their draft. Ogletree may have some character issues, but the Steelers willย straightenย him out and get the most of his immense talent.
18. Dallas Cowboys:ย D.J.ย Fluker, OT, Alabama
The Cowboys shouldn't hesitate to upgrade the right tackle position. Luckily for them, Fluker falls right into their laps.
19. New York Giants:ย Sheldon Richardson,ย DT, Missouri
Yes, the Giants didย recently sign Cullen Jenkins, but Richardson is a three-down tackle and a very, very good value at this point in the draft. The Giants will gladly solidify in the trenches and nab him.
20. Chicago Bears:ย Jonathan Cooper, G, North Carolinaย
Afterย signing tackle Jermon Bushrodย in free agency, the team will continue to upgrade the offensive line with Cooper, who is truly a steal at No. 20.
21. Cincinnati Bengals:ย Damontreย Moore, DE, Texas A&Mย ย
Here's another steal. Moore's disappointing combine will see him drop, especially as teams decide he isn't a fit for a 3-4 scheme, but the Bengals will gladly take him to improve the pass rush in their 4-3 defense.
22. St. Louis Rams (via Redskins):ย Kennyย Vaccaro, S, Texasย
After adding the top wide receiver on the board, the Rams will turn their attention to defending the pass and add the top free safety on the board, Kenny Vaccaro. The secondary will be a strength for the Rams in 2013.
23. Minnesota Vikings:ย Tavonย Austin, WR, West Virginiaย
ย Withย Percyย Harvinย traded to the Seattle Seahawks, the Vikings waste little time finding his replacement.
24. Indianapolis Colts:ย Johnthanย Banks, CB, Mississippi Stateย
Banks dropped down some boards after failing to run well at the combine, but he's a long, proven corner and a great value for the Colts at this point.
25. Minnesota Vikings (from Seattle): Johnathanย Jenkins,ย DT, Georgia
Received in theย Harvinย tradeย from Seattle, the Vikings will add some girth in the trenches with Jenkins.
26. Green Bay Packers:ย Jesse Williams,ย DT, Alabamaย
The Packers need to improve on the defensive line. Williams can play nose tackleโand he's a bigย body that will plug gaps in the running gameโallowing the team to play B.J. Raji at different spots on the line.ย
27. Houston Texans:ย Keenan Allen, WR, Californiaย
The Texans desperately need to add a solid weapon opposite of Andre Johnson. They find one in Allen.
28. Denver Broncos:ย Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State
Do you think Broncos fans even care who the team drafts after signing Wes Welker in free agency? In all seriousness, though, the Broncos need some help on the defensive line, and Hankins will fill in nicely at tackle.
29. New England Patriots:ย Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington
Without question, the biggest need in New England is cornerback, and Trufant is an exciting talent.
30. Atlanta Falcons:ย Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama
Tony Gonzalez is returning, and the Falcons really need to address the running back position. With their pick of the litter at No. 30, the Falcons will add the bruising Lacy and roll out the league's most balanced offense.
31. San Francisco 49ers:ย Eric Reid, S, LSU
With Dashonย Goldson signing in Tampa Bay, free safety becomes a major need. Eric Reid is a nice value here and fills an obvious need for the team.
32. Baltimore Ravens:ย Mantiย Te'o, Notre Dame, LBย ย
No pressure, Manti Te'o, all you have to do is try and replace Ray Lewisย andย Dannell Ellerbeย for the Ravens. Have fun with that.
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