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The Lost Art of the HOLD

Peter Schiller
Apr 7, 2009

Itโ€™s time to give the set-up men their own statistic again. Letโ€™s reinstate the Major League Hold. After all, ESPN still lists it in their box scores.

Seriously though, something needs to be done, statistically speaking, to differentiate a set-up man from a specialist (in just to face one batter). In some cases, a Hold can be even more important than a save (in my opinion).

Look at it this way, what situation would you rather have your best reliever pitch in? A ninth inning against a teamโ€™s 7-8-9 hitters or in the seventh or eighth inning of a close game with the 3-4-5 hitters due up? Which scenario is more important?

Unless youโ€™re facing the 2008 (donโ€™t laugh, wait until it gets warmer) Tigers, Indians, or Yankees; Iโ€™d rather bring in my best RP to face the 3-4-5 hitters and then throw my second- or third-best RP for ninth-inning clean up duty.

By now, some of you might be asking, โ€œWhat on Godโ€™s green earth is a Hold anyway?โ€. Well, according to Baseball Prospectus:

โ€œA Hold is credited any time a relief pitcher enters a game in a Save Situation, records at least one out, and leaves the game never having relinquished the lead.โ€ (as found in their Glossary; also seen as โ€œHOLDโ€, โ€œHโ€ or โ€œHldโ€).

Others, after reading that definition, might then be led to ask, โ€œOk, not I know what a HOLD is, but can you clarify what a save opportunity is while youโ€™re at it?โ€ Sure, but this time weโ€™ll look to ESPNโ€™s MLB Statistics Glossary which states:

โ€œA Save opportunity is when a pitcher 1) enters the game with a lead of three or fewer runs and pitches at least one inning, 2) enters the game with the potential tying run on base, at bat, or on deck, or 3) pitches three or more innings with a lead and is credited with a save by the official scorer.โ€

Does that help? Good! Now letโ€™s move on.

This is where guys like San Diegoโ€™s Heath Bell, the Dodgerโ€™s Jonathan Broxton, Bostonโ€™s Hideki Okajima, the Dโ€™Backโ€™s Brandon Lyon, Washingtonโ€™s Jon Rauch and the Indians' Rafael Betancourt stand out above the rest. This will probably mean higher salaries for these men, but it may just be worth it. They may start getting close to โ€œcloserโ€ type money if this happens.

Another option, written about by ESPNโ€™s Jason Stark last year entitled, โ€œTime to amend the save statโ€ (look for it in his archives, Here) would call for the tweaking of the Hold and calling it a STOP, but I tend to like calling it a Hold.

I also do not agree with most of what Mr. Stark writes in this article, but it did get me thinking on the topic, which is a good thing. I do, however, think that the Hold stat, as it is currently, could be improved.

Another good piece, this time written on the โ€œSave,โ€ also led to me writing this article. โ€œEvolving the Save Ruleโ€ by then-Baseball Prospectus author David Pinto was written back on Aug. 8, 2007, in his weekly spot called, โ€œThe Big Picture.โ€

David Pintoโ€™s Baseball Prospectus archives can be found by clicking Here. He now writes periodically for The Sporting News Online, Here as well as on his own blog, Baseball Musings.

You can read more from Peter Schiller at his blog, Baseball Reflections.