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Atlanta Braves, an Even More In-Depth Projection

Cameron Britt
Feb 21, 2009

I've had a little bit of writer's block with the lack of news and, therefore, lack of items to start a discussion around.

So today, I decided to put out my extremely in-depth projections for the 2009 Atlanta Braves. I will include the potential make-up of all four parts (lineup, front five, bullpen, and bench) and the stats I could see them attaining.

25-Man Roster

Lineup and Potential Stats (vs. RHP lineup, but I will include the platoon together)

1) L CF Josh Anderson/Jordan Schaferย ย  .284ย  11 HRย  67 RBI (combined)

2) R SS Yunel Escobarย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  .297ย  14 HRย  74 RBI

3) S 3B Chipper Jonesย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  .348ย  21 HRย  94 RBI

4) Lย  Cย  Brian McCannย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  .301ย  28 HRย  104 RBI

5) R RF Jeff Francoeurย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  .263ย  21 HRย  98 RBI

6) L 2B Kelly Johnsonย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  .278ย  18 HRย  81 RBI

7) L 1B Casey Kotchmanย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  .284ย  13 HRย  76 RBI

8) L/R LF Brandon Jones/Matt Diazย ย ย ย ย ย ย  .292ย  25 HRย  85 RBI (combined)

*Schafer and Anderson are NOT a platoon, this is a prediction of Jordan coming up midseason.

Front Five and Potential Stats

1) R Derek Loweย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  15-9ย ย  3.56 ERAย  143 K

2) R Jair Jurrjensย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  14-7ย ย  3.44 ERAย  194 K

3) R Javier Vazquezย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  12-10ย  3.98 ERAย  214 K

4) R Kenshin Kawakmiย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  10-7ย ย ย ย  3.87 ERAย  173 K

5) L/R Tom Glavine/Tommy Hansonย ย ย ย ย ย ย  11-11ย  4.07ย  ERAย  158 K (combined)

*The No. 5 spot is predicting Glavine goes down with injury and Tommy Hanson being called up to take over.

Bullpen and Potential Stats

LRP R Jorge Campillo ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  3-7ย  3.76 ERAย  83 Kย  23 App

MRP R Blaine Boyerย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  6-5ย  3.23 ERAย  74 Kย  82 App

LOOGY L Boone Loganย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  3-4ย  3.89 ERAย  35 Kย  75 App

MRP R Manny Acostaย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  5-4ย  3.12 ERAย  75 Kย  80 App

SU R Peter Moylanย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  3-3ย  2.76 ERAย  65 Kย  74 App

SU R Rafael Sorianoย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  4-4ย  3.45 ERAย  79 Kย  84 App

CL L Mike Gonzalezย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  4-1ย  3.21 ERAย  48 Kย  41 Saves

*LOOGY is a LH Specialist

As Brett said in the comments, the Bullpen arms all having under a three ERA may be too optimistic, but if I had to change them, it'd be two: Jorg Campillo and Boone Logan.

Bench NO STATS (no way to be accurate with these b/c unknown appearances)

OFย  Matt Diaz/Brandon Jones

C David Ross

UTIL Omar Infante

INF Martin Prado

PHS Greg Norton

Final Stats

90-72 (if my calculations are correct)

Team ERA: 3.42

Team K Tot: 1335 (maybe a bit lofty)

Team HR Tot: 151+Bench total

Team Run Tot: 679+Bench+Unearned runs

Let the debate begin. Tell me what I got wrong and right, and I'll issue you my feedback.