2009 New Year's Day College Football Bowl Games

HAPPY NEW YEAR!!!

We’re taking the easy route out today—a lot of these bowl games turn out to be mismatches—it’s just hard at times to settle on who or why:

From outright class superiority to jittery staff (read choke in big games) to the prolonged time off from season finale affecting timing, team cohesion, even knocking out key players (physical, moral or legal reasons), even to the case of "styles make fights" (to borrow from the boxing lexicon..regardless of who is the superior contender).

Today’s outcomes depend on which team imposes itself on the other one—in most cases, our perceived better contenders are either not a scoring juggernaut or are known for totally shutting out foes, or at least will need to score plenty of points to win.

The perceived lesser foes tend to score a lot (or will need to in order to have a chance)—when they’re able to contend for the win that is.

SO….. we find ourselves in a situation of having a pick in each of today’s five bowl games, which can be protected by taking the OVER… when our choice wins, it may still totally overwhelm and/or grind out an Over cover.

IF our choice loses, it will most likely be due to not having been able to contain the opposing offense. Additionally, turnovers will likely play a big part in most of these games…and weather should not interfere…giving a potential helping hand to the Overs.

11 AM

OUTBACK BOWL

Iowa—buy points or take an alternate line so as to lay less than a field goal.
Protection: South Carolina Money Line 3/2--9/5 and/or Over 42

1PM

GATOR BOWL

Nebraska
Combo Protection & Possible Additional Profit: Over 56

CAPITAL 1 BOWL

Georgia

Buy points or take an alternate line so as to lay less than a touchdown.
Combo Protection & Possible Additional Profit: Over 56

BET STRUCTURE

Okie dokie: let’s take 8 UNITS and do ½ unit 2-Team Round Robins, 16 in total. Let’s use Iowa (laying under 3 points), South Carolina ML & the Over 42 each hooked to Nebraska plus points, its Over 56, Georgia(laying under a TD) & its Over 56…12 total bets; then criss-cross Nebraska, Georgia, and the two Overs.

We’ll post tonight’s other games and bets later…. tune in during the halftimes for additional bets / hedges / reverses / etc.