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NFL Week 12 Picks: Picking This Week's Surest Bets

John RozumNov 24, 2011

If you're not really into just watching football games, betting on the games can add some extra excitement. With that in mind, there are always some favorites to consider.

Here are three teams that are sure bets for Week 12.

Click the link for a full view of the Week 12 NFL Line

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Pittsburgh Steelers, minus-10.5 (at Chiefs)

The Steelers come into Kansas City and don't only need a win, they need a win to try to keep pace with Baltimore. Despite the fact that Pittsburgh got swept by the Ravens, it's still possible for them to beat out Balty with a better overall record.

That being said, the Chiefs were able to move the ball against New England last week. However, they only scored three points. Against the Steelers, Kansas City won't move the ball as easily. Pittsburgh rank No. 3 and No. 6 against the pass and rush, respectively.

In addition, Pittsburgh has an effective ground game that takes second-fiddle to their Top-10 passing offense. Meanwhile, the Chiefs defense is susceptible to anyone with an average ground game and potent pass offense.

Expect Blitzburgh to run away with this in the second half.

Take the Steelers against the spread

Pittsburgh 31, Kansas City 7

Atlanta Falcons, minus-9.5 (vs. Vikings)

Minnesota have a solid rush defense. However, that's mainly because everyone throws the ball all over their incredibly weak pass defense. The Falcons will do the same, but only at first, as Atlanta has a decent rushing attack as well.

When the Vikings have the ball, we will see a weak pass offense go against Atlanta's weak pass defense. In turn, it's two solid teams smashing in the trenches as well.

Regardless of whether RB Adrian Peterson plays, he won't be 100 percent and the Falcons will stack the box against him. It gives them their best odds to win, since forcing rookie QB Christian Ponder to win a shootout with Matt Ryan won't happen.

Take the Falcons against the spread

Atlanta 35, Vikings 17

Tennessee Titans, minus-3 (vs. Buccaneers)

Sure, it's not appealing, but the Tennessee Titans will win by at least one touchdown this week. For starters, RB Chris Johnson has been getting somewhat back on track as of late and Tampa Bay has arguably the NFL's worst defense.

What's more, the Titans have a much better pass defense than that of Green Bay. QB Josh Freeman won't be nearly as effective. Additionally, Tampa plays bad on the road whereas Tennessee plays rather well at home.

With wins over the Ravens and Broncos in Nashville, Tennessee won't have much of a problem in stopping Tampa from moving the ball. Their better-than-advertised passing game will get the best of the Bucs' defense and they will methodically control the game throughout.

Take the Titans against the spread

Tennessee 27, Tampa Bay 20

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