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NFL Week 11 Picks: Picking This Week's Surest Bets

John RozumNov 17, 2011

For those that are into betting on NFL games, Week 11 is a great week to go with some solid favorites. Not only are the lines appealing but the teams are just as much, if not more.

That said, here are three favorites to bet on this weekend.

Click the link for a full view of the NFL Week 11 Line. Note: FAVORITES are in ALL CAPS

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GREEN BAY PACKERS vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers -14

Tampa Bay's defense ranks No. 28 and No. 29 against the pass and rush, respectively, and they allow a combined total of more than 400 yards per game.

Offensively, they struggle to run the ball and their passing game is mediocre at best. Green Bay's offense will shred them easily and the defense will force a few turnovers. As evidenced by the Monday night game, the Packers have improved defensively and their rush defense is stout.

Now include special teams and the field position battle insanely favors the cheese. The Buccaneers will be lucky to stay within three TDs let alone two.

Packers 42, Buccaneers 17

DALLAS COWBOYS at Washington Redskins -7.5

The game won't be too high scoring and although the spread won't be covered by Washington, it's a little too low anyway. Personally this spread should be around 10-12 points because the Redskins have no idea how to play offense.

Dallas' defense will blank them all game and only allow some points in garbage time. Prior to that, however, the Cowboys offense will control the clock and move the ball effectively with a balanced offense.

RB DeMarco Murray has taken defenses by storm and it doesn't matter who Tony Romo's WRs are, because the passing game still ranks in the Top 10. The Redskins may have a respectable defense, but it's nowhere near good enough to win games with an offense that starts no threatening players.

Cowboys 21, Redskins 7

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS vs Arizona Cardinals -9.5

Visiting Candlestick Park this week are the Arizona Cardinals who put up their two-game win streak against San Fran's seven-game win streak.

Unfortunately for the Cardinals, the 49ers have been that team; they always seem to have their number. This game won't be any different and RB Frank Gore will roll over the NFL's No. 21 ranked rush defense.

In turn, that will easily setup Alex Smith in the Frisco passing attack to exploit the youth and inexperience of rookie CB Patrick Peterson along with and Arizona pass D that allows over 250 yards per game. 

Cardinals don't move the ball either on offense as WR Larry Fitzgerald gets doubled all game and QB John Skelton is under duress from a solid pass rush. Plus, it's not like the Card's have a run game to fall back on either.

49ers 34, Cardinals 13

Be sure to check out John on Bleacher Report. 

You can follow him on Twitter @ Sportswriter27.

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