NFL Picks: Which Week 11 Favorites Are Destined to Fail?
As insane as it is that Week 11 of the NFL regular season is upon us, it's not crazy to see which favorites are going to flop on Sunday.
Every week features a bevy of favorites, and while some are locks, others will make you think long and hard about them, which means you need to back away.
The best lines are the ones you know the underdogs are just going to come through. Such is the case this week, as a few of them are getting too many points.
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Here are three favorites certain to bust in Week 11.
Green Bay Packers -14
The Packers will host the slumping Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, and even though they're on a three-game losing streak, the Bucs aren't a bad team.
Josh Freeman will have to step up big time in this game, but knowing that just about any team can move the ball up and down the field on the Packers defense is encouraging.
Green Bay ranks No. 31 in the NFL against the pass, which puts pressure on Freeman to deliver in the clutch. Tampa Bay knows it has to bring its A-game against the 9-0 defending champs, and they'll be ready to play.
Of course, the Bucs defense is atrocious, and Aaron Rodgers is going to shred them to pieces to extend the Packers win streak. However, Freeman and the Bucs will do enough to keep it closer than a 14-point deficit.
Prediction: Packers 38, Buccaneers 27
Miami Dolphins -2
Somehow the Dolphins are on a two-game win streak, but unfortunately, that will come to an end on Sunday when they host the Buffalo Bills. It's a rarity that Miami is favored, especially at home, where the Dolphins haven't won back-to-back games since 2009.
Sure, the Bills have been on a drop as recently, but the Dolphins are a much easier team to face than Buffalo's previous two opponents.
The Dolphins' sub-par defense will falter at home, and Ryan Fitzpatrick will bounce back with a strong performance. Also, look for Fred Jackson to keep trucking and have a monster performance.
Prediction: Bills 24, Dolphins 17
Baltimore Ravens -7
The Ravens will host the Cincinnati Bengals, which means Andy Dalton will have to prove himself in a hostile environment.
The Bengals showed last week that they can hang with the top teams in the division, and it wouldn't surprise me at all if the Bengals pull the upset here.
I still have the Ravens winning because their defense is so dominant, ranking as the top overall defense in the NFL. However, the Bengals will keep this a close game.
A.J. Green is a game-time decision, and his presence on the field will have a great impact if he is able to play. Without him, the Bengals will be in a tough place, but Dalton will play well and keep the Bengals in the game.
Prediction: Ravens 20, Bengals 14

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