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Tackling the Fantasy Football Anomaly Known as Tim Tebow

Dan LaLonde
Nov 15, 2011

Wheneverย someone asks you to explain fantasy football toย them,ย you can do so by simply stating that anyone who is good in real life,ย is good in fantasy.ย ย 

Itโ€™s a generalization, but it really is true.ย  Any QB who throwsย for 4,000 yards in real life is good in fantasy.ย  Any RB or WR who hasย over 1,200 yards is good in fantasy.ย  Any defense that is tough to score on is good in fantasy.ย ย 

So how,ย then, do you explainย thatย Timย Tebowย isย valuableย in fantasyย football?ย ย 

Our own eyes tell us it canโ€™t be possible.ย  His delivery of the football is so awkward and painful looking it has lead many to question whether or not he is actually left-handed.ย 

He overthrows open receivers 25 yards downfieldย on one play, thenย he short-hopsย a receiver 10 yards in front of himย on the next.ย ย His lack of arm strength is extremely perplexing, given the fact that he is built like a Roman gladiator.ย ย 

But, heย simplyย canโ€™t throw a football.ย ย 

If Timย Tebowย showed up at your annual Turkeyย Bowl next Thursdayย on Thanksgiving, and you didnโ€™t knowย whoย he was,ย oddsย are he wouldnโ€™t even be chosen as the QB forย yourย game.ย  Linebacker?ย  Sure.ย  Tight End?ย  Probably.ย  But chances are there is at least oneย personย in your immediate family who can throw a football further, and looks more natural doing it,ย than Timย Tebow.ย ย 

So, how good is he in fantasy football?ย ย 

Since relieving Kyle Orton in the fourth quarter of Denverโ€™s Week 5 loss to San Diego,ย Tebowย has averagedย a whopping 17.6 fantasy points; good for fifth amongย QBsย on a per-game average this season.ย ย 

Hereโ€™s aย list ofย QBsย he currently ranks ahead of:ย ย 

Eli Manning: 17.4ย 

Michael Vick: 16.7ย 

Tonyย Romo: 16.2ย 

Philip Rivers: 14.5ย ย 

Thatโ€™s an impressive list, butย where doย hisย points come from?ย ย 

Everybody knows about his legs, and he is rushing for an impressive 44.8 yards per game sinceย taking over for Orton;ย second only to Michael Vick (59.4 YPG) amongย QBs.ย ย 

Those yards are nice, but they only account for fourย fantasyย points-per-game, so naturally he must be running for a bunch of TDs, right?ย  Wrong.ย  His two rushing TDs are five less than Cam Newton and one less than Mark Sanchez.ย  Heโ€™s tied with noted human statuesย Mattย Schaubย and Matt Ryan. ย ย 

So,ย obviously he must be throwing for more yards than we would expect, right?ย  Wrong again.ย Hisย 121 yards passing rank dead last in the league since he took over in Week 5. ย 

His 105 passing attempts?ย ย Yup,ย last.ย ย His 47 completions?ย ย 32 out of 32. ย  ย 

OK, one last time then: How is he doing it? ย 

Believe it or not,ย heโ€™sย putting up the pointsย byย performing the one basic task that you ask a QB to do: Throw TDs. ย 

Since taking over for Kyle Orton,ย Tebowย has thrown seven touchdown passes.ย  Hereโ€™s a list of aย notableย players with fewer passing scoresย over the same period: ย 

Joeย Flacco: 3ย 

Michael Vick: 5ย 

Jay Cutler: 6ย 

Cam Newton: 6ย 

Mattย Hasselbeck: 6ย ย 

Maybe that isnโ€™t a โ€œwhoโ€™s-whoโ€ list of eliteย QBs, but ESPN doesnโ€™t lead offย SportsCenterย on a nightly basis talking about how theyย throw like pregnant women either. ย 

Something else that gets lost in the shuffle when talking aboutย Tebow: He doesnโ€™t really turn the ball over.ย  With the exception of his indescribably bad Week 8 game against Detroit,ย where he threw one INT and fumbled three times, he has only had one turnover in the other four games in which he has played significant minutes this season. ย 

Literally every โ€œbig nameโ€ QB in the NFL,ย with the exception of The Video Game Cheatย Codeย Known As Aaron Rodgersย andย Tonyย Romoย (each with two)ย hasย more turnovers thanย Tebowโ€™sย five since Week 5. ย 

Just to name a few: ย 

Matt Stafford: 6ย 

Ben Roethlisberger: 6ย 

Drewย Brees: 7ย 

Tom Brady: 8ย 

Eli Manning: 9ย 

Michael Vick: 9ย 

Philip Rivers: 15ย 

Each turnover deducts two points, so whileย Tebowย has lost 10 points (or two points per game) over those fiveย weeks; Philip Rivers is costing his owners six per game.ย ย 

He may not succeed in the most conventional wayโ€”and thatโ€™s part of the reasonย why he receives so much flackโ€”but the factย of the matter is,ย he is succeeding;ย both in fantasy and in winning NFL games.ย 

Whetherย your fantasy QB throws for a flashy 300 yards and two TDs, orย ifย he only managesย 100 yardsย through the airย with one TDย while rushing for 60 yards and a second TD, is inconsequential; because at the end of the day, you still have the same 20 points to show for it.ย ย 

As fantasy owners,ย the one thing we have in common withย Tebowย (in addition to looking incredibly awkward when we try to throw a football left-handed) is that neither of usย areย awarded style-points; weย only get wins or losses.ย ย 

He may never throw for 4,000 yards in a season or make a Pro Bowl, but in the world of fantasy football, itโ€™s time to accept Timย Tebowย for what he is, as it pertains to us: A top-flight option at QB.