NFL Picks Week 10: 6 Survivor Pool Locks to Target

If you are still alive in your 2011 NFL survivor pool, chances are you are pretty good at what you do, but there is still ton of time left to screw up.

They don't call it a survivor pool because it's easy and anybody can do it.

If you can make it past Week 10, your chances of success grow exponentially with every second that passes.

This is an important week, so make sure you get it right.

Depending on your strategy, either it's time to start taking chances on questionable teams, or you need an easy bet on a favorite.

Here is little bit of a mixed bag of locks you're going to want to target:

6. Green Bay Packers

If you're in need of a stress-free weekend, the Packers are the way to go.

They've got the 2-6 Minnesota Vikings coming into town for Monday Night Football, and there is no way Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are going to lose their 8-0 undefeated record to their rival at home, on national television.

Offensively the Vikings won't be able to hang with a Packers team that is hanging up 34.4 points per game, and the Packers defense should be able to focus in on Adrian Peterson and make the passing game beat them.

I don't see Christian Ponder lighting it up in his first trip to Lambeau, thus we've got an easy win.

5. Baltimore Ravens

Joe Flacco and the Ravens offense needs to get on track, and the Seahawks give up 110.4 yards per game on the ground and 242.4 through the air.

That should be enough for the Ravens offense to squeak by, but the game will be won by the defense.

The 'Hawks are only averaging 296.1 yards per game. The Ravens give up an average of 279.4 per game.

To put it simply, there is no way Tarvaris Jackson, Charlie Whitehurst or anybody the Seahawks put under center will be able to move the ball against Ray Lewis, Ed Reed and friends.

4. Kansas City Chiefs

You probably haven't had the guts to use the Chiefs yet this season. If there was a weekend to do it, this would be it.

They are coming off a demoralizing 31-3 loss to the formerly winless Miami Dolphins at home.

The Chiefs have another chance against a bad team at home with the Broncos coming into town.

Tim Tebow is inconsistent, and he's going to have a hard time looking good and accurate with Tamba Hali and his six sacks on the season chasing him around.

You're not going to want to take the Chiefs many more times this year, so now is a good time to take the shot. 

3. Carolina Panthers

Eventually you're going to have to take a shot, and the Panthers just may be a shot worth taking in Week 10.

They've got a matchup against a Titans team that gives up about 358 yards per game, which is ironically the same yardage the Panthers allow.

The difference in this game comes down to offense, where Cam Newton and the Panthers have a huge advantage, especially in the running game.

The Titans have only run for 70 yards a game compared to 129.6 from the Panthers.

2. Miami Dolphins

This is the only week I would suggest trusting the Dolphins, so this is surely the week to use them in your survivor pool.

The 'Skins are a mess offensively, and that's saying a lot considering they are playing the 1-7 Dolphins.

The Dolphins are better than the Redskins in total yards per game, rushing yards per game, points per game and time of possession.

Also factor in that they just demolished the Kansas City Chiefs 31-3 on the road, and have the home field advantage plus that momentum.

This won't happen again, so jump on it while you have the shot.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars

This is the one game you can feel safe picking the Jaguars, which makes them the best survivor pool option this week.

The Indianapolis Colts are going to have a hard time winning a game this season, let alone this game in particular.

The Jaguars should be able to run all over a Colts defense that gives up 406.1 yards per game and 31.4 points.