NFL Picks Week 9: Dolphins Will Earn First Victory vs. Chiefs

The Miami Dolphins will win their first game of the 2011 NFL season this week against the Kansas City Chiefs.

On the road in Week 8, the Dolphins had a chance to upset the New York Giants, but came up short in a 20-17 defeat.

Where the Dolphins will beat the Chiefs this week is on the ground. 

Miami running back Reggie Bush rushed for 103 yards last week in his best performance of the season.

Bush proved he could be a capable starting running back in Daniel Thomas' absence, and even was a factor in the passing game.

The Chiefs defense is allowing 122.1 yards per game on the ground, and have had trouble stopping the run all season.

Quarterback Matt Moore hasn't played terribly for the Dolphins since starting at quarterback, and against a Chiefs defense that has a league-low nine sacks, he will have enough time to sit in the pocket and find the open receiver.

The Chiefs have also allowed 251.4 yards through the air this season, so the chances that Moore could have a very good game are pretty high.

With the Chiefs defense giving up a ton of yards per game, the Dolphins offense will score enough points to win this game.

The Chiefs have won four straight games, but they haven't looked unstoppable during that stretch.

The Dolphins haven't won a game this season, but they've rarely been blown out of games.

They will find a way to finish in the fourth quarter this week and beat the Chiefs and avoid the possibility of gong 0-16.