WhatIfSports College Football Power Rankings: Week 16

Jake WestrichDec 12, 2008

CFB Power Rankings

Dec. 7, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up 100 times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team.

All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
1.	Oklahoma Sooners	-	99.1	61.2	11.3
2.	Florida Gators	-	98.5	59.1	8.2
3.	USC Trojans	-	96.5	50.9	7.8
4.	Texas Longhorns	-	95.4	50.3	13.5
5.	Penn State Nittany Lions	-	94.8	47.4	10.1
6.	Boise State Broncos	+1	94.0	44.1	10.5
7.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	+3	91.4	47.4	19.1
8.	TCU Horned Frogs	+3	91.3	37.0	8.6
9.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-1	89.6	44.8	17.5
10.	Alabama Crimson Tide	-4	89.3	36.5	10.5
11.	Utah Utes	+2	87.2	38.1	13.6
12.	Ohio State Buckeyes	-	87.1	36.0	11.6
13.	Georgia Bulldogs	+3	86.0	41.6	18.8
14.	Mississippi Rebels	+5	84.3	36.4	15.8
15.	Iowa Hawkeyes	+3	82.0	34.3	14.0
16.	Missouri Tigers	-2	81.7	40.7	20.9
17.	Cincinnati Bearcats	-	80.1	31.5	15.4
18.	California Golden Bears	+10	79.7	31.9	14.7
19.	Brigham Young Cougars	+2	79.5	35.1	19.0
20.	GA Tech Yellow Jackets	-5	78.1	33.0	15.6
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
21.	Oregon Ducks	+1	77.9	35.7	18.2
22.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	+1	77.3	38.2	23.5
23.	Ball State Cardinals	-14	77.2	38.2	22.1
24.	North Carolina Tar Heels	+8	74.9	30.7	18.1
25.	W. Virginia Mountaineers	+8	74.6	29.9	15.6
26.	Florida State Seminoles	-2	73.9	30.1	16.6
27.	Clemson Tigers	-1	73.3	25.5	14.9
28.	Arizona Wildcats	+11	72.7	29.0	17.7
29.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	+16	71.3	33.4	22.8
30.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	-10	70.8	37.2	26.2
31.	Houston Cougars	-1	69.8	35.2	25.0
32.	Air Force Falcons	-1	69.5	29.6	20.4
33.	Oregon State Beavers	-6	69.2	29.3	19.7
34.	Nevada Wolf Pack	+1	68.6	32.5	22.5
35.	Pittsburgh Panthers	+2	67.8	26.5	18.4
36.	Wisconsin Badgers	+2	66.1	28.2	20.5
37.	Navy Midshipmen	+6	65.1	30.4	22.4
38.	Kansas Jayhawks	-13	64.5	28.5	22.4
39.	South Florida Bulls	-10	64.2	27.3	20.7
40.	Virginia Tech Hokies	+10	62.6	21.7	16.5
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
41.	Baylor Bears	-5	62.6	29.1	23.0
42.	Rice Owls	-1	62.5	32.5	26.9
43.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-1	61.4	28.4	23.1
44.	Troy Trojans	+3	61.1	24.6	19.6
45.	W. Michigan Broncos	-1	59.3	27.3	22.8
46.	East Carolina Pirates	+15	58.9	22.0	19.2
47.	Maryland Terrapins	+1	58.6	23.7	20.8
48.	LSU Tigers	+7	57.7	23.6	20.7
49.	Boston College Eagles	-15	57.7	19.3	16.9
50.	WF Demon Deacons	+1	57.5	19.0	16.8
51.	Michigan State Spartans	-5	57.4	22.2	20.0
52.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	+1	56.1	22.4	20.2
53.	Buffalo Bulls	+17	56.0	26.0	24.1
54.	Northwestern Wildcats	-2	53.3	19.6	19.3
55.	Connecticut Huskies	-15	52.2	20.5	20.3
56.	Arkansas St. Indians	-7	52.0	24.7	24.6
57.	Northern Illinois Huskies	+2	51.9	22.7	23.2
58.	C. Michigan Chippewas	+6	50.8	24.9	25.7
59.	S. Carolina Gamecocks	-5	49.9	18.9	20.9
60.	S. Miss Golden Eagles	+5	49.0	23.5	25.1
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
61.	NC St. Wolfpack	+1	45.8	20.5	23.4
62.	Fresno State Bulldogs	-6	45.6	25.8	29.2
63.	Tennessee Volunteers	-3	44.4	15.7	20.2
64.	Kansas State Wildcats	+2	43.9	25.1	29.7
65.	Stanford Cardinal	-2	43.4	22.8	27.4
66.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-9	42.8	17.0	22.4
67.	Bowling Green Falcons	+8	42.7	19.1	24.1
68.	LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns	+4	42.3	26.4	31.1
69.	Minn. Golden Gophers	-1	40.6	19.4	25.6
70.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	+8	40.0	19.0	25.9
71.	Arkansas Razorbacks	-4	39.5	20.7	27.4
72.	Akron Zips	-3	39.3	21.4	27.9
73.	Hawaii Warriors	+1	38.7	18.3	25.4
74.	Ohio Bobcats	+12	38.2	18.4	26.1
75.	Arizona St. Sun Devils	-17	38.0	17.5	24.9
76.	Virginia Cavaliers	+8	36.3	13.7	22.3
77.	Memphis Tigers	+2	36.1	20.9	29.1
78.	Florida Atlantic Owls	-5	35.9	20.5	28.8
79.	Colorado St. Rams	-3	35.9	20.6	29.3
80.	Temple Owls	+1	35.5	16.8	25.8
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
81.	Purdue Boilermakers	-4	35.2	16.2	25.7
82.	Vanderbilt Commodores	-2	34.7	13.2	22.9
83.	Fla. Int. Golden Panthers	+6	33.9	16.4	26.1
84.	New Mexico Lobos	-1	33.6	15.8	26.0
85.	UTEP Miners	-3	33.4	21.2	30.8
86.	Louisville Cardinals	-15	33.4	19.4	29.6
87.	Kent St. Golden Flashes	-2	31.8	20.0	30.6
88.	Duke Blue Devils	-	31.4	15.2	25.9
89.	Auburn Tigers	-2	31.1	13.0	24.3
90.	Texas A&M Aggies	+8	29.9	19.9	31.7
91.	Kentucky Wildcats	+4	29.5	13.5	24.9
92.	San Jose State Spartans	-2	29.5	12.8	24.7
93.	Mid Tenn Blue Raiders	-1	28.9	15.2	27.5
94.	Marshall Thundering Herd	+2	28.3	16.0	29.0
95.	Indiana Hoosiers	-1	27.6	16.4	29.4
96.	Utah State Aggies	+3	27.1	16.3	29.4
97.	Colorado Buffaloes	+5	27.0	13.1	26.7
98.	UNLV Rebels	-5	26.2	17.3	30.5
99.	Toledo Rockets	-8	25.0	16.0	30.4
100.	Iowa State Cyclones	-	24.1	16.8	32.0
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
101.	UAB Blazers	+3	23.9	17.9	32.9
102.	New Mexico State Aggies	-5	22.4	15.4	31.6
103.	Michigan Wolverines	+5	22.3	11.9	28.4
104.	Wyoming Cowboys	-1	22.2	12.1	28.6
105.	Syracuse Orange	+1	21.8	14.5	31.7
106.	E. Michigan Eagles	+3	19.5	16.5	35.3
107.	UCLA Bruins	-2	17.7	10.4	29.3
108.	Army Black Knights	-1	17.4	12.3	32.7
109.	UCF Knights	+1	17.4	9.1	27.8
110.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	-9	17.0	9.9	28.3
111.	LA-Monroe Warhawks	-	14.3	14.1	36.8
112.	SMU Mustangs	+2	12.4	12.7	35.7
113.	Tulane Green Wave	-	11.8	12.6	38.6
114.	San Diego State Aztecs	+1	10.2	10.4	35.8
115.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	-3	9.9	9.1	34.4
116.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	-	7.5	8.8	38.3
117.	Idaho Vandals	-	6.5	9.4	39.2
118.	North Texas Mean Green	+1	5.7	9.0	40.9
119.	Washington Huskies	-1	5.1	8.0	40.7
120.	Washington St. Cougars	-	4.3	7.6	40.5

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