WhatIfSports College Football Power Rankings: Week 15

CFB Power Rankings

12/1/2008 Rankings

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

Dec. 1, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams.

We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team.

All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
1.	Oklahoma Sooners	-	98.4	58.5	11.2
2.	Florida Gators	-	98.3	59.6	7.8
3.	USC Trojans	-	97.7	53.8	6.2
4.	Texas Longhorns	+1	95.2	51.2	12.2
5.	Penn State Nittany Lions	-1	94.9	48.0	9.2
6.	Alabama Crimson Tide	-	92.5	41.1	7.8
7.	Boise State Broncos	+2	91.6	42.0	10.7
8.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-1	91.1	47.3	17.0
9.	Ball State Cardinals	+4	90.6	47.7	17.8
10.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	-2	90.2	47.0	18.6
11.	TCU Horned Frogs	-1	89.8	37.1	8.7
12.	Ohio State Buckeyes	+2	85.6	35.3	11.7
13.	Utah Utes	+3	85.4	37.7	13.8
14.	Missouri Tigers	-3	84.6	42.5	19.2
15.	GA Tech Yellow Jackets	+4	84.3	36.0	12.8
16.	Georgia Bulldogs	-4	83.8	39.3	18.6
17.	Cincinnati Bearcats	+1	83.3	33.5	14.0
18.	Iowa Hawkeyes	-3	82.8	34.0	13.8
19.	Mississippi Rebels	+1	82.2	37.0	17.0
20.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	+5	79.3	43.8	27.7
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
21.	Brigham Young Cougars	+1	78.9	34.8	19.2
22.	Oregon Ducks	+4	78.2	34.7	17.5
23.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	-	77.9	39.4	23.5
24.	Florida State Seminoles	-3	77.4	31.5	15.0
25.	Kansas Jayhawks	+9	73.4	32.4	20.4
26.	Clemson Tigers	+6	73.3	25.3	14.2
27.	Oregon State Beavers	-10	72.8	29.5	17.4
28.	California Golden Bears	+2	70.9	27.5	17.0
29.	South Florida Bulls	-	70.0	29.8	20.1
30.	Houston Cougars	-6	68.8	34.1	24.9
31.	Air Force Falcons	+5	68.3	29.7	20.5
32.	North Carolina Tar Heels	-1	68.2	27.9	19.6
33.	W. Virginia Mountaineers	-6	67.5	27.2	17.8
34.	Boston College Eagles	+9	66.5	21.7	14.4
35.	Nevada Wolf Pack	+2	66.2	31.7	22.5
36.	Baylor Bears	+4	66.2	30.1	22.3
37.	Pittsburgh Panthers	+9	65.9	26.3	19.0
38.	Wisconsin Badgers	-3	65.4	28.1	20.6
39.	Arizona Wildcats	-6	64.6	27.4	20.9
40.	Connecticut Huskies	-12	64.3	25.1	18.1
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
41.	Rice Owls	+3	63.0	31.5	26.6
42.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-4	62.8	28.5	23.0
43.	Navy Midshipmen	+6	61.8	29.8	24.3
44.	W. Michigan Broncos	-5	60.2	27.0	23.2
45.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	-4	59.7	27.5	24.1
46.	Michigan State Spartans	+6	59.1	22.5	20.0
47.	Troy Trojans	-2	58.9	23.9	20.3
48.	Maryland Terrapins	+3	58.7	24.6	21.5
49.	Arkansas St. Indians	-1	58.4	26.6	23.6
50.	Virginia Tech Hokies	+8	58.4	20.9	18.4
51.	WF Demon Deacons	+8	55.0	18.4	18.0
52.	Northwestern Wildcats	+4	54.3	19.9	19.3
53.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	-	53.4	20.3	20.6
54.	S. Carolina Gamecocks	-7	53.4	20.1	20.5
55.	LSU Tigers	-13	52.4	21.6	22.6
56.	Fresno State Bulldogs	-1	51.6	27.1	27.6
57.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	+8	49.9	19.2	21.1
58.	Arizona St. Sun Devils	+2	49.8	20.8	22.7
59.	Northern Illinois Huskies	-9	49.8	22.2	24.0
60.	Tennessee Volunteers	+6	47.8	15.8	19.5
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
61.	East Carolina Pirates	-	47.0	18.2	21.7
62.	NC St. Wolfpack	+1	46.7	20.0	23.1
63.	Stanford Cardinal	+1	45.2	22.8	26.9
64.	C. Michigan Chippewas	-7	45.0	22.7	26.8
65.	S. Miss Golden Eagles	-3	43.8	23.0	26.9
66.	Kansas State Wildcats	+1	43.6	24.6	29.7
67.	Arkansas Razorbacks	+17	42.2	21.7	26.9
68.	Minn. Golden Gophers	+6	42.2	19.5	25.7
69.	Akron Zips	+2	40.0	21.6	28.2
70.	Buffalo Bulls	-16	39.9	20.5	27.1
71.	Louisville Cardinals	+1	39.7	20.4	27.4
72.	LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns	-2	39.5	25.4	32.2
73.	Florida Atlantic Owls	+4	38.2	20.7	28.5
74.	Hawaii Warriors	+2	38.0	18.6	26.2
75.	Bowling Green Falcons	+7	36.7	16.4	25.1
76.	Colorado St. Rams	+4	36.4	20.5	29.4
77.	Purdue Boilermakers	-9	36.1	16.4	25.5
78.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	-9	36.0	17.5	25.7
79.	Memphis Tigers	+7	35.8	20.4	29.1
80.	Vanderbilt Commodores	+3	35.5	13.5	22.7
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
81.	Temple Owls	-	34.4	16.6	26.1
82.	UTEP Miners	-4	34.2	21.0	31.0
83.	New Mexico Lobos	-4	33.0	15.8	25.9
84.	Virginia Cavaliers	+5	32.2	12.6	23.0
85.	Kent St. Golden Flashes	+9	32.1	19.7	30.9
86.	Ohio Bobcats	+7	31.5	15.5	27.0
87.	Auburn Tigers	-14	31.4	13.0	24.6
88.	Duke Blue Devils	-1	30.9	15.1	26.0
89.	Fla. Int. Golden Panthers	-1	30.7	15.2	27.2
90.	San Jose State Spartans	-	29.9	12.7	24.8
91.	Toledo Rockets	-16	29.5	17.3	29.6
92.	Mid Tenn Blue Raiders	-	29.4	15.1	27.7
93.	UNLV Rebels	+2	28.3	17.0	30.4
94.	Indiana Hoosiers	+5	28.1	16.6	29.7
95.	Kentucky Wildcats	-10	27.9	12.7	26.0
96.	Marshall Thundering Herd	+2	25.7	14.2	29.0
97.	New Mexico State Aggies	+5	25.5	16.3	31.3
98.	Texas A&M Aggies	-7	25.2	18.1	32.7
99.	Utah State Aggies	+2	24.1	15.2	30.6
100.	Iowa State Cyclones	-	23.3	16.8	32.4
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
101.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	-5	22.6	10.6	27.3
102.	Colorado Buffaloes	-5	22.2	11.7	28.4
103.	Wyoming Cowboys	+1	21.6	11.9	29.1
104.	UAB Blazers	+3	21.5	17.1	33.9
105.	UCLA Bruins	-	20.9	11.0	28.9
106.	Syracuse Orange	-3	20.7	13.7	32.2
107.	Army Black Knights	-1	20.1	13.6	31.2
108.	Michigan Wolverines	-	20.0	11.5	28.7
109.	E. Michigan Eagles	+1	19.2	16.5	35.7
110.	UCF Knights	-1	17.9	9.2	27.8
111.	LA-Monroe Warhawks	-	14.8	14.0	37.0
112.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	-	13.2	10.2	33.6
113.	Tulane Green Wave	+2	12.3	12.4	37.6
114.	SMU Mustangs	-1	12.2	12.6	36.1
115.	San Diego State Aztecs	-1	10.3	10.2	36.0
116.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	-	7.6	8.6	37.0
117.	Idaho Vandals	-	7.1	9.5	38.9
118.	Washington Huskies	+2	5.7	7.9	39.0
119.	North Texas Mean Green	-1	5.4	9.1	42.4
120.	Washington St. Cougars	-1	3.9	7.4	42.3

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