NFL Picks Week 6: Detroit Lions and 3 Home Locks to Cover the Spread

Taking a home favorite is one of my favorite plays in football wagering. Teams just play better at home in general, and laying the points isn’t as risky a proposition.

A quick glance at the trend sheets shows that these three teams have yet to fail to cover at home and are some of the safest plays this week.

Let’s take a look at these three locks to bet the house on this Sunday during Week 6 of the NFL season.

Green Bay Packers (-15) vs. St. Louis Rams

The Packers proved they would cover large spreads like this against inferior teams. They gave 12.5 to Denver at home in Week 4 and beat them 49-23.

I fully believe this line is going to move down to around 14, and that is the time to make the play.

Green Bay puts up points in bunches, and this anemic Rams offense won’t pose any threat to them or the point spread.

Detroit Lions (-5) vs. San Francisco 49ers

The Lions are cover machines. This is the second straight year they have been absolutely killing it against the spread, and I don’t see that trend stopping at home against the Niners.

While both teams are 4-0-1 ATS through five weeks, this is the week the 49ers finally lose one.

Detroit is legit and the 49ers are pretenders, and they are going to prove it on Sunday.

New England Patriots (-7.5) vs. Dallas Cowboys

New England only failed to cover one spread this season, which was in their loss at Ralph Wilson against the Bills.

Dallas hasn’t covered a spread in two weeks, and Tony Romo is falling apart before our eyes.

I love the Pats giving just a bit over a touchdown in what should be an easy win for them.

Lay the points, and get paid by the Patriots once again.