NFL's FARCE Ratings and Week 14 Predictions

After last week's full makeover, I chose to make no changes to the FARCE formula this week. I went 6-10 in my predictions last week, but let's hope that was due to the odd week in the NFL in which the road teams won 10 of the 12 Sunday games.

I have added two things to the ratings, however. The W-L column represents the FARCE ratings where the WinScore is strictly based on the outcome of the game, whether a team won or lost, with no consideration of the final score—teams get a one WinScore if they won, zero if they lost, or 0.5 if they tie. The Points column is the standard FARCE ratings, and the Rating column is the average of the W-L and Points columns.

Here are Week 14's predictions using the same method as described in my last article. I'm using the average of the W-L and Points ratings for the expected score.

Raiders over CHARGERS, 17.5-24.5. Vegas line: Chargers -9

COLTS over Bengals, 27.5-13.5. Vegas line: Colts -13.5

BEARS over Jaguars, 23.5-16.5. Vegas line: Bears -6.5

PACKERS over Texans, 27.5-19.5. Vegas line: Packers -6

TITANS over Browns, 26.5-11.5. Vegas line: Titans -13.5

Vikings over LIONS, 27.5-17.5. Vegas line: Vikings -8

RAVENS over Redskins, 20.5-14.5. Vegas line: Ravens -5.5

GIANTS over Eagles, 26.5-16.5. Vegas line: Giants -7.5

Falcons over SAINTS, 25.5-25.5. Another tie! Vegas line: Saints -3

Jets over 49ERS, 25.5-18.5. Vegas line: Jets -4

BILLS push Dolphins, 21.5-20.5. Vegas line: Bills -1

BRONCOS over Chiefs, 29.5-19.5. Vegas line: Broncos -9

CARDINALS over Rams, 31.5-16.5. Vegas line: Cardinals -14

STEELERS over Cowboys, 22.5-17.5. Vegas line: Steelers -3

Patriots over SEAHAWKS, 24.5-18.5. Vegas line: Patriots -4.5

PANTHERS push Buccaneers, 20.5-17.5. Vegas line: Panthers -3

Home teams predicted to go 9-5 with two pushes against the spread, and 12-3-1 straight up.