NFL Picks Week 5: Which Teams Will Move Closer to Drafting Andrew Luck?

Right now, the Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings, St. Louis Rams and Indianapolis Colts have the best chance to receive the No. 1 overall pick in the 2012 NFL draft, which would give them the chance to draft Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck. 

Don't forget the Seattle Seahawks, Arizona Cardinals and Kansas City Chiefs, either.

As we move into Week 5, which teams will move one step closer to that No. 1 overall draft pick? 

Kansas City Chiefs

The Colts look to be the worse team, but I really think their resiliency translates to a victory at home on Sunday. 

Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis will wreak some major havoc in the Chiefs backfield, and I expect Curtis Painter to settle into his starting role and limit mistakes.

Don't get me wrong, Painter won't be great. He just doesn't kill his team in this one.

Cassel doesn't do it for me in any phase of the game and he is very bad when he feels the pocket collapsing whatsoever. 

Arizona Cardinals

There's no way they'd draft Luck with the newly-acquired Kevin Kolb on the roster, but that's beyond the point here. 

I can't envision the Vikings losing again at home and this matchup against the Cardinals is a rather good one for Minnesota. 

Adrian Peterson should have no problem running the football and Arizona's secondary has already been shredded by a few quarterbacks this season. 

Does Donovan McNabb break out of his "slump" on Sunday?

I think so.

Seattle Seahawks

They're traveling across the country for a one o'clock start against a far superior New York Giants team. 

Tarvaris Jackson will be running for his life all afternoon and New York's balanced offensive attack will give the Seahawks trouble throughout. 

Not a great matchup for Seattle, no matter how you look at it.

The Rams wouldn't draft Luck at this point, what with all the money they've invested in Sam Bradford. However, the Dolphins would. 

Both are 0-4 and on their bye this week.