NFL Week 4 Picks: Lions Will Win, Cheifs and Vikings Play in the "Luck Bowl"

It's time for my Week 4 NFL Picks. Last week I went 8-7, not too bad considering I picked the Oakland Raiders to upset of the New York Jets.

Of course, I got the New England Patriots' game wrong (who knew they'd lose to the Bills?) and I don't think a whole lot of people were picking the Giants to beat the Eagles.

Here are my picks...

Carolina @ Chicago: I think the Bears will win this game, mostly because it's a home game, and also because it's going to be tough for any rookie QB to go against Lovie Smith's defense.

Buffalo @ Cincinnati: I'm going with the Bills. If they win, they'll be 4-0. I think they'll need 10 wins to make the playoffs. Who thought anybody would type that sentence about the Buffalo Bills before the season started? In Fitzpatrick we trust.

Tennessee @ Cleveland: I've got to go with the Browns here. Don't ask me why. Tennessee played really well during the first two weeks. I just think they have to come back down to Earth a little bit, don't they? Plus, it's a road game and I think Colt McCoy will play well. 

Detroit @ Dallas: This is one of the best games on the schedule. I've got to go with the Lions. I know a lot of people are going with the Cowboys, thinking Detroit has to have a bad game eventually, this one is on the road, etc... But I just think the Lions' defense is really good and the Cowboys' wide receivers are really not.

Minnesota @ Kansas City: I'm going with LSU being able to beat either one of these teams. I'm going with both teams secretly hoping they lose so they can draft Andrew Luck. I'm going with... who cares, they're both terrible. If I have to pick a winner, I'll go with KC. Arrowhead Stadium is one of the toughest places to play at in the NFL.

Washington @ St. Louis: Every fiber in my being is telling me to pick the Redskins here because the Rams have been historically awful during the first three weeks. St. Louis is easily one of the most disappointing teams in the NFL. But I'm picking the Rams. Why?  Because if they don't win, they could start the season at 0-8 that's why. This is a must win game for the Rams.

San Francisco @ Philadelphia: Vick said he is "100 percent" for sure playing. I'll believe it when I see it. But either way, I think the Eagles have too much firepower,and the 49ers still have Alex Smith at QB, right? That's what I thought. So I'm picking the Eagles.

New Orleans @ Jacksonville: Drew Brees vs. Blaine Gabbert...I'll take Brees. Next!

Pittsburgh @ Houston: I'm picking the upset here and going with the Steelers. I just think Houston is a chronic underachieving team. They have talent and they never live up to it. Pittsburgh is a clutch football team and it knows it hasn't played well. So basically, Houston should win this game, but Pittsburgh has the clutch gene. I'm going with the Steelers.

New York Giants @ Arizona: Giants, Giants, Giants. If the Giants were a stock, I'm buying them right now. They are better than Dallas, Philly and Washington right now, in my opinion.  They are physical, they run the ball and they are getting healthy. Nothing against Arizona, but I just like the Giants this year.

Atlanta @ Seattle: This is a classic case of a team (Atlanta) that needs a win, any win, in the worst imaginable way. Matt Ryan, meet Tarvaris Jackson. Falcons win.

Denver @ Green Bay: The Packers are the best team in the NFL right now. They have the best home-field advantage in football. The Packers are playing at home. Packers win. 

New England @ Oakland: This is the most intriguing game of the week, in my opinion. New England needs to win after last week's meltdown to the Bills. The Raiders look like they are for real, coming off a win against the Jets. The game is Oakland. I picked Oakland to win last week, and I was right, so I'm picking them again, right? Nope. The Jets' QB is a guy named Mark Sanchez. The Pats' QB is future Hall of Famer Tom Brady. The Pats will win this one.

Miami @ San Diego: Odds for Tony Sparano being the first NFL coach fired this year... I'm not going to go there, but if I were a betting man... Chargers win.

New York Jets @ Baltimore: This is a heavyweight matchup with some serious playoff implications. I think Baltimore might be the best team in the AFC right now. I've got to pick the Ravens at home.

Indianapolis @ Tampa Bay: Is Peyton Manning playing? He's not?  hen I'll pick the other team, whichever it is. Merry Christmas Tampa Bay.