WhatIfSports College Football Power Rankings: Week 14

CFB Power Rankings

Nov. 23 Rankings

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic, and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS matchup one hundred times and used the winning percentages from 700,000-plus games to evaluate every team.

All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
1.	Oklahoma Sooners	+2	99.1	61.7	9.1
2.	Florida Gators	-1	99.0	58.8	6.9
3.	USC Trojans	+1	96.4	50.1	6.8
4.	Penn State Nittany Lions	+2	95.6	49.7	8.9
5.	Texas Longhorns	-	94.3	49.0	13.9
6.	Alabama Crimson Tide	+1	91.7	38.8	8.1
7.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-5	91.4	46.9	17.3
8.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	-	91.0	46.6	18.5
9.	Boise State Broncos	+1	90.2	40.2	11.3
10.	TCU Horned Frogs	+6	89.6	36.4	9.6
11.	Missouri Tigers	-2	89.5	45.9	17.9
12.	Georgia Bulldogs	+1	88.0	42.8	16.8
13.	Ball State Cardinals	-2	87.9	45.9	18.8
14.	Ohio State Buckeyes	-2	86.7	36.5	11.5
15.	Iowa Hawkeyes	+4	86.2	36.6	12.5
16.	Utah Utes	-2	86.1	37.6	13.9
17.	Oregon State Beavers	-	81.8	33.6	15.0
18.	Cincinnati Bearcats	+2	80.9	32.8	15.6
19.	GA Tech Yellow Jackets	+6	80.2	32.9	14.2
20.	Mississippi Rebels	+6	79.9	35.2	17.6
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
21.	Florida State Seminoles	+3	78.6	32.1	14.4
22.	Brigham Young Cougars	-7	78.0	34.9	19.3
23.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	-5	76.9	39.0	24.3
24.	Houston Cougars	-2	76.5	37.7	23.5
25.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	+7	74.8	40.1	26.6
26.	Oregon Ducks	-3	72.7	31.9	19.0
27.	W. Virginia Mountaineers	+7	72.6	29.5	16.4
28.	Connecticut Huskies	+9	70.6	26.8	16.4
29.	South Florida Bulls	+14	69.1	29.2	20.6
30.	California Golden Bears	+9	68.7	27.3	17.3
31.	North Carolina Tar Heels	-10	66.7	27.0	19.9
32.	Clemson Tigers	-1	66.4	22.7	16.3
33.	Arizona Wildcats	+2	66.3	27.7	20.2
34.	Kansas Jayhawks	+10	65.7	29.1	22.3
35.	Wisconsin Badgers	-6	64.8	27.1	21.1
36.	Air Force Falcons	-9	64.6	28.0	21.4
37.	Nevada Wolf Pack	-9	64.4	31.0	23.2
38.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-	64.1	29.2	22.6
39.	W. Michigan Broncos	+3	63.8	27.9	22.2
40.	Baylor Bears	+5	63.4	29.1	22.9
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
41.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	+11	63.3	28.7	22.5
42.	LSU Tigers	-12	63.0	25.5	19.6
43.	Boston College Eagles	+4	62.6	20.5	15.6
44.	Rice Owls	+6	61.9	31.3	26.8
45.	Troy Trojans	+3	61.2	24.5	19.5
46.	Pittsburgh Panthers	-6	59.6	23.9	20.5
47.	S. Carolina Gamecocks	+4	58.8	21.2	18.7
48.	Arkansas St. Indians	+5	58.4	26.6	24.1
49.	Navy Midshipmen	+7	56.5	27.5	24.9
50.	Northern Illinois Huskies	+5	56.0	24.5	22.5
51.	Maryland Terrapins	-18	55.6	23.8	22.4
52.	Michigan State Spartans	-16	53.9	21.2	21.2
53.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	-12	53.8	20.4	20.3
54.	Buffalo Bulls	+8	51.1	23.7	24.3
55.	Fresno State Bulldogs	+3	51.0	27.1	27.5
56.	Northwestern Wildcats	-7	50.8	18.8	20.6
57.	C. Michigan Chippewas	-3	50.5	24.1	25.8
58.	Virginia Tech Hokies	+6	50.3	18.6	20.6
59.	WF Demon Deacons	+2	49.7	17.0	19.2
60.	Arizona St. Sun Devils	-	47.6	20.5	23.5
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
61.	East Carolina Pirates	+10	46.7	18.1	22.0
62.	S. Miss Golden Eagles	+3	46.5	23.5	26.7
63.	NC St. Wolfpack	+27	46.3	19.9	23.0
64.	Stanford Cardinal	+4	46.0	23.1	26.6
65.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-19	45.2	18.1	22.3
66.	Tennessee Volunteers	+12	44.8	15.2	19.6
67.	Kansas State Wildcats	+7	44.5	24.9	29.7
68.	Purdue Boilermakers	+20	41.8	17.9	23.9
69.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	+7	41.3	19.1	24.9
70.	LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns	-7	41.3	25.4	31.8
71.	Akron Zips	-5	40.7	22.2	27.8
72.	Louisville Cardinals	-5	40.3	20.7	27.1
73.	Auburn Tigers	-4	40.0	14.8	22.0
74.	Minn. Golden Gophers	-17	38.0	18.6	26.4
75.	Toledo Rockets	+22	37.2	19.2	27.4
76.	Hawaii Warriors	+1	37.2	18.4	26.4
77.	Florida Atlantic Owls	-7	36.1	19.9	29.0
78.	UTEP Miners	-6	35.8	21.8	30.4
79.	New Mexico Lobos	+4	34.7	16.3	25.8
80.	Colorado St. Rams	+6	34.6	20.3	29.3
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
81.	Temple Owls	+11	34.4	16.7	26.6
82.	Bowling Green Falcons	-7	34.0	15.7	25.9
83.	Vanderbilt Commodores	-24	33.8	13.2	23.2
84.	Arkansas Razorbacks	-11	33.4	18.4	28.9
85.	Kentucky Wildcats	-	33.3	14.1	24.1
86.	Memphis Tigers	-7	32.7	19.9	29.9
87.	Duke Blue Devils	+6	30.8	14.7	26.1
88.	Fla. Int. Golden Panthers	-6	30.6	15.5	26.8
89.	Virginia Cavaliers	-2	30.1	12.2	23.7
90.	San Jose State Spartans	-6	29.6	12.8	25.1
91.	Texas A&M Aggies	+3	29.6	19.4	31.5
92.	Mid Tenn Blue Raiders	-3	29.4	14.8	27.2
93.	Ohio Bobcats	+5	29.4	14.9	27.4
94.	Kent St. Golden Flashes	-13	29.1	18.8	31.2
95.	UNLV Rebels	-4	26.6	16.9	30.8
96.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	+4	25.8	11.8	25.4
97.	Colorado Buffaloes	+4	25.7	12.4	27.4
98.	Marshall Thundering Herd	-2	24.8	14.1	29.2
99.	Indiana Hoosiers	-19	23.9	15.5	30.6
100.	Iowa State Cyclones	+2	23.6	16.7	32.7
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
101.	Utah State Aggies	-2	23.5	15.1	30.8
102.	New Mexico State Aggies	-7	23.3	15.8	32.2
103.	Syracuse Orange	+6	22.4	14.4	31.0
104.	Wyoming Cowboys	+2	21.9	12.3	28.2
105.	UCLA Bruins	-	21.5	11.1	28.2
106.	Army Black Knights	-2	20.5	13.4	30.7
107.	UAB Blazers	-	20.0	16.6	34.4
108.	Michigan Wolverines	-5	20.0	11.3	29.1
109.	UCF Knights	-1	19.4	9.5	26.7
110.	E. Michigan Eagles	-	17.0	15.6	36.5
111.	LA-Monroe Warhawks	+4	14.5	14.0	37.1
112.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	+1	14.4	10.6	32.8
113.	SMU Mustangs	-1	13.2	13.2	35.9
114.	San Diego State Aztecs	+3	9.6	10.3	36.1
115.	Tulane Green Wave	-4	9.6	11.8	38.8
116.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	-2	7.4	8.4	37.9
117.	Idaho Vandals	-1	6.7	9.1	39.4
118.	North Texas Mean Green	+1	4.7	8.9	41.7
119.	Washington St. Cougars	+1	4.5	7.7	41.6
120.	Washington Huskies	-2	4.5	7.7	39.8

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