NFL Picks Week 4: 3 Games Sure To Explode Over the Points Total
The defenses finally caught up to the offenses in Week 3, as the under was reached nine times and the over hit in six games.
Vegas has adjusted accordingly and has thrown out multiple lines that are a tad too low. Take advantage of this before the line jumps up a few extra points:
(Over/under’ courtesy of Covers.com)
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New York Jets @ Baltimore Ravens O/U: 40
This just in…both defenses are overrated.
The Jets were just battered by the Oakland Raiders, surrendering a ridiculous 34 points. They allowed over 200 yards of rushing and look like an aging unit that is past its prime.
After the loss, the always-eccentric Bart Scott was oddly quiet when asked what needed to be fixed.
You can’t fix age, Bart.
The Ravens defense has been incredibly hard to predict, giving up seven, 26 and seven points in three games. Expect the inconsistencies to continue as I envision the QBs being the talk of this one.
New York Giants @ Arizona Cardinals O/U: 44.5
The Giants have more big plays than almost any team in the league after three weeks, and will be facing a Cardinals defense that is 25th against the pass and 26th against the run.
Expect the G-Men to jump out to a double-digit lead early, forcing Arizona to throw the ball upward of 40 times a game. Against a secondary dealing with multiple injuries…Kevin Kolb and company will be putting up big numbers.
This one has shootout written all over it.
Denver Broncos @ Green Bay Packers O/U: 47
The Packers are fifth in scoring after three games, averaging an impressive 33 points a game.
I don’t need to rehash all the reasons they are great, but you can bet they’ll be taking advantage of the health of CB Champ Bailey, who is currently listed as questionably for Sunday.
The Broncos, on the other hand, are great at garbage-time offense. When the game is already hopelessly out of reach, QB Kyle Orton extends the field and makes throws he typically wouldn’t make.
This leads to gaudy stats for the Broncos offense, and more points in the game.

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