NFL Power Rankings: Week 11

11/10/2008 Rankings

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

Nov. 10, 2008

 

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic, and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible matchup in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate every team.

All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

 

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
1.	New York Giants	+1	93.2 percent	34.4	8.2
2.	Tennessee Titans	-1	89.7 percent	28.6	7.5
3.	Carolina Panthers	+4	83.5 percent	25.8	10.6
4.	Baltimore Ravens	+2	78.8 percent	24.6	11.2
5.	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	+6	74.5 percent	26.9	15.2
6.	New York Jets	+4	74.1 percent	27.3	16.7
7.	Washington Redskins	-3	73.9 percent	25.5	14.8
8.	Pittsburgh Steelers	-5	68.6 percent	22.5	13.2
9.	Arizona Cardinals	-1	66.7 percent	26.8	19.6
10.	Dallas Cowboys	+2	65.9 percent	26.3	18.8
11.	Philadelphia Eagles	-6	62.8 percent	24.8	19.1
12.	Indianapolis Colts	+6	60.1 percent	21.8	17.2
13.	Atlanta Falcons	-4	58.3 percent	25.0	20.8
14.	Chicago Bears	+1	57.5 percent	22.7	18.5
15.	Minnesota Vikings	+2	57.0 percent	22.6	19.5
16.	Miami Dolphins	-2	55.6 percent	22.8	20.1
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
17.	New England Patriots	+4	49.9 percent	21.7	20.9
18.	San Diego Chargers	+2	49.6 percent	25.3	25.0
19.	Buffalo Bills	-6	44.7 percent	21.3	23.0
20.	New Orleans Saints	-1	44.6 percent	24.7	26.4
21.	Green Bay Packers	-5	39.3 percent	21.9	26.5
22.	Jacksonville Jaguars	+6	34.6 percent	18.5	24.9
23.	Denver Broncos	-1	34.5 percent	20.7	27.6
24.	Cleveland Browns	-1	32.7 percent	22.7	30.3
25.	Houston Texans	-1	31.0 percent	21.1	29.4
26.	San Francisco 49ers	0	30.3 percent	20.9	29.5
27.	Oakland Raiders	+3	20.8 percent	17.7	31.8
28.	Kansas City Chiefs	+1	18.5 percent	16.5	33.2
29.	Seattle Seahawks	+2	15.9 percent	15.4	31.9
30.	Cincinnati Bengals	-3	15.1 percent	14.3	31.8
31.	St. Louis Rams	-6	13.1 percent	15.6	36.5
32.	Detroit Lions	0	5.6 percent	14.3	40.8

 

Paul Bessire is the Senior Quantitative Analyst and Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com and a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at [e-mail]. Thanks!