College Football Power Rankings: Week 11

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

Nov. 3, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic, and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible D-I FBS matchup one hundred times and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team.

All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
1.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	+8	97.2	60.3	8.5
2.	Penn State Nittany Lions	-	97.2	51.1	8.0
3.	USC Trojans	-	96.4	47.1	7.6
4.	Florida Gators	+4	95.0	47.1	10.6
5.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	-1	95.0	49.7	16.2
6.	Oklahoma Sooners	-1	93.7	46.0	16.4
7.	Alabama Crimson Tide	-1	93.3	41.6	7.4
8.	Texas Longhorns	-7	93.2	48.9	13.8
9.	Missouri Tigers	-2	90.4	42.9	18.6
10.	Boise State Broncos	+2	88.7	38.6	10.3
11.	Ball State Cardinals	+2	88.6	43.2	17.5
12.	TCU Horned Frogs	+5	85.3	33.5	9.6
13.	Georgia Bulldogs	-3	85.0	39.3	17.2
14.	Utah Utes	+1	84.0	37.6	13.1
15.	Ohio State Buckeyes	+1	81.4	28.7	12.3
16.	Florida State Seminoles	-2	80.9	30.8	15.7
17.	North Carolina Tar Heels	+1	80.3	31.0	17.8
18.	GA Tech Yellow Jackets	+1	79.5	27.6	14.2
19.	California Golden Bears	+4	77.7	32.1	15.0
20.	LSU Tigers	+14	77.1	35.4	16.6
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
21.	Brigham Young Cougars	+8	76.4	34.4	17.3
22.	W. Virginia Mountaineers	+5	74.5	27.4	16.6
23.	Maryland Terrapins	+3	73.4	29.0	20.1
24.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	-13	73.3	38.1	22.3
25.	Kansas Jayhawks	+7	72.8	29.6	21.0
26.	Cincinnati Bearcats	+18	72.4	31.7	15.5
27.	Iowa Hawkeyes	-6	71.4	27.7	18.4
28.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-3	71.4	30.5	21.9
29.	Air Force Falcons	+2	70.7	29.4	16.5
30.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	-6	68.8	32.5	25.2
31.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	+17	68.1	22.8	17.4
32.	Pittsburgh Panthers	+6	67.0	26.1	20.9
33.	Northern Illinois Huskies	+3	66.3	25.9	19.2
34.	Arizona Wildcats	+1	66.2	25.8	18.1
35.	Oregon State Beavers	-5	66.2	27.8	19.5
36.	Clemson Tigers	+10	65.5	23.7	19.9
37.	W. Michigan Broncos	+3	65.0	28.6	21.4
38.	Oregon Ducks	-16	64.9	27.0	19.6
39.	Michigan State Spartans	-6	64.2	24.1	19.6
40.	S. Carolina Gamecocks	+14	63.7	22.8	16.5
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
41.	Nevada Wolf Pack	-2	63.3	29.7	24.0
42.	Minn. Golden Gophers	-14	63.0	24.9	20.9
43.	Northwestern Wildcats	+15	62.7	22.7	18.5
44.	South Florida Bulls	-7	62.4	28.5	19.8
45.	Mississippi Rebels	+5	62.1	28.1	21.1
46.	Arkansas St. Indians	-5	60.5	26.6	23.0
47.	WF Demon Deacons	+5	59.2	19.3	19.3
48.	Wisconsin Badgers	+3	58.4	23.5	21.5
49.	LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns	+18	56.2	29.3	27.9
50.	Navy Midshipmen	+3	54.2	29.6	24.8
51.	Kansas State Wildcats	-2	53.6	25.3	27.0
52.	Boston College Eagles	-9	53.2	18.1	21.1
53.	Baylor Bears	+4	52.8	24.9	23.3
54.	Houston Cougars	+2	52.1	26.9	25.4
55.	Connecticut Huskies	-13	51.8	23.2	20.6
56.	C. Michigan Chippewas	+7	50.8	23.9	24.7
57.	Troy Trojans	-12	50.5	23.9	21.5
58.	Virginia Tech Hokies	-3	50.3	18.9	22.3
59.	Duke Blue Devils	-	49.7	18.9	23.4
60.	Rice Owls	+8	49.2	27.2	27.4
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
61.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	+1	49.2	21.5	20.8
62.	Louisville Cardinals	-15	49.2	23.9	23.0
63.	Stanford Cardinal	+2	49.0	22.4	23.9
64.	Fresno State Bulldogs	-4	47.7	28.9	28.9
65.	Indiana Hoosiers	-4	47.6	21.4	25.9
66.	Virginia Cavaliers	-46	47.0	16.2	21.7
67.	East Carolina Pirates	-3	46.9	21.9	22.4
68.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	-2	46.8	21.6	27.3
69.	San Jose State Spartans	-	45.6	15.7	20.3
70.	Arkansas Razorbacks	+5	44.1	22.2	26.2
71.	Vanderbilt Commodores	+3	43.3	16.3	20.5
72.	Kentucky Wildcats	+4	42.6	16.1	20.2
73.	Purdue Boilermakers	-2	42.5	18.2	25.2
74.	Akron Zips	-4	42.0	21.6	27.6
75.	Arizona St. Sun Devils	+2	38.2	18.5	26.4
76.	Tennessee Volunteers	-3	37.9	15.3	22.5
77.	Temple Owls	+15	36.3	14.5	25.4
78.	Texas A&M Aggies	+2	36.1	21.2	28.2
79.	Bowling Green Falcons	+9	35.5	16.8	26.4
80.	New Mexico State Aggies	-8	35.0	18.0	28.7
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
81.	UNLV Rebels	-3	34.3	20.4	30.8
82.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	+8	33.7	16.1	26.8
83.	Buffalo Bulls	+2	32.2	19.6	26.6
84.	Colorado St. Rams	-5	32.0	19.6	28.8
85.	New Mexico Lobos	+1	31.8	16.3	25.1
86.	S. Miss Golden Eagles	+12	31.7	21.1	29.1
87.	Auburn Tigers	+7	31.0	12.7	22.8
88.	Memphis Tigers	-1	30.4	20.1	30.4
89.	Marshall Thundering Herd	+7	30.2	18.3	26.8
90.	Syracuse Orange	+19	29.9	16.3	30.9
91.	Hawaii Warriors	-8	29.5	17.1	27.6
92.	Colorado Buffaloes	-11	28.9	11.9	25.8
93.	Toledo Rockets	-9	28.8	15.6	28.5
94.	Ohio Bobcats	-3	28.7	15.2	27.9
95.	NC St. Wolfpack	-13	27.9	13.5	29.3
96.	Utah State Aggies	+9	27.4	15.7	29.7
97.	Kent St. Golden Flashes	-4	25.4	16.8	32.3
98.	UTEP Miners	+2	25.2	19.3	31.8
99.	Florida Atlantic Owls	-10	25.1	18.0	28.9
100.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	+3	24.6	11.9	25.8
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
101.	UCLA Bruins	+3	22.6	12.1	28.3
102.	Fla. Int. Golden Panthers	-	22.6	14.2	26.6
103.	Iowa State Cyclones	-8	21.6	14.2	33.3
104.	Tulane Green Wave	-7	21.5	15.9	30.9
105.	Mid Tenn Blue Raiders	-4	20.6	13.8	27.8
106.	Michigan Wolverines	-7	20.3	11.1	29.5
107.	Army Black Knights	-	19.1	12.2	29.0
108.	E. Michigan Eagles	-2	18.8	15.9	35.9
109.	Wyoming Cowboys	+4	17.1	11.9	29.8
110.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	+1	13.6	9.9	32.6
111.	LA-Monroe Warhawks	+6	13.2	15.5	38.5
112.	SMU Mustangs	-2	13.0	13.9	36.2
113.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	-1	12.4	11.7	32.9
114.	UAB Blazers	-6	12.1	15.8	36.1
115.	UCF Knights	-1	10.8	9.4	29.9
116.	Idaho Vandals	+2	8.0	11.6	37.9
117.	North Texas Mean Green	+2	7.4	10.8	38.8
118.	San Diego State Aztecs	-2	7.2	9.8	37.9
119.	Washington Huskies	-4	5.9	9.5	40.2
120.	Washington St. Cougars	-	2.8	7.8	45.7

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