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Will CC Sabathia or Anybody Else Reach 300 Wins?

Perry Schwartz
Jul 1, 2011

CC Sabathia won his 11th game of the season on Thursday and isĀ currentlyĀ leading the AL in wins for the third consecutive year. The big left-hander has nowĀ reached double-digit wins all 11 years of his great career.

Still just 30 years old, Sabathia hasĀ 168 career wins and has the best chance of any active pitcher to reach the 300-win mark. But is he a lock to get there?

Sabathia, who was originally brought upĀ by the Cleveland Indians, became a Major LeagueĀ starting pitcher at the tender age of 20. Now in his 12thĀ big leagueĀ season, SabathiaĀ has yet to put up what would be considered a subpar season. However, heĀ still has an uphill battle to reach 300 career wins.Ā 

Despite his massive stature and consistent workload, the current Yankees ace has managed to stay healthy year in, year out. If Sabathia were to theoretically averageĀ 20 wins per season through theĀ end of 2013 and thenĀ 15 wins per season over the following six years, he would end up with 297 winsĀ at the age of 39.Ā Therefore, 300 wins is certainly not out of the question, but it would require vast success from here on out.Ā 

Besides Sabathia, there areĀ only five active pitchers with at least 100 career winsĀ that have a realistic chance ofĀ even winning as many asĀ 250 games.

Roy Halladay (179 wins, 34 years old)

Tim Hudson (171 wins, 35 years old)

Mark Buehrle (154 wins, 32 years old)

Josh Beckett (118 wins, 31 years old)

Carlos Zambrano (122 wins, 30 years old)Ā 

Out of these six pitchers, Halladay has the best chance of winning 250 games. Arguably the top pitcher in the game today, Halladay should have several good years left and will likely finish his career with somewhere betweenĀ 260 and 285 wins.

Hudson, on the other hand,Ā will be 36 years old in July, so he will be hard pressed toĀ get to 250. Unless Hudson pitches well through his early 40s, heĀ will likely finish in the low 200s.Ā 

Chicago White Sox pitcher Mark Buehrle has been an iron man throughout his career and would reach 250 wins by the age of 38 if he were to continue at his current pace. However, he has expressed to the public that he does not care muchĀ about career statistics and may even retire after this season, depending on his contract situation.Ā 

Meanwhile, both Beckett and Zambrano areĀ stillĀ years away fromĀ evenĀ sniffingĀ 250 wins. They will eachĀ need to pitch very well and remain relatively injury-freeĀ throughout the rest of this decade in order to approach the 250-win mark.Ā 

AsĀ much asĀ many of usĀ would like to deny it, Randy Johnson may have alreadyĀ becomeĀ theĀ last pitcher to joinĀ the 300-win club. How did he do it, you might ask. Well, for one, Johnson had one of the best 10-year stretches in MLB history from 1993 to 2002, earning five Cy Young Awards and winning 175 games during that span. Secondly, Johnson pitched well into his mid-40s, which is extremely rare. Whether or not steroids were a factor is unknown.

In addition to Johnson, starting pitchers Greg Maddux, Roger Clemens and TomĀ Glavine all wonĀ their 300thĀ gameĀ in the past eight years. However,Ā each of themĀ won many of theirĀ gamesĀ before the late-1990s, when eight-inning starts andĀ complete gamesĀ were still a commonĀ occurrence.Ā 

Three-hundred wins has long been known as a key numberĀ for starting pitchers to reach in order to be considered Hall of Fame worthy. However, with the lack of 300-game winners that the game figures to see in future years,Ā 250 may be the new 300.Ā