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Will CC Sabathia or Anybody Else Reach 300 Wins?

Perry SchwartzJul 1, 2011

CC Sabathia won his 11th game of the season on Thursday and isย currentlyย leading the AL in wins for the third consecutive year. The big left-hander has nowย reached double-digit wins all 11 years of his great career.

Still just 30 years old, Sabathia hasย 168 career wins and has the best chance of any active pitcher to reach the 300-win mark. But is he a lock to get there?

Sabathia, who was originally brought upย by the Cleveland Indians, became a Major Leagueย starting pitcher at the tender age of 20. Now in his 12thย big leagueย season, Sabathiaย has yet to put up what would be considered a subpar season. However, heย still has an uphill battle to reach 300 career wins.ย 

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Despite his massive stature and consistent workload, the current Yankees ace has managed to stay healthy year in, year out. If Sabathia were to theoretically averageย 20 wins per season through theย end of 2013 and thenย 15 wins per season over the following six years, he would end up with 297 winsย at the age of 39.ย Therefore, 300 wins is certainly not out of the question, but it would require vast success from here on out.ย 

Besides Sabathia, there areย only five active pitchers with at least 100 career winsย that have a realistic chance ofย even winning as many asย 250 games.

Roy Halladay (179 wins, 34 years old)

Tim Hudson (171 wins, 35 years old)

Mark Buehrle (154 wins, 32 years old)

Josh Beckett (118 wins, 31 years old)

Carlos Zambrano (122 wins, 30 years old)ย 

Out of these six pitchers, Halladay has the best chance of winning 250 games. Arguably the top pitcher in the game today, Halladay should have several good years left and will likely finish his career with somewhere betweenย 260 and 285 wins.

Hudson, on the other hand,ย will be 36 years old in July, so he will be hard pressed toย get to 250. Unless Hudson pitches well through his early 40s, heย will likely finish in the low 200s.ย 

Chicago White Sox pitcher Mark Buehrle has been an iron man throughout his career and would reach 250 wins by the age of 38 if he were to continue at his current pace. However, he has expressed to the public that he does not care muchย about career statistics and may even retire after this season, depending on his contract situation.ย 

Meanwhile, both Beckett and Zambrano areย stillย years away fromย evenย sniffingย 250 wins. They will eachย need to pitch very well and remain relatively injury-freeย throughout the rest of this decade in order to approach the 250-win mark.ย 

Asย much asย many of usย would like to deny it, Randy Johnson may have alreadyย becomeย theย last pitcher to joinย the 300-win club. How did he do it, you might ask. Well, for one, Johnson had one of the best 10-year stretches in MLB history from 1993 to 2002, earning five Cy Young Awards and winning 175 games during that span. Secondly, Johnson pitched well into his mid-40s, which is extremely rare. Whether or not steroids were a factor is unknown.

In addition to Johnson, starting pitchers Greg Maddux, Roger Clemens and Tomย Glavine all wonย their 300thย gameย in the past eight years. However,ย each of themย won many of theirย gamesย before the late-1990s, when eight-inning starts andย complete gamesย were still a commonย occurrence.ย 

Three-hundred wins has long been known as a key numberย for starting pitchers to reach in order to be considered Hall of Fame worthy. However, with the lack of 300-game winners that the game figures to see in future years,ย 250 may be the new 300.ย 

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