MLB Trade Rumors: Power Ranking Each Team's Odds of Landing Prince Fielder

Andy VanfossanContributor IMay 9, 2011

MLB Trade Rumors: Power Ranking Each Team's Odds of Landing Prince Fielder

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    ATLANTA, GA - MAY 04:  Prince Fielder #28 of the Milwaukee Brewers fields a bunt by Tim Hudson #15 of the Atlanta Braves in the second inning at Turner Field on May 4, 2011 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
    Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

    The Milwaukee Brewers are hovering around .500, which isn't good news for fans that want to see the Brewers keep their All-Star first baseman Prince Fielder.

    According to many reports, it appears as though he will not re-sign in Milwaukee, which of course opens up the possibility of a July blockbuster.

    The good news is, if the Brewers fall out of contention by the trade deadline, there will be a few suitors barring injuries that would be interested in obtaining his services.

    The bad news is, if the Brewers are in contention, they aren't going to get anything if he leaves as a free agent. This installment will look at each team's chances of getting Fielder or if they need him at all.  

San Diego Padres

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    HOUSTON - APRIL 15:  Pitcher Heath Bell #21 of the San Diego Padres throws in the ninth inning against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park on April 15, 2011 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
    Bob Levey/Getty Images

    The odds of the Padres getting Prince Fielder are bordering on zero. The Padres didn’t have the money to re-sign their own All-Star, Adrian Gonzalez, so the idea of signing or trading for Prince isn’t going to happen.

    However, in the immortal words of The Office's Kevin Malone, “If somebody gives you 10,000-to-one odds, you take them.” Sorry Kevin, it’s not going to happen in San Diego.

Mets, Rays and Astros

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    NEW YORK, NY - MAY 05:  Jose Reyes #7 and David Wright #5 of the New York Mets take the field against the San Francisco Giants on May 5, 2011 at Citi Field in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. The Mets defeated the Giants 5
    Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

    This may be kind of a cop-out but I’m going to lump the next few teams into the same group because of the same reason: money. The Mets, Rays and Astros all have major financial problems.

    The Mets and Astros are both in selling mode, via their owners, and the Rays had a major overhaul last season. If the Mets were in a better financial situation, I could have seen them going after Prince but with talk of trading Reyes and possibly Wright, there’s no way they go after Prince.

    In the same breath, the Astros learned their lesson giving Carlos Lee the huge contract they did and now have no way to get rid of it. Odds: 9,999:1 

Tigers, Twins, Phillies, Red Sox and Reds

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    DETROIT, MI - MAY 04: Miguel Cabrera #24 of the Detroit Tigers watches a double that scores a run in the third inning while playing the New York Yankees at Comerica Park on May 4, 2011 in Detroit, Michigan. Detroit won the game 4-0. (Photo by Gregory Sham
    Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

    In another cop-out on my part, I’m going to lump the next few teams into a group that already have established first basemen. There will be some teams that are omitted because they may lose their current first basement to free agency.

    The Tigers (Miguel Cabrera), Twins (Justin Morneau until he gets injured), Red Sox (Adrian Gonzalez), Phillies (Ryan Howard), and Reds (Joey Votto) all have established first basemen that are signed to longer-term deals. These teams also don’t really have any other places to put their star first basemen now as they aren’t exactly third basemen type with the exception of Cabrera.

    None of these teams will be in the Prince sweepstakes. Odds: 9,998:1

Cleveland Indians

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    OAKLAND, CA - MAY 03:  Grady Sizemore #24 backs up Shin-Soo Choo #17 of the Cleveland Indians while Choo makes a catch on a ball hit by Mark Ellis #14 of the Oakland Athletics Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on May 3, 2011 in Oakland, California.  (Photo
    Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

    The Cleveland Indians are in a rebuilding mode as well. Once upon a time, they traded Bartolo Colon for Grady Sizemore, Cliff Lee and Brandon Phillips. Still to this day it is an unbelievable trade and again makes you wonder what Montreal could have been.

    Anyway, the Indians are trying to rebuild at bargain prices but aren’t having much luck. Attendance is down and although they are in first place, I don’t think they would jeopardize the future for the present. Odds: 800:1

Kansas City Royals

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    DETROIT - APRIL 09:  Billy Butler #16 of the Kansas City Royals doubles to left field in the ninth inning during the game against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on April 9, 2011 in Detroit, Michigan. The Royals defeated the Tigers 3-1. (Photo by Leon
    Leon Halip/Getty Images

    The Kansas City Royals once upon a time may have made a play for Prince but those days are coming to an end. You don’t see the Royals overpaying for much of anybody anymore.

    In fact, they underpay and are stockpiling talent to make a huge run in the next few years with the amount of talent they have in the minors. Eric Hosmer and Billy Butler are both first basemen with Hosmer being far and away better defensively than Butler.

    There isn’t any room for Prince right now and they may not trade the farm to get him. Odds 750:1

Arizona Diamondbacks

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    PHOENIX, AZ - MAY 05:  Manager Kirk Gibson of the Arizona Diamondbacks high fives Justin Upton #10 after his game winning RBI single against the Colorado Rockies during the 11th inning of the Major League Baseball game at Chase Field on May 5, 2011 in Pho
    Christian Petersen/Getty Images

    The Arizona Diamondbacks have been down this road before. Sign the big name or trade for the big name and then see what happens. They did win a World Series in 2001, but haven’t done much since.

    I don’t think they are in a position to offer the money, nor would they want to lose the prospects possibly needed to get Prince. Odds: 725:1

Oakland Athletics and Pittsburgh Pirates

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    DENVER, CO - MAY 01:  Center fielder Andrew McCutchen #22 of the Pittsburgh Pirates leads off second base against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on May 1, 2011 in Denver, Colorado. The Pirates defeated the Rockies 8-4.  (Photo by Doug Pensinger/Getty
    Doug Pensinger/Getty Images

    I promise this is my last cop-out. I’m lumping together the A’s and the Pirates.

    Before you hit the comment button and scream insanity listen to my reasoning, the A’s have tried this before, and failed, with Ben Sheets. The idea was to sign him then trade him off for prospects. The A’s were to have also been rumored to have been after Adrian Beltre this offseason before he signed with Texas, so there is some type of a history.

    The Pirates are in the midst of one of the worst losing streaks in MLB history and aren’t drawing well. Still, they have some pieces in place and may try to make a splash with a huge (and that would be an understatement) signing, but it’s unlikely this will happen. Odds for both: 600:1

Los Angeles Dodgers

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    LOS ANGELES - MAY 2:  Outfielders Matt Kemp #27, Tony Gwynn Jr. #10, and Andre Ethier #16 of the Los Angeles Dodgersclelbrate after the game with the Chicago Cubs on May 2, 2011 at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. The Dodgers won 5-2.  (Photo by
    Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

    I would have put the Dodgers in the same group as the Mets, Rays and Astros but I just can’t and it’s for one reason: the Texas Rangers. As many of you may remember, last year the Rangers had filed for bankruptcy and MLB came in and payrolled the team for a couple months until new owner Nolan Ryan and company bought the team.

    I think if MLB takes over the Dodgers, there is a slight chance, if the Dodgers are in contention, that they make a move. By the trade deadline, they may have a buyer or at least the financial side figured out and be able to make a Prince deal work. Who knows with MLB? Odds: 500:1

Chicago White Sox

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    CHICAGO, IL - MAY 01: Paul Konerko #14 of the Chicago White Sox argues with the umpire after a called third strike against the Baltimore Orioles at U.S. Cellular Field on May 1, 2011 in Chicago, Illinois. The Orioles defeated the White Sox 6-4.  (Photo by
    Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

    The White Sox are in win-now mode and so far haven’t followed through. They paid big money to sign Adam Dunn as well keep Paul Konerko. They also shelled out for reliever Jesse Crain. I can’t see them freeing up enough money to sign Prince regardless of the situation.

    Still, GM Kenny Williams has made blockbuster trades with less and if they are to get Prince, he’ll have to do it this year as well. Odds: 250:1

Colorado Rockies

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    PHOENIX, AZ - MAY 05:  Todd Helton #17 of the Colorado Rockies high fives teammates Carney Lansford, Jason Giambi #23 and Troy Tulowitzki #2 after Helton scored a fourth inning run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the Major League Baseball game at
    Christian Petersen/Getty Images

    The Colorado Rockies have huge money locked up in Car-Go and Troy Tulowitzki and don’t seem to have much more flexibility from that standpoint. Still, the Rockies are eventually, sooner rather than later, going to have to replace Jason Giambi and Todd Helton.

    I’m not sure if the Rockies are in a position to trade or sign Prince but they do have a glaring need at first base coming soon. Odds: 200:1

Milwaukee Brewers

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    PITTSBURGH, PA - APRIL 13:  Ryan Braun #8 of the Milwaukee Brewers walks to the dugout after striking out during their game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on April 13, 2011 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)
    Scott Halleran/Getty Images

    The Milwaukee Brewers have tipped their hand with regards to Prince in the contract extension of Ryan Braun. Personally, I think this was the right move but it does leave Prince with a decision to make: Stay with the club that drafted him and maintain one of the top 3-4 hitter combinations in the majors or go elsewhere.

    In order for the Brewers to keep Prince, he will have to agree to significantly less money than he could get on the market. For this reason, I don’t think the Brewers keep him, but never say never. Odds: 100:1

Toronto Blue Jays

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    TORONTO, ON - APRIL 19:  Jose Bautista #19 of the Toronto Blue Jays dives back into first base during their game against the New York Yankees at Rogers Centre on April 19, 2011 in Toronto, Canada.  (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)
    Scott Halleran/Getty Images

    The Blue Jays freed up a lot of money with the trading of Vernon Wells to the Angels but I don’t know if it would be enough to get Prince. They seem to be moving in the right direction and with the power the Jays are capable of night in and night out, he would seem to be a good fit.

    I just don’t know if the Jays will go down that road of big contracts again. Odds: 100:1

Atlanta Braves

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    ATLANTA, GA - MAY 01:  Jason Heyward #22 of the Atlanta Braves waits to bat against the St. Louis Cardinals at Turner Field on May 1, 2011 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
    Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

    The Atlanta Braves are a wild card in the chase for Fielder as well. The Braves like their first baseman of the future in Freddie Freeman but if Freeman is capable of moving say across the diamond for Chipper Jones, it may make sense for the Braves to take a hard look at Fielder.

    They have Dan Uggla locked up at second and having Fielder at first would make a very powerful right side of the infield that would rival their division foes the Phillies. Odds: 100:1

New York Yankees

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    BALTIMORE - MAY 09:  Mark Teixeria #25 of the New York Yankees scores in the fourth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on May 9, 2009 in Baltimore, Maryland.  (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images)
    Greg Fiume/Getty Images

    I am so tempted to put the Yankees in the same category as the Reds, Tigers, Twins and Phillies but I can’t simply because they are the Yankees. They have an established first baseman in Mark Teixeira so there isn’t a need there.

    The only thing I could think of is if Prince doesn’t want to play first base every day and is content making millions as a DH.

    If that is the case, the Yankees have the prospects to trade for Prince and the money to sign him. They lost out on Lee and if they’re serious about Prince, they’ll land him this time. Odds: 50:1

Florida Marlins

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    CINCINNATI, OH - MAY 1: Hanley Ramirez #2 of the Florida Marlins bats against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on May 1, 2011 in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Marlins defeated the Reds 9-5. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)
    Joe Robbins/Getty Images

    The Marlins are another unique team. Usually, they are the sellers and end up getting prospects. Some of them turn into Hanley Ramirez, some of them don’t.

    The difference this time is they are moving into a new stadium with two bona fide stars in Ramirez and Josh Johnson. I personally believe both of these deals are like stealing, as if they were to hit the open market they would get three figures easily.

    With that being said, in order to get fans in the seats, the signing of Fielder would be huge. They need a first baseman and should have some money with the revenue generated from the new stadium a la Minnesota Twins. Odds: 50:1

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

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    TEMPE, AZ - FEBRUARY 26:  Kendry Morales #8 of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim gets ready to take batting practice prior to the Los Angeles Dodgers game at Tempe Diablo Stadium on February 26, 2011 in Tempe, Arizona.  (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images)
    Norm Hall/Getty Images

    The Angels have a first baseman in Kendry Morales. The problem is we’re close to a year out and he isn’t back from a leg injury that occurred last year.

    The Angels are always in the hunt for the big names on the free-agent market and if there is an opportunity to sign Fielder then they will at the cost of moving Morales. The West is getting better and the Angels, financially, have the tools to keep up with the rest of the division. Odds 25:1

San Francisco Giants

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    WASHINGTON, DC - APRIL 29:  Starting pitcher Tim Lincecum #55 of the San Francisco Giants delivers to a Washington Nationals batter at Nationals Park on April 29, 2011 in Washington, DC.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
    Rob Carr/Getty Images

    The Giants are in need of offensive help because, well, their offense has been offensive. Looking at the Giants payroll, there aren’t a lot of highly paid players with the exception of Tim Lincecum. They have money and a need to get a power hitting first baseman.

    Yes, they do have Brandon Belt but I think if they could get Prince, they’d do it. They have the pitching, as we saw last year, to win on that alone but having Fielder in that lineup makes that pitching that much scarier. Odds: 15:1

St. Louis Cardinals

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    ST. LOUIS, MO - MAY 5: Albert Pujols #5 of the St. Louis Cardinals hits a single against the Florida Marlins at Busch Stadium on May 5, 2011 in St. Louis, Missouri.  (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)
    Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

    The last of the maybe's are the Cardinals. I truly believe they will re-sign Albert to a ridiculous amount of money but he will in fact stay in St. Louis.

    However, if the two sides can’t come to some agreement, I think the Cardinals would make a push for Fielder. He wouldn’t cost as much as Pujols and isn’t the player Albert is, but he is a top-10 first baseman.

    The Cards getting him is all based on whether or not Albert re-signs. If he does, the Cardinals are now in the 10,000:1 category. If not, they immediately jump to a 10:1 favorite.

Texas Rangers

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    ARLINGTON, TX - APRIL 24:  Josh Hamilton #32 of the Texas Rangers watches from the dugout against the Kansas City Royals at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington on April 24, 2011 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
    Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

    The last few slides are who I consider the favorites to sign Fielder should they trade for him or he hits the open market. I’m going to start with the Rangers.

    I think the Rangers are in a position that they could sign Fielder to an extension if they were to trade for him. They have money now with the big television contract they signed, and have a fanbase still wanting more after their World Series appearance last year.

    If given the opportunity to upgrade from Michael Young or Mitch Moreland, the Rangers do it as fast as a Nolan Ryan fastball. Odds 10:1

Chicago Cubs

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    LOS ANGELES, CA - MAY 04:  Carlos Pena #22 of the Chicago Cubs hits a solo home run in the sixth inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium on May 4, 2011 in Los Angeles, California. The Cubs defeated the Dodgers 5-1.  (Photo by Jeff Gross/G
    Jeff Gross/Getty Images

    The Chicago Cubs are next on the list. They have money as well and signed Carlos Pena only to a one-year deal. They are in need of star power and with the uncertainty of Pujols in St. Louis, they may try and pick up another divisional rival’s first baseman.

    This is assuming a couple things: 1)The Brewers are out of it at the trade deadline (unlikely) or 2) Pujols hits free agency and the Cubs go after him, which would be 10 times sweeter. Odds: 10:1

Washington Nationals

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    VIERA, FL - FEBRUARY 25:  Bryce Harper #34 of the Washington Nationals poses for a portrait during Spring Training Photo Day at Space Coast Stadium on February 25, 2011 in Viera, Florida.  (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)
    Al Bello/Getty Images

    The Nationals have offered up big money to keep Adam Dunn and did sign Jayson Werth to an absurd contract this last offseason.

    They have star power in Stephen Strasburg and potential star power in Bryce Harper so they have some building blocks. They also have a hot catching prospect in Wilson Ramos from the Twins. Put these together along with Ryan Zimmerman and Werth, you are close to a very good, young team.

    Having Fielder in the middle of that order would automatically put them near the top of the NL East. Odds: 5:1

Baltimore Orioles

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    CHICAGO, IL - MAY 01: Brian Roberts #1 of the Baltimore Orioles hits the ball against the Chicago White Sox at U.S. Cellular Field on May 1, 2011 in Chicago, Illinois. The Orioles defeated the White Sox 6-4. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
    Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

    The Baltimore Orioles are a notch below the Nationals but are in a position to spend as well. They have a one-year deal with Derrek Lee, which would free up first base, and have stars in Brian Roberts and Nick Markakis.

    Peter Angelos used to spend all types of money and never saw much of a return. The money is starting to reassert itself and in order for the Orioles to contend in the East, they need the big bat that Fielder provides. Odds: 5:1

Seattle Mariners

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    BOSTON, MA - MAY 01:  Felix Hernandez #34 of the Seattle Mariners delivers a pitch against the Boston Red Sox on May 1, 2011 at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts.  (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
    Elsa/Getty Images

    We now come to who I think will end up with Fielder when it’s all said and done: the Seattle Mariners. If the Mariners decide to trade for him, they have some pieces to offer.

    One of which is Justin Smoak, who was acquired in the Cliff Lee trade, and Dustin Ackley, if they wanted to trade off one of their top prospects.

    Adding Fiedler to Felix and Ichiro would get people excited again in the Pacific Northwest.

    There are two things that concern me with them signing Fielder: 1) The Mariners have tried this before with Richie Sexon and Adrian Beltre, which didn’t work out too well, and 2) The Mariners spent so much money in the early 2000’s that they are just now getting out of the guaranteed money promised to those players.

    I think Seattle is primed again to return to the top of the AL West and adding Fielder would make them a favorite. Odds: 2:1

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