2011 NFL Mock Draft: Likely First Ten Picks
In the first of three editions of this article, I'll be looking at the main options that each team in the first round will consider on draft day.
Picking all 32 teams' picks is probably just as hard if not harder than picking a perfect bracket in the NCAA tournament, but in working with a few reputable draft analysts and participating in numerous podcasts where I was able to interact with other analysts, I have an idea of who teams may be targeting.ย
So, while this isn't a complete mock draft, this could be a good starting point in determining how the dominoes may fall on draft day with pick numbers one through 10.
1. Carolina Panthers
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Most people are assuming that this is going to beย Cam Newton, and I canโt say that I disagree. While there is a very slim chance that Carolina may decide at the last minute that they likeย AJ Greenย as a compliment to Steve Smith, there is really only one other option that I see for this pick:ย Marcell Dareus.
With Ron Rivera as a defensive-minded coach and the Panthers needing to fill needs in a multitude of areas, they could choose Dareus as the safe pick. You know you can plug him in on day one and youโll get a defensive upgrade.
That might be too much to pass up.
OPTIONS: Cam Newton, Marcell Dareus, AJ Green
2. Denver Broncos
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After clearing house of most of their defensive line in the offseason and switching to a 4-3 scheme, many people are pluggingย Dareusย into this spot.
Itโs likely that will happen, but donโt completely rule out the Broncos making the move and takingย Patrick Peterson. Their cornerbacks really struggled last year, Champ Bailey is aging and Perrish Cox is looking at possible suspension. Grabbing Peterson would be a huge boost to a subpar unit.
A long-shot is that the Broncos go with upside and take the risk, pulling the trigger onย Von Millerย since some scouts believe after his workouts that be might actually be a solid fit as a 4-3 OLB.
OPTIONS: Marcell Dareus, Patrick Peterson, Von Miller
3. Buffalo Bills
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The Bills are another team that could go a number of ways here. Theyโd love to haveย Newtonย fall to them, but it seems highly unlikely.ย
Dareusย is another player they would run to the podium for, but if both of them are drafted, it could create an interesting scenario.
The Bills need help on defense and Nix has openly talked about his desire to land a playmaker. Pair that with the brutally honest criticism of Aaron Maybin and his lack of production andย Von Millerย looks likely. The Bills will plug him in across from Merriman and hope to have a pass-rushing nightmare duo.
OPTIONS: Marcell Dareus, Von Miller, Cam Newton
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4. Cincinnati Bengals
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With Carson Palmer claiming that he wants out, the Bengals could take a long look atย Blaine Gabbert.
If they decide to wait and hope that a guy like Colin Kaepernick, Ryan Mallett or Christian Ponder is there in the second, the Bengals could look to eitherย AJ Greenย orย Julio Jonesย to replace a disgruntled Chad Ochocino and departed Terrell Owens.
OPTIONS: ย Blaine Gabbert, AJ Green, Julio Jones
5. Arizona Cardinals
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With the lack of free agency period before the draft, the Cardinals lost the chance to find a veteran to take over the reins from the collection of Max Hall, John Skelton and Derek Anderson. That might force their hand to take Gabbert if he is still on the board.
If they decide to wait or Gabbert is gone, I think theyโll look to add some help to their OLB corps. That could come in the form ofย Von Millerย orย Robert Quinn. Either one would start from day one and help add some pass rush.
OPTIONS: Blaine Gabbert, Von Miller, Robert Quinn
6. Cleveland Browns
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The Browns are another team switching defenses who are looking to add some new blood to their front seven.
Since Dareus wonโt make it this far and Bowers has concerns about his knee, expect Cleveland to at least considerย Nickย Fairleyย in this spot. After releasing Shaun Rodgers, there is a spot open at DT that Fairley could be a great fit for. The Browns could also choose to stay on the defensive line and add a pass-rushing DE likeย Robert Quinn.
More likely, the Browns will grab a weapon for potential long-term starter Colt McCoy and take eitherย AJ Greenย orย Julio Jones, whichever one of them is left on the board. But I canโt see Green falling past this pick.
OPTIONS: AJ Green, Julio Jones, Nick Fairley, Robert Quinn
7. San Francisco 49ers
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The 49ers are in pretty good shape and probably have enough talent on the roster not to have a top-10 pick.
They certainly have a QB need, but I donโt think Harbaugh will go after any of the mobile options here.
That leaves CBsย Patrick Petersonย orย Prince Amukamaraย to help shore up the secondary and perhaps move Nate Clements over to Safety where he probably belongs at this point in his career.
The other possibility is to add some pass rush off the outside where Manny Lawson has continued to under-perform. With Miller likely gone, that would leaveย Robert Quinnย as the only possibility for that position.
However, I canโt see Peterson falling below this pick.
OPTIONS: Patrick Peterson, Prince Amukamara, Robert Quinn
8. Tennessee Titans
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The Titans have been searching for a stud DT since Albert Haynesworth left town and ifย Nick Fairleyย is on the board, I believe he will be the pick.
The other option, should he happen to fall, would beย Blaine Gabbert. Tennessee likes mobile QBs and would have no hesitation in taking Gabbert to replace Vince Young. This is also why youโll likely hereย Jake Lockerโsย name brought up in discussion. He is a long-shot, but a possibility.
OPTIONS: Nick Fairley, Blaine Gabbert, Jake Locker
9. Dallas Cowboys
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Dallas is another team that could go a few directions with their pick. They are in need of an offensive tackle, even if they are still enamored with Doug Free.ย Tyron Smithย appears to be the #1 tackle on many boards and could be a fit here.
Dallas could also shore up their CB position and draftย Amukamaraย if he were to fall.
Or they could go in another direction altogether and grab some help for their defensive line with versatileย Cam Jordan.
OPTIONS: Tyron Smith, Prince Amukamara, Cameron Jordan
10. Washington Redskins
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In my opinion, this is the farthest Julio Jonesย will fall. Washington needs a true number one WR and they wouldnโt pass on him if heโs here.
Since heโll likely be gone, look for Washington to address their defensive line. They play with some scheme versatility, so grabbing guys who can play in a number of schemes would benefit them.ย DaโQuan Bowersย and JJ Wattย might be the two best options.
Washington has also been linked to Locker for a while. Iโm not sure theyโll take him this high, but they certainly like him, so anything is possible.
OPTIONS: DaโQuan Bowers, JJ Watt, Jake Locker, Julio Jones
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.jpg?w=2560 "Players with Shocking Career Earnings ๐ณ")
