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NFL Draft 2011: Why Do Mock Drafts Seemingly All Have the Exact Same Top 10?

Matt SmithApr 22, 2011

As much as I love mock drafts, this is really starting to irritate me.

Why does it seem that whenever you try to click on a mock draft, people always have a similar top 10? People read high profile mock drafts such as Mel Kiper's, and once they hear a reason, they instantly think that is going to be the pick.

It may be news to some, but it's not.

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Just browsing around B/R, how many mock drafts have Cam Newton going No.1 to the Panthers? A ton. 

And how many mock drafts have Marcell Dareus going No.2 to the Broncos? Even more. 

It also seems that Von Miller to the Bills is a popular pick at No.3. See a trend?

Tell me if this Top 10 scenario seems pretty familiar.

1) Carolina Panthers: Cam Newton, QB, Auburn

2) Denver Broncos: Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama

3) Buffalo Bills: Von Miller, LB, Texas A&M

4) Cincinnati Bengals: A.J. Green, WR, Georgia

5) Arizona Cardinals: Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri

6) Cleveland Browns: Julio Jones, WR, Alabama or Robert Quinn, DE, UNC

7) San Francisco 49ers: Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU

8) Tennessee Titans: Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn

9) Dallas Cowboys: Tyron Smith, OT, USC or J.J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin

10) Washington Redskins: Julio Jones, WR, Alabama or a top Defensive End

This scenario does seem fairly common, doesn't it? Just looking at the top expert's picks, you see the same thing that many here on B/R are putting.

Just looking at all the mock drafts, I don't know how many times I have seen this scenario. In fact, I've seen it so many times I might be tempted to think this is how the draft will actually turn out.

It just becomes tiresome to hear the same thing over and over, with people citing the same reasons as to why the Panthers will take Cam Newton No.1 or why Patrick Peterson falls to the 49ers.

Whenever I go around looking for a mock draft, I look for a new perspective. I don't look to see the exact same thing every time I go around. Sure, there is fluctuation from picks 11-32, but it's time for more diversity within the top picks.

By putting a different pick than what all the experts have mocked, people think they'll be wrong. Or that part of their reasoning is flawed because the experts have some good points behind their picks. They don't want to argue with the people who are supposed to know the most.

But the truth is, even the experts are going to be wrong for a solid amount of their picks.

It's time for people to think more on their own, instead of browsing for mock drafts and looking at the experts, and then citing reasons as to why the experts are right.

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