Projected Stats for the 2011 Mets Starters

Based on previous results, contract year motivation, hunches, research and more, I have created a projected stat line for all of the New York Mets starters this year. Let me preface the slide show by saying these are just projections and do not account for injuries. These are meant to be ballpark numbers and should not be taken exactly as written.

Josh Thole

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PORT ST. LUCIE, FL - FEBRUARY 24: Josh Thole #30 of the New York Mets poses for a portrait during the New York Mets Photo Day on February 24, 2011 at Digital Domain Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

Josh Thole is a good, young player with a lot of potential. He doesn't have much pop, but he makes up for that with his ability to hit the ball to all parts of the field and make contact.

Average: .285

OBP: .335

Slugging: .380

OPS: .715

Home Runs: 7

RBI: 50

Steals: 1

Ike Davis

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PORT ST. LUCIE, FL - FEBRUARY 24: Ike Davis #29 of the New York Mets poses for a portrait during the New York Mets Photo Day on February 24, 2011 at Digital Domain Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

Ike Davis will avoid the sophomore slump, and he will put up All-Star worthy numbers.

Average: .280

OBP: .350

Slugging: .420

OPS: .770

Home Runs: 26

RBI: 90

Steals: 4

Daniel Murphy

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PORT ST. LUCIE, FL - FEBRUARY 24: RY 24: RY 24: Daniel Murphy #28 of the New York Mets poses for a portrait during the New York Mets Photo Day on February 24, 2011 at Digital Domain Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

This is assuming he wins the second-base battle.

Average: .270

OBP: .330

Slugging: .410

OPS: .740

Home Runs: 18

RBI: 75

Steals: 2

Jose Reyes

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PORT ST. LUCIE, FL - FEBRUARY 24: Jose Reyes #7 of the New York Mets poses for a portrait during the New York Mets Photo Day on February 24, 2011 at Digital Domain Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

Reyes is playing for a contract, and nothing he does this year could possibly surprise me.

Average: .300 

OBP: .380

Slugging: .390

OPS: .770

Home Runs: 17

RBI: 70

Steals: 50

David Wright

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PORT ST. LUCIE, FL - FEBRUARY 24: David Wright # 5 of the New York Mets poses for a portrait during the New York Mets Photo Day on February 24, 2011 at Digital Domain Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

The Mets' best hitter last year, he's still getting better.

Average: .305 

OBP: .385

Slugging: .480

OPS: .865

Home Runs: 32

RBI: 115

Steals: 27

Jason Bay

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PORT ST. LUCIE, FL - FEBRUARY 24: Jason Bay #44 of the New York Mets poses for a portrait during the New York Mets Photo Day on February 24, 2011 at Digital Domain Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

He's going to have a bounce-back year; he'll be the hitter he was with Pittsburgh.

Average: .280

OBP: .350

Slugging: .415

OPS: .765

Home Runs: 28

RBI: 100

Steals: 10

Angel Pagan

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PORT ST. LUCIE, FL - FEBRUARY 24: RY 24: RY 24: RY 24: RY 24: Angel Pagan #16 of the New York Mets poses for a portrait during the New York Mets Photo Day on February 24, 2011 at Digital Domain Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Elsa/Getty I

One of last season's only bright spots.

Average: .280

OBP: .360

Slugging: .350

OPS: .710

Home Runs: 11

RBI: 65

Steals: 35

Carlos Beltran

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PORT ST. LUCIE, FL - FEBRUARY 24: RY 24: RY 24: Carlos Beltran #15 of the New York Mets poses for a portrait during the New York Mets Photo Day on February 24, 2011 at Digital Domain Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

This is assuming he doesn't miss too much time with his current injury.

Average: .280 

OBP: .320

Slugging: .400

OPS: .720

Home Runs: 25

RBI: 90

Steals: 10

Mike Pelfrey

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PORT ST. LUCIE, FL - FEBRUARY 24: RY 24: Mike Pelfrey #34 of the New York Mets poses for a portrait during the New York Mets Photo Day on February 24, 2011 at Digital Domain Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

He'll have a solid, yet unspectacular year.

Wins: 16

Losses: 10

ERA: 3.10

WHIP: 1.12

Strikeouts: 120

Jonathan Niese

Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

CHICAGO - SEPTEMBER 05: Starting pitcher Jonathan Niese #49 of the New York Mets delivers the ball against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on September 5, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois. The Mets defeated the Cubs 18-5. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

Niese is a serviceable pitcher who should have a successful year.

Wins: 15

Losses: 10

ERA: 3.50

WHIP: 1.20

Strikeouts: 180

R.A. Dickey

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PORT ST. LUCIE, FL - FEBRUARY 24: RY 24: R.A. Dickey #43 of the New York Mets poses for a portrait during the New York Mets Photo Day on February 24, 2011 at Digital Domain Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

He'll continue to be successful—but not as successful as he was last year.

Wins: 12

Losses: 8

ERA: 3.10

WHIP: 1.30

Strikeouts: 100

Chris Young

Marc Serota/Getty Images

JUPITER, FL - MARCH 04: Pitcher Chris Young #55 of the New York Mets throws against the Florida Marlins at Roger Dean Stadium on March 4, 2011 in Jupiter, Florida. (Photo by Marc Serota/Getty Images)

This 6' 10" beast is going to prove all of his doubters wrong and return to his pre-injury form.

Wins: 16

Losses: 7

ERA: 3.00

WHIP: 1.15

Strikeouts: 170

Chris Capuano

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PORT ST. LUCIE, FL - MARCH 03: Pitcher Chris Capuano #38 of the New York Mets throws against the St. Louis Cardinals at Digital Domain Park on March 3, 2011 in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Marc Serota/Getty Images)

He won't be able to regain his form and recover from two Tommy John surgeries.

Wins: 10

Losses: 12

ERA: 4.30

WHIP: 1.35

Strikeouts: 100

Francisco Rodriguez

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PORT ST. LUCIE, FL - MARCH 03: Pitcher Francisco Rodriguez #75 of the New York Mets throws against the St. Louis Cardinals at Digital Domain Park on March 3, 2011 in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Marc Serota/Getty Images)

K-Rod will play well and be traded; however, he will not finish a lot of games in order to avoid his vesting option.

Wins: 3

Losses: 3 

ERA: 2.35

WHIP: 1.05

Strikeouts: 65