NFL Power Rankings Week 4

NFL Power Rankings

9/23/2008 Rankings

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

September 23rd, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate all every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
1.	Dallas Cowboys	0	90.6%	31.8	15.7
2.	Philadelphia Eagles	+1	77.8%	25.4	13.4
3.	New York Giants	-1	73.9%	25.4	15.5
4.	Buffalo Bills	+3	70.2%	22.7	18.9
5.	Tennessee Titans	+6	69.9%	23.6	17.3
6.	San Diego Chargers	+7	68.3%	29.3	20.1
7.	Denver Broncos	+2	66.9%	25.5	21.8
8.	Green Bay Packers	-4	65.0%	23.1	19.2
9.	Pittsburgh Steelers	-3	63.7%	20.7	14.0
10.	Chicago Bears	+8	61.4%	21.2	19.9
11.	Minnesota Vikings	+4	56.7%	23.6	21.5
12.	Jacksonville Jaguars	+14	54.7%	20.7	15.8
13.	Carolina Panthers	-1	54.4%	19.9	15.1
14.	Arizona Cardinals	-4	54.1%	23.7	21.0
15.	Indianapolis Colts	-10	52.8%	20.4	20.8
16.	Washington Redskins	+3	52.0%	23.3	19.6
17.	San Francisco 49ers	+4	51.6%	24.5	21.4
18.	New York Jets	-2	50.5%	24.8	23.2
19.	Miami Dolphins	+10	49.1%	22.2	23.2
20.	New Orleans Saints	-3	47.5%	22.8	23.7
21.	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-1	46.0%	21.3	19.9
22.	Oakland Raiders	+6	44.7%	20.5	23.0
23.	Baltimore Ravens	+1	40.1%	18.3	19.0
24.	Atlanta Falcons	-1	39.8%	19.7	27.0
25.	New England Patriots	-17	33.7%	17.5	22.8
26.	Seattle Seahawks	-4	32.7%	19.8	24.3
27.	Cleveland Browns	-13	26.7%	14.8	26.5
28.	Cincinnati Bengals	+4	24.6%	13.7	26.7
29.	Houston Texans	-2	24.4%	17.7	23.8
30.	Detroit Lions	-5	20.3%	16.2	30.8
31.	St. Louis Rams	-1	18.4%	16.1	30.1
32.	Kansas City Chiefs	-1	17.8%	16.5	31.6

Paul Bessire is the Senior Quantitative Analyst and Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com and a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at [e-mail]. Thanks!