NFL Football Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: September 21st 2008

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Minnesota Vikings -3.5 (-110) NFL Odds - Sunday, September 21st ‘08 1:00p
The Minnesota Vikings are making the quarterback switch to Gus Frerotte this week, and we feel that should be enough to get a handy win over the Carolina Panthers here. Considering that the Vikings should have beaten the Indianapolis Colts even with the beleaguered Tarvaris Jackson at QB last week, and that they were not embarrassed by the Green Bay Packers opening night, we see this move as a positive. After all, Frerotte has the ability to convert third-and-mediums, unlike Jackson who has missed several wide open receivers this year, and Frerotte has the smarts not to turn he ball over. When you can hand the ball off to Adrian Peterson in the backfield, all the Vikings need from their quarterback is to not lose the game for them. Jackson did just that vs. the Colts. While Gus is an upgrade, Minnesota still figures to feed the ball to AP often, as the Panthers currently rank 15 in the NFL against the run and they made Matt Forte look like Walter Payton last week. The difference will at quarterback will become noticeable on third down however. Now Carolina is 2-0 and they get their top receiver Steve Smith back this week. That may be a moot point though if Jared Allen visits Jake Delhomme in the backfield as much as he did with Peyton Manning last week. Also, the Panthers should have trouble running here, which would make them a one-dimensional offense. Finally, the Vikings had division title aspirations before this season, making this a must-win game for them after an 0-2 start. We feel they will break through with the change under center. NFL Free Pick: Vikings -3.5 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits
 
Miami Dolphins +12.5 (-110) Football Odds - Sunday, September 21st ‘08 1:00p
The New England Patriots made a statement by beating the New York Jets without Brady last week, but a letdown is inevitable here vs. the Miami Dolphins, and truth be told, the Patriots were not really that impressive in that win. Sure, the defense was great for the most part in the 19-10 triumph, but the Pats were also helped by some questionable play-calling when the Jets got inside the five-yard line, as one of the best quarterbacks in NFL history, Brett Favre, was not allowed to throw any passes from that area. Some more imaginative calls may have resulted in a different ending. Nonetheless, New England earned the win by throwing everything they had at he Jets defensively. Keep in mind that this is an old defense however, and the secondary is a tad shaky for the first time in memory. It is doubtful that this unit can match that same intensity two weeks in a row, especially vs. the hapless Dolphins. Now Chad Pennington does not have a powerful arm for Miami, but he does manage a game well and he has had some good game vs. New England in the past while with the Jets. As long as he could keep the Dolphins out of third-and-long situations, they could shorten this game with some time-consuming drives. If that comes to fruition, taking these double-digit points becomes even more valuable, not to mention the fact that the New England offense is not explosive with Matt Cassel at the helm. NFL Free Pick: Dolphins +12.5 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits

Cincinnati Bengals +14.0 - Sunday, September 21st ‘08 1:00p
The Cincinnati Bengals(0-2) and their hosts the defending champion NY Giants(2-0) , are currently performing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum. The Giants won their opening game of the season,defeating the Redskins 16-7 on national tv on opening night, and than last week took advantage of a horrendous St.Louis Rams team, beating them senseless in front of their own town fans, for a lopsided 41-13 decision. Meanwhile, The Bengals, lost to the Baltimore Ravens 17-10 in their opener ,before struggling again last week in a windy 24-7 loss at home in Paul Brown Stadium to the Tennessee Titans. Needless to say, because of those above mentioned results, just about everyone and his dog has piled on the Giants band wagon,despite of the hefty number the books are asking bettors to cover. It is obvious, the media pundits, have been swayed by the defending champs early season performances after doubting their abilities early on, and are currently bombarding the public, with over whelming praise for the Gmen . I however, am still stubbornly not completely sold, on the Giants premature early season coronation. With that said, Im willing to make a contrarian bet, that the desperate 0-2 underdog Bengals, still have enough pride, talent and determination to make a game out of this. Final notes & Key Trends: The Giants L/22 regular season games, have seen them ring up a positive 16-6 ATS mark, BUT the average margin of victory clicks in at only 3.6 PPG. Giants HC Coughlin, has seen his team fail to cover 15 of his L/19 after two straight covers. Play on the Bengals to cover - Courtesy of Alex Smart