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College Basketball Handicapping: Best and Worst Teams Off Win or Loss Revealed

Joe DuffyFeb 3, 2011

Yesterday, we were four letters off. We stated that ESPN’s Chad Millman had renamed the long-standing sports handicapping tool of Margin of Cover as the “sweat meter.” He in fact refers to it as the “sweat barometer.” By any name though, the “Margin of Cover” (+/- how much a team did or did not cover by) continues to be a betting weapon.

Now that sports betting experts know the top MOC teams in NCAA basketball to bet on or against, how about analyzing which teams in college basketball are best and worst coming off straight-up wins and losses?

Cal Poly has been the top “predictably unpredictable” squad as they are 1-7 against the spread off a straight-up win, but 8-1 off a straight-up loss.

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The Best Teams Off an Outright Win

Team                         Record Against the Spread

Hawaii                        8-1

George Mason           13-3

Texas                         12-3

Cleveland State         11-3

However, the following teams can’t stand prosperity.

The Best Teams to Bet Against Off a Straight-Up Win

Team                         Record Against the Spread

Miss State                  1-8

Ohio                           1-7

Miami Ohio                 1-7

Southern Illinois         1-7

Cal Poly                     1-7

Michigan State           2-9

Who are the best bounce-back teams?

Only two teams have been particularly impressive against the sportsbook odds coming off of a straight up setback.

Team                         Record Against the Spread

Cal Poly                      8-1

San Francisco             7-1

Conversely, losing is quite contagious for these spread disasters.

The Worst Teams to Bet On—or The Best Teams to Bet Against Off a Straight-Up Loss

Team                       Record Against the Spread

Fordham                    1-8

Texas Tech                1-7

Florida Intl.                1-7

Arkansas State          1-7

San Diego                  3-13

For more information: Get today’s top sports picks and the video preview of Super Bowl 2011 on the OffshoreInsiders.com Network.

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