College Football Power Rankings (Week 4)

CFB Power Rankings

9/17/2008 Rankings

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

September 17th, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up 100 times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team.

All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
1.	USC Trojans	+3	99.2%	60.7	5.4
2.	Oklahoma Sooners	+1	97.3%	50.5	11.9
3.	Missouri Tigers	+5	96.1%	54.5	19.9
4.	Florida Gators	+2	95.8%	45.8	7.4
5.	Georgia Bulldogs	-4	92.8%	47.7	15.1
6.	LSU Tigers	-1	92.0%	45.0	10.7
7.	Texas Longhorns	0	91.8%	48.2	15.2
8.	Wisconsin Badgers	+3	86.3%	40.0	17.9
9.	Penn State Nittany Lions	+7	86.1%	39.5	16.7
10.	Alabama Crimson Tide	-1	84.2%	32.6	10.9
11.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	+4	83.7%	43.8	20.1
12.	South Florida Bulls	+5	81.8%	39.9	15.8
13.	Auburn Tigers	+10	81.3%	29.2	10.0
14.	Ball State Cardinals	+43	81.2%	41.1	22.9
15.	Ohio State Buckeyes	-13	81.1%	33.8	15.4
16.	Oregon Ducks	-2	80.7%	37.7	17.4
17.	TCU Horned Frogs	+5	80.0%	28.8	10.1
18.	East Carolina Pirates	-5	79.9%	35.7	16.2
19.	Utah Utes	+7	79.8%	31.0	12.2
20.	Brigham Young Cougars	+16	78.7%	39.6	19.5
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
21.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	+4	78.3%	37.0	22.4
22.	Florida State Seminoles	+5	78.2%	33.0	19.5
23.	W. Virginia Mountaineers	-11	77.4%	32.9	19.2
24.	Kansas Jayhawks	-14	76.1%	30.1	18.0
25.	Boise State Broncos	+13	75.5%	37.3	19.2
26.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	+4	75.4%	35.8	23.5
27.	Kansas State Wildcats	+13	75.1%	32.1	20.2
28.	Baylor Bears	+38	74.8%	36.0	20.1
29.	North Carolina Tar Heels	+12	74.1%	34.5	24.1
30.	GA Tech Yellow Jackets	+17	72.6%	26.8	17.8
31.	Tennessee Volunteers	-3	71.9%	30.3	16.8
32.	Arkansas St. Indians	+36	71.4%	32.7	21.6
33.	Clemson Tigers	-13	71.1%	30.2	22.3
34.	Fresno State Bulldogs	+1	71.0%	35.1	20.8
35.	California Golden Bears	-14	70.8%	31.9	20.2
36.	Connecticut Huskies	+1	69.7%	30.6	16.6
37.	WF Demon Deacons	-18	69.3%	26.0	18.6
38.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	+13	68.9%	41.5	27.6
39.	Iowa Hawkeyes	+4	67.3%	28.9	21.2
40.	Arizona St. Sun Devils	-6	67.0%	32.5	23.4
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
41.	Troy Trojans	+47	65.1%	25.7	15.0
42.	Indiana Hoosiers	+4	64.7%	25.2	19.7
43.	Minn. Golden Gophers	+15	64.1%	30.5	24.8
44.	Mississippi Rebels	-12	63.4%	30.1	22.1
45.	Maryland Terrapins	+39	63.1%	25.6	23.0
46.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-28	62.7%	27.9	23.9
47.	Michigan State Spartans	-3	61.8%	25.7	22.2
48.	Northwestern Wildcats	+28	61.4%	23.8	20.0
49.	Navy Midshipmen	+31	60.3%	34.7	27.0
50.	Purdue Boilermakers	-19	58.2%	24.6	22.2
51.	Arizona Wildcats	-27	56.8%	23.6	20.3
52.	Vanderbilt Commodores	+18	56.6%	24.2	20.7
53.	S. Carolina Gamecocks	+1	55.9%	18.1	15.9
54.	Cincinnati Bearcats	-21	54.1%	27.0	23.5
55.	Kentucky Wildcats	-26	53.0%	18.7	17.4
56.	Colorado Buffaloes	-3	52.5%	17.9	20.6
57.	Iowa State Cyclones	+37	51.5%	23.4	26.6
58.	Arkansas Razorbacks	+5	51.1%	26.2	24.9
59.	Buffalo Bulls	+19	49.5%	26.2	23.7
60.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	+27	47.9%	23.6	23.0
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
61.	Northern Illinois Huskies	+29	46.3%	25.8	29.6
62.	UNLV Rebels	+34	46.0%	18.5	23.1
63.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	+8	45.8%	14.0	20.6
64.	Houston Cougars	-16	44.6%	26.1	28.5
65.	Virginia Tech Hokies	-10	43.0%	15.7	23.2
66.	Rice Owls	+19	42.1%	22.6	25.9
67.	Duke Blue Devils	0	42.0%	16.6	25.8
68.	Michigan Wolverines	-19	41.4%	14.2	22.0
69.	Florida Atlantic Owls	+8	41.3%	23.5	24.9
70.	Louisville Cardinals	-1	41.1%	15.5	18.8
71.	S. Miss Golden Eagles	-12	40.7%	23.1	26.0
72.	Air Force Falcons	-30	40.5%	17.6	22.9
73.	Pittsburgh Panthers	-13	40.2%	13.5	23.2
74.	C. Michigan Chippewas	-18	39.3%	19.0	26.9
75.	Nevada Wolf Pack	-23	39.2%	20.4	29.4
76.	W. Michigan Broncos	+15	37.7%	19.6	27.2
77.	Akron Zips	+26	37.4%	20.3	29.7
78.	Boston College Eagles	-17	37.2%	12.3	24.1
79.	UCLA Bruins	-34	36.3%	17.8	26.1
80.	Mid Tenn Blue Raiders	+17	36.0%	17.9	22.8
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
81.	Ohio Bobcats	-19	35.8%	16.1	24.7
82.	E. Michigan Eagles	+28	35.5%	17.3	27.4
83.	Toledo Rockets	+10	35.1%	17.8	27.2
84.	San Jose State Spartans	+29	34.9%	15.6	26.3
85.	Temple Owls	-21	34.8%	13.7	27.0
86.	Oregon State Beavers	-3	34.4%	15.9	25.0
87.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	-48	33.9%	16.1	28.7
88.	Marshall Thundering Herd	+4	33.5%	19.3	26.2
89.	Kent St. Golden Flashes	+16	29.1%	15.3	29.1
90.	Texas A&M Aggies	-16	26.3%	13.5	27.2
91.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	-10	25.7%	12.7	28.0
92.	Washington Huskies	-17	25.4%	14.2	28.8
93.	New Mexico Lobos	-11	25.2%	12.3	25.5
94.	Colorado St. Rams	+14	24.4%	13.9	27.5
95.	Bowling Green Falcons	-16	23.0%	8.9	26.4
96.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	-31	22.9%	9.2	24.5
97.	NC St. Wolfpack	+14	22.9%	9.6	30.0
98.	Memphis Tigers	+2	21.9%	17.0	31.4
99.	Stanford Cardinal	-27	21.4%	10.6	29.4
100.	LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns	-1	20.5%	12.3	32.5
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
101.	Hawaii Warriors	-3	19.8%	11.2	27.2
102.	SMU Mustangs	0	19.8%	14.9	32.9
103.	UAB Blazers	+9	19.5%	15.9	31.9
104.	Virginia Cavaliers	-18	18.6%	8.9	31.7
105.	LA-Monroe Warhawks	-16	18.0%	13.4	30.6
106.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	-2	16.7%	8.6	31.1
107.	Wyoming Cowboys	-34	16.6%	10.6	30.1
108.	UCF Knights	-58	15.9%	9.2	27.1
109.	New Mexico State Aggies	-14	15.7%	9.9	34.0
110.	Tulane Green Wave	-3	15.2%	8.9	27.7
111.	Army Black Knights	+8	12.9%	9.4	30.8
112.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	-6	12.7%	10.2	29.9
113.	Idaho Vandals	-4	12.1%	10.8	32.6
114.	UTEP Miners	-13	10.9%	9.4	33.6
115.	Washington St. Cougars	-1	10.5%	7.5	34.0
116.	Syracuse Orange	0	10.5%	7.2	37.0
117.	North Texas Mean Green	+3	9.2%	9.8	34.5
118.	San Diego State Aztecs	-3	8.6%	8.2	34.0
119.	Utah State Aggies	-2	8.5%	6.9	35.9
120.	Fla. Int. Golden Panthers	-2	4.0%	6.4	35.2

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