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CHICAGO, IL - DECEMBER 12: Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots passes against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field on December 12, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois.  The Patriots beat the Bears 36-7.  (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)
CHICAGO, IL - DECEMBER 12: Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots passes against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field on December 12, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois. The Patriots beat the Bears 36-7. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

NFL Week 17 Playoff Picture: Every Team's Best-Case, Worst-Case Scenario

John SmithDec 28, 2010

Here it is—finally—week 17 of the NFL season has come. With nine of the 12 spots already clinched, three playoff spots will be decided in the final week.

But only two teams, the New England Patriots (AFC number one seed) and the Philadelphia Eagles (NFC third seed), know what seed they are getting. The rest of the seeds in both leagues are up for grabs.

Teams that have clinched:

AFC: New England Patriots, Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore Ravens, Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets

NFC: Atlanta Falcons, Chicago Bears, Philadelphia Eagles, New Orleans Saints 

Currently in the Playoffs, but could miss it:

AFC: Indianapolis Colts

NFC: Green Bay Packers, Seattle Seahawks

Could Steal a Playoff Spot:

AFC: Jacksonville Jaguars

NFC: New York Giants, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, St. Louis Rams

First, the easy to digest, AFC playoff picture.

1. New England Patriots (13-2)—Clinched AFC East and Number One Seed in AFC

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ORCHARD PARK, NY - DECEMBER 26:  Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots throws a pass against the Buffalo Bills  at Ralph Wilson Stadium on December 26, 2010 in Orchard Park, New York.  New England won 34-3.  (Photo by Rick Stewart/Getty Images)
ORCHARD PARK, NY - DECEMBER 26: Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots throws a pass against the Buffalo Bills at Ralph Wilson Stadium on December 26, 2010 in Orchard Park, New York. New England won 34-3. (Photo by Rick Stewart/Getty Images)

The Patriots simply have no best-case, worst case scenario. With their victory over the Bills in week 16 the Patriots have locked up the number one seed in the AFC playoffs and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.

Behind the arm of Tom Brady and the brains of Bill Belichick this team has cruised to a 13-2 start.

Arguably one of most impressive teams in the NFL season so far, the Super Bowl on the AFC side will go through Foxboro, Massachusetts.

2. Pittsburgh Steelers (11-4)

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PITTSBURGH - DECEMBER 23:  Ben Roethlisberger #7 of the Pittsburgh Steelers throws a pass during the game against the Carolina Panthers on December 23, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)
PITTSBURGH - DECEMBER 23: Ben Roethlisberger #7 of the Pittsburgh Steelers throws a pass during the game against the Carolina Panthers on December 23, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (5-10)

Best Case: 12-4, 2nd Seed, AFC North Champions; 77 percent

How to get there: Beat Cleveland, or have Baltimore lose to Cincinnati

Bad Case: 11-5, 5th Seed, Wild Card; 3 percent

How to miss a first-round bye: Lose to Cleveland, Ravens beat Bengals, and Bills beat Jets.

Worst Case: 11-5, 6th Seed, Wild Card; 20 percent

How to miss a first-round bye: Lose to Cleveland, Ravens beat Bengals, and Jets beat Bills.

What will happen?

Even though the game is on the road, the Steelers will prove to be to tough for the Dawg Pound. They will defeat the Cleveland Browns and lock up the second seed in the playoffs. Securing themselves a first-round bye. 

Playoff Odds used throughout this piece via Playoff Status

3. Kansas City Chiefs (10-5)—Clinched AFC West

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KANSAS CITY, MO - DECEMBER 26:  Quarterback Matt Cassel #7 of the Kansas City Chiefs scrambles during the game against the Tennessee Titans on December 26, 2010 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.  (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)
KANSAS CITY, MO - DECEMBER 26: Quarterback Matt Cassel #7 of the Kansas City Chiefs scrambles during the game against the Tennessee Titans on December 26, 2010 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders (5-10)

Best Case: 11-5, 3rd Seed, AFC West Champions; 79 percent

How to get there: Beat Oakland or have Indianapolis lose to Tennessee.

Worst Case: 10-6, 4th Seed, AFC West Champions; 21 percent

How to miss out on the third seed: Lose to Oakland and have Indianapolis beat Tennessee.

What will happen?

The Chiefs, although losing to the Raiders on the road earlier in the year, will play with a sense of urgency and beat Oakland this time and lock up the third seed. Regardless of any outcome, they will play against either the Steelers, Ravens, or Jets at home in the Wild Card round of the playoffs

Playoff Odds used throughout this piece via Playoff Status

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4. Indianapolis Colts (9-6)

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OAKLAND, CA - DECEMBER 26:  Peyton Manning #18 of the Indianapolis Colts passes against the Oakland Raiders during an NFL game at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on December  26, 2010 in Oakland, California.  (Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images)
OAKLAND, CA - DECEMBER 26: Peyton Manning #18 of the Indianapolis Colts passes against the Oakland Raiders during an NFL game at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on December 26, 2010 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans (6-9)

Best Case: 10-6, 3rd Seed, AFC South Champions; 21 percent

How to get here: Beat Tennessee and have Oakland beat Kansas City 

Good Case: 9-7, 4th Seed, AFC South Champions; 65 percent

How to sneak into the playoffs: Beat Tennessee, but the Chiefs beat the Raiders; or have the Texans beat the Jaguars.

Worst Case: 8-6, Out of Playoffs; 14 percent

How to sit on the couch during January: Lose to Titans, and Jaguars beat the Texans.

What will happen?

Although they will beat the Texans on the road, Peyton Manning will lead the Colts to a victory over the Titans and knock the Jaguars out of the playoffs.  

Playoff Odds used throughout this piece via Playoff Status

5. Baltimore Ravens (11-4)

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CLEVELAND - DECEMBER 26:  Quarterback Joe Flacco #5 of the Baltimore Ravens runs against the Cleveland Browns at Cleveland Browns Stadium on December 26, 2010 in Cleveland, Ohio.  (Photo by Matt Sullivan/Getty Images)
CLEVELAND - DECEMBER 26: Quarterback Joe Flacco #5 of the Baltimore Ravens runs against the Cleveland Browns at Cleveland Browns Stadium on December 26, 2010 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Matt Sullivan/Getty Images)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals (4-11)

Best Case: 12-4, 2nd Seed, AFC North Champions; 23 percent

How to get there: Beat Cincinnati, and have Pittsburgh lose to Cleveland 

Worst Case: 11-5, 5th Seed, Wild Card; 77 percent

How to miss out on a first-round bye: Lose to Cincinnati, or have Pittsburgh beat Cleveland

What will happen?

Although the Ravens will beat the Bengals, the Steelers will also beat the Browns. This will force the Ravens to miss a first-round bye, and they will be forced to play on the road for at least the first two rounds of the playoffs.  

Playoff Odds used throughout this piece via Playoff Status

6. New York Jets (10-5)

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PITTSBURGH, PA - DECEMBER 19:  Mark Sanchez #6 of the New York Jets runs for a touchdown during the game against Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field on December 19, 2010 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Karl Walter/Getty Images)
PITTSBURGH, PA - DECEMBER 19: Mark Sanchez #6 of the New York Jets runs for a touchdown during the game against Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field on December 19, 2010 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Karl Walter/Getty Images)

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills (5-10)

Best Case: 11-5, 5th Seed, Wild Card; 20 percent

How to get there: Beat Buffalo, Cleveland beats Pittsburgh, and Baltimore beats Cincinnati

Worst Case: 10-6, 6th Seed, Wild Card; 80 percent

How to get here: Either lose to Buffalo, Pittsburgh beats Cleveland, or Cincinnati beats Baltimore

What will happen?

They will beat the Bills and Pittsburgh will beat Cleveland, so they will end up with the sixth seed in the playoffs.

Playoff Odds used throughout this piece via Playoff Status

Outside Looking In: Jacksonville Jaguars (8-7)

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JACKSONVILLE, FL - DECEMBER 26:  Quarterback David Garrard #9 of the Jacksonville Jaguars attempts a pass during the game against the Washington Redskins at EverBank Field on December 26, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Image
JACKSONVILLE, FL - DECEMBER 26: Quarterback David Garrard #9 of the Jacksonville Jaguars attempts a pass during the game against the Washington Redskins at EverBank Field on December 26, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida. (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Image

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (5-10)

Best Case: 9-7, Number 4 seed, AFC South Champions; 14 percent

How to get into the playoffs: Beat Houston, and Indianapolis losses to Tennessee

Worst Case: 8-6, Out of Playoffs; 86 percent

How to sit on the couch during January: Lose to Houston, or Indianapolis win against Tennessee.

What will happen?

Although they will beat the Texans on the road, Peyton Manning will lead the Colts to a victory over the Titans and knock the Jaguars out of the playoffs.  

Playoff Odds used throughout this piece via Playoff Status

NFC Playoff Picture

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ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 27:  Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons looks upfield to pass during the first half of the game against the New Orleans Saints at the Georgia Dome on December 27, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 27: Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons looks upfield to pass during the first half of the game against the New Orleans Saints at the Georgia Dome on December 27, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Now this is where it gets interesting. Even though five of the playoff spots are clinched, the Philadelphia Eagles are the only team that knows what seed they are getting, the third seed. Other than that, it is up for grabs.

The Atlanta Falcons seem to be the favorites for the one seed only needing a win against 2-13 Carolina to clinch the number one seed.

Philadelphia Eagles and Chicago Bears have both clinched their respected division, and with the Eagles embarrassing loss to the Eagles, the Bears have clinched a first-round bye. The Eagles clinched the number three seed.

The tough (to watch) NFC West race will come down to the matchup between the 6-9 Seattle Seahawks and the 7-8 St. Louis Rams, a game flexed by NBC to 8:20 because it is the only game where a definite playoff spot will be decided.

With that being said, here are the best-case, worst-case scenarios for the NFC teams in playoff contention.

1. Atlanta Falcons (12-3)

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ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 27:  Michael Turner #33 of the Atlanta Falcons rushes upfield during the first half of the game against the New Orleans Saints at the Georgia Dome on December 27, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)
ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 27: Michael Turner #33 of the Atlanta Falcons rushes upfield during the first half of the game against the New Orleans Saints at the Georgia Dome on December 27, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers (2-13)

Best Case: 13-3, 1st Seed, NFC South Champion; 95 percent

How to get there: Beat the 2-13 Carolina Panthers; Could even clinch the number one seed with a Saints loss to the Buccaneers, and Bears loss to the Packers, but they don't want to lose to the Panthers.

Bad Case: 12-4, 2nd Seed, NFC South Champion; 1 percent

How to lose out on home-field advantage: Lose to Carolina, Buccaneers lose to the Saints, and the Bears beat the Packers.

Worst Case: 12-4, 5th Seed, Wild Card; 4 percent

How to get here: Die, completely fall apart and lose to the Carolina Panthers, also have the Saints beat the Buccaneers.

What will happen?

The Falcons will beat the Panthers and get the number one seed. This statement is going to be about as interesting as this game.

For why the Falcons-Saints Monday Night game meant nothing, read here.

Playoff Odds used throughout this piece via Playoff Status

2. Chicago Bears (11-4)—Clinched NFC North and First Round Bye

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CHICAGO, IL - DECEMBER 26: Jay Cutler #6 of the Chicago Bears throws a pass against the New York Jets rushes at Soldier Field on December 26, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois. The Bears defeated the Jets 38-34.  (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
CHICAGO, IL - DECEMBER 26: Jay Cutler #6 of the Chicago Bears throws a pass against the New York Jets rushes at Soldier Field on December 26, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois. The Bears defeated the Jets 38-34. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (9-6)

Best Case: 12-4, 1st Seed, NFC North Champion; 1 percent

How to get there: Beat Green Bay, Atlanta loses to Carolina, and New Orleans loses to Tampa Bay

Worst Case : 11-5, 2nd Seed, NFC North Champion; 99 percent

How to miss home-field advantage: Either lose to the Packers, Falcons beat the Panthers, or the Saints beat the Buccaneers. Either way, that's a pretty good worst case.

What will happen?

They will lose to the Packers, but will still end up with the number two seed and a first-round bye.

Playoff Odds used throughout this piece via Playoff Status

3. Philadelphia Eagles (11-4)—Clinched NFC East and Number 3 Seed

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - DECEMBER 19:  Michael Vick #7 of the Philadelphia Eagles rushes against the New York Giants at New Meadowlands Stadium on December 19, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - DECEMBER 19: Michael Vick #7 of the Philadelphia Eagles rushes against the New York Giants at New Meadowlands Stadium on December 19, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys (5-10)

There is no best-case, worst case here. The embarrassing loss to the Minnesota Vikings means that they will end with the number three seed. The Eagles will not have a first-round bye and they will host the sixth seed at home in the Wild Card round.

They will play either the Packers, Giants, or Buccaneers in Philadelphia to open the playoffs.

4. INSERT NFC West Champion

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NEW ORLEANS, LA - DECEMBER 12:  Quarterback Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams looks to throw a pass during the game against the New Orleans Saints at the Louisiana Superdome on December 12, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana. The Saints defeated the Rams
NEW ORLEANS, LA - DECEMBER 12: Quarterback Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams looks to throw a pass during the game against the New Orleans Saints at the Louisiana Superdome on December 12, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana. The Saints defeated the Rams

St. Louis Rams (7-8) at Seattle Seahawks (6-9)

These teams will meet in week 17 to prove who is the best of the NFC Worst. This will be a team without a winning record, yet they will be hosting a playoff game against a team with 4-5 more wins than them

Best Case: Neither of these teams make the playoffs

Worst Case: One of these teams makes the playoffs and hosts an 11-12 win team.

What Will Happen? This isn't even worth talking about.

5. New Orleans Saints (11-4)

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ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 27:  Quarterback Drew Brees #9 of the New Orleans Saints looks upfield to pass in the second half during the game against the Atlanta Falcons at the Georgia Dome on December 27, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Scott Halleran/Ge
ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 27: Quarterback Drew Brees #9 of the New Orleans Saints looks upfield to pass in the second half during the game against the Atlanta Falcons at the Georgia Dome on December 27, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Scott Halleran/Ge

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-6)

Best Case: 12-4, 1st Seed, NFC South Champions; 4 percent

How to clinch first-round bye: Beat Tampa Bay, and have Carolina beat Atlanta

Worst Case: 11-5, 5th Seed, Wild Card; 96 percent

How to play in the Wild Card round: Either have the Falcons beat the Panthers, or lose to the Buccaneers.

What will happen?

Although the Saints will beat the Buccaneers, the Falcons will lock up home-field advantage and the NFC South with a victory over the Panthers. This will cause the Saints to get the fifth seed and they will be forced to defend the Super Bowl on the road.

Playoff Odds used throughout this piece via Playoff Status

6. Green Bay Packers (9-6)

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GREEN BAY, WI - DECEMBER 26:  Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers is chased out of the pocket against the New York Giants at Lambeau Field on December 26, 2010 in Green Bay, Wisconsin.  (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)
GREEN BAY, WI - DECEMBER 26: Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers is chased out of the pocket against the New York Giants at Lambeau Field on December 26, 2010 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears (11-4)

Best Case: 10-6, 6th Seed, Wild Card;  66 percent

How to clinch first-round bye: Beat Chicago; or losses by the Giants and Buccaneers (they would not need a win in this case).

Worst Case: 9-7, Out of Playoffs; 34 percent

How to sit at home in January: Lose to the Bears, and have either the Buccaneers (Saints) or Giants (Redskins) win.

What will happen?

The Packers will take care of the Bears and they will get the sixth seed and they will be forced to play in Philadelphia to start the playoffs.

Playoff Odds used throughout this piece via Playoff Status

Outside Lookin In: New York Giants (9-6)

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GREEN BAY, WI - DECEMBER 26:  Eli Manning #10 of the New York Giants throws against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on December 26, 2010 in Green Bay, Wisconsin.  (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)
GREEN BAY, WI - DECEMBER 26: Eli Manning #10 of the New York Giants throws against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on December 26, 2010 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)

New York Giants at Washington Redskins (6-9) 

Best Case: 10-6, 6th Seed, Wild Card; 28 percent

How to back into the playoffs: Beat the Redskins and have the Bears beat the Packers

Worst Case: 9-7, Out of Playoffs; 72 percent

How to miss out on the playoffs: A loss to the Redskins, or a Packers win over the Bears.

What will happen?

The Giants will beat the Redskins, but the Packers will win causing the Packers to get the sixth and final playoff spot and will leave the Giants on the outside looking in.

Playoff Odds used throughout this piece via Playoff Status

Outside Looking In: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-6)

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LANDOVER, MD - DECEMBER 12:  Josh Freeman #5 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers scrambles during the game against the Washington Redskins  at FedExField on December 12, 2010 in Landover, Maryland. The Buccaneers defeated the Redskins 17-16. (Photo by Larry Frenc
LANDOVER, MD - DECEMBER 12: Josh Freeman #5 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers scrambles during the game against the Washington Redskins at FedExField on December 12, 2010 in Landover, Maryland. The Buccaneers defeated the Redskins 17-16. (Photo by Larry Frenc

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (11-4)

Best Case: 10-6, 6th Seed, Wild Card; 7 percent

How to make the playoffs: Beat New Orleans, and have the Bears beat the Packers and the Redskins beat the Giants.

Worst Case: 9-7, Out of playoffs; 93 percent

How to miss the playoffs: Lose to New Orleans, or have either the Packers or Giants win

What will happen?

The Packers will beat the Bears, so even if the Bucs beat the Saints, they would still not make the playoffs.

Playoff Odds used throughout this piece via Playoff Status

Projected Final Standings

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ATLANTA - NOVEMBER 07:  The Atlanta Falcons cheerleaders peform during the game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Georgia Dome on November 7, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
ATLANTA - NOVEMBER 07: The Atlanta Falcons cheerleaders peform during the game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Georgia Dome on November 7, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Time to celebrate and cheer. It is time for some NFL playoffs. Here are my projected standings for both the NFC and AFC.

AFC Final Standings

1. New England Patriots (14-2)

2. Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)

3. Kansas City Chiefs (11-5)

4. Indianapolis Colts (10-6)

5. Baltimore Ravens (12-4)

6. New York Jets (11-5)

Just Missed: Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7)

NFC Final Standings

1. Atlanta Falcons (13-3)

2. Chicago Bears (11-5); Have tiebreaker over Eagles for regular season victory over Philadelphia

3. Philadelphia Eagles (11-5)

4. Seattle/ St. Louis, an embarrassment to the NFL playoffs.

5. New Orleans Saints (12-4)

6. Green Bay Packers (10-6)

Just Missed: New York Giants (10-6) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7)

Now, what will happen in the playoffs? Yes, that's right, I'm talking about playoffs.

NFL Playoff Picks

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MIAMI GARDENS, FL - FEBRUARY 07:  A detail of the Vince Lombardi Trophy as the New Orleans Saints celebrate after defeating the Indianapolis Colts during Super Bowl XLIV on February 7, 2010 at Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.  (Photo by Jonatha
MIAMI GARDENS, FL - FEBRUARY 07: A detail of the Vince Lombardi Trophy as the New Orleans Saints celebrate after defeating the Indianapolis Colts during Super Bowl XLIV on February 7, 2010 at Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Jonatha

No over-analyzing here, just plain and simple picks. You are entitled to your own opinion, just like I am to mine.

Wild Card Round:

AFC: #3 Kansas City Chiefs over #6 New York Jets; #5 Baltimore Ravens over #4 Indianapolis Colts

NFC: #3 Philadelphia Eagles over #6 Green Bay Packers ; #5 New Orleans Saints over #4 NFC West Team

Divisional Round:

AFC: #1 New England Patriots over #5 Ravens; # 3 Chiefs at #2 Pittsburgh Steelers

NFC: #1 Atlanta Falcons over #5 Saints; #3 Eagles over #2 Chicago Bears

Championship Round

AFC: #2 Steelers over #1 Patriots

NFC: #1 Falcons over #3 Eagles

Super Bowl:

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons in a rematch of their first game of the season, but this time the results will be different. Matt Ryan will bring the city of Atlanta its second championship in any sport.

Call me a homer, but I don't care. I am a fan that has faith in his team to do special things. But let me know what you think, I know you have your opinions, and you have that right, just like I do.

Who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy in Big D?

Let the Debate Begin.

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