College Football Power Rankings

CFB Power Rankings

9/1/2008 Rankings

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

September 1st, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible Division-I FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team.

All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

 

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
1.	Ohio State Buckeyes	0	98.6%	48.2	7.1
2.	Georgia Bulldogs	0	96.6%	45.7	9.8
3.	Oklahoma Sooners	0	96.0%	48.3	16.1
4.	LSU Tigers	0	94.1%	42.5	10.8
5.	USC Trojans	0	93.8%	40.8	9.9
6.	Florida Gators	+3	91.1%	42.5	16.7
7.	W. Virginia Mountaineers	-1	90.8%	42.4	18.4
8.	Texas Longhorns	+2	89.9%	42.1	18.5
9.	Alabama Crimson Tide	+3	86.8%	35.5	15.1
10.	Missouri Tigers	-2	86.7%	42.6	22.3
11.	Wisconsin Badgers	0	82.1%	34.2	16.9
12.	Kansas Jayhawks	+2	80.7%	39.2	23.6
13.	Clemson Tigers	-6	80.2%	32.8	17.5
14.	WF Demon Deacons	+2	79.4%	31.3	16.4
15.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-2	78.8%	34.3	19.9
16.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-1	77.4%	34.4	21.1
17.	Auburn Tigers	+2	76.5%	25.6	13.2
18.	South Florida Bulls	0	74.9%	33.6	21.0
19.	Utah Utes	+7	74.4%	30.1	18.0
20.	TCU Horned Frogs	+10	73.3%	26.6	15.9
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
21.	Cincinnati Bearcats	+3	72.8%	32.3	20.9
22.	Tennessee Volunteers	+1	71.3%	35.0	24.0
23.	Brigham Young Cougars	-2	71.2%	33.2	23.0
24.	Oregon Ducks	+7	70.7%	30.3	19.8
25.	Penn State Nittany Lions	+13	69.8%	30.9	21.7
26.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	+1	69.4%	36.1	27.4
27.	East Carolina Pirates	+10	69.3%	31.3	22.9
28.	Fresno State Bulldogs	-8	69.2%	35.5	26.6
29.	Purdue Boilermakers	-4	68.8%	31.2	22.8
30.	Kentucky Wildcats	+22	68.6%	26.2	17.4
31.	Arizona Wildcats	+18	68.6%	31.3	23.3
32.	Michigan Wolverines	-4	67.1%	28.2	20.4
33.	California Golden Bears	+2	67.0%	32.5	24.6
34.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	+22	66.5%	31.6	24.0
35.	Kansas State Wildcats	+11	65.8%	32.7	26.5
36.	S. Carolina Gamecocks	+12	64.9%	26.6	20.2
37.	Virginia Tech Hokies	-20	64.9%	22.6	16.3
38.	Florida State Seminoles	-2	63.4%	27.8	21.7
39.	North Carolina Tar Heels	-7	63.0%	30.4	24.9
40.	Connecticut Huskies	+1	62.9%	27.7	21.8
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
41.	Boise State Broncos	-1	62.9%	28.0	22.4
42.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	-3	62.8%	29.7	24.5
43.	Arizona St. Sun Devils	-21	62.7%	29.1	23.7
44.	Houston Cougars	-2	62.2%	29.3	24.1
45.	UCLA Bruins	+5	61.1%	25.3	20.7
46.	Indiana Hoosiers	-3	60.3%	28.0	23.5
47.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	+6	59.5%	25.5	21.5
48.	Nevada Wolf Pack	-1	59.1%	35.8	32.0
49.	GA Tech Yellow Jackets	+13	58.0%	27.6	23.9
50.	Air Force Falcons	+13	56.3%	28.3	25.8
51.	Colorado Buffaloes	+7	56.2%	28.6	25.5
52.	Mississippi Rebels	+8	56.1%	26.9	24.4
53.	UCF Knights	-8	55.3%	22.7	21.0
54.	C. Michigan Chippewas	+1	54.7%	30.7	29.0
55.	Iowa Hawkeyes	+9	54.6%	22.5	21.0
56.	Michigan State Spartans	-12	54.4%	25.8	23.7
57.	Boston College Eagles	+8	52.9%	22.0	20.9
58.	Pittsburgh Panthers	-29	52.3%	23.7	22.9
59.	Maryland Terrapins	-25	51.8%	24.5	24.2
60.	S. Miss Golden Eagles	+21	51.0%	27.8	27.9
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
61.	Arkansas Razorbacks	-10	50.8%	25.2	25.1
62.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	-1	50.7%	31.4	31.6
63.	Ball State Cardinals	+3	50.0%	30.4	31.0
64.	Temple Owls	+10	49.2%	23.5	24.4
65.	Wyoming Cowboys	+3	47.9%	20.0	21.4
66.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	-7	46.9%	18.3	19.9
67.	Navy Midshipmen	+4	46.6%	27.5	29.2
68.	Florida Atlantic Owls	-11	44.0%	25.7	29.1
69.	Northwestern Wildcats	+6	43.5%	24.4	28.0
70.	New Mexico Lobos	-16	43.1%	18.0	21.6
71.	Buffalo Bulls	+19	42.0%	26.6	30.2
72.	Bowling Green Falcons	+12	41.9%	24.0	28.2
73.	Louisville Cardinals	-40	41.3%	26.2	31.1
74.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	-5	40.6%	18.9	24.1
75.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	+7	40.5%	18.7	23.5
76.	Rice Owls	+4	40.1%	24.6	29.1
77.	Duke Blue Devils	+1	40.1%	20.2	25.2
78.	Oregon State Beavers	-8	39.4%	19.5	24.9
79.	Ohio Bobcats	+4	38.4%	21.2	27.3
80.	Virginia Cavaliers	-1	37.5%	16.7	23.0
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
81.	Stanford Cardinal	+23	37.1%	21.9	28.2
82.	Texas A&M Aggies	-10	36.9%	25.3	31.7
83.	W. Michigan Broncos	-6	36.8%	21.0	28.2
84.	Arkansas St. Indians	+8	36.7%	20.3	27.0
85.	Minn. Golden Gophers	-9	36.1%	27.7	34.2
86.	Baylor Bears	+2	35.7%	22.6	29.4
87.	Washington Huskies	-20	34.5%	23.3	31.3
88.	Vanderbilt Commodores	+7	33.9%	18.4	27.0
89.	Troy Trojans	+21	31.5%	17.8	27.3
90.	LA-Monroe Warhawks	-4	28.9%	21.0	31.7
91.	UNLV Rebels	+6	27.8%	20.5	32.2
92.	Memphis Tigers	+7	27.4%	20.2	31.3
93.	Northern Illinois Huskies	+3	27.2%	19.7	31.1
94.	Marshall Thundering Herd	+4	27.0%	20.4	32.2
95.	New Mexico State Aggies	-1	26.8%	20.6	32.3
96.	Hawaii Warriors	-23	26.6%	17.1	29.2
97.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	+9	26.4%	16.3	28.3
98.	Toledo Rockets	+2	25.2%	21.4	33.9
99.	SMU Mustangs	-12	23.2%	20.7	34.2
100.	Colorado St. Rams	-11	23.2%	18.2	32.1
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
101.	LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns	+2	23.1%	21.0	35.4
102.	UTEP Miners	-11	22.8%	19.2	33.4
103.	Washington St. Cougars	-18	22.4%	15.5	29.5
104.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	+7	20.5%	15.1	31.4
105.	Iowa State Cyclones	+10	20.0%	14.3	29.8
106.	E. Michigan Eagles	+7	20.0%	16.7	32.5
107.	Tulane Green Wave	0	19.4%	17.6	34.0
108.	Akron Zips	+4	19.1%	14.9	31.2
109.	Idaho Vandals	-7	18.9%	17.4	33.5
110.	Kent St. Golden Flashes	-17	17.9%	14.5	31.4
111.	UAB Blazers	+3	17.0%	14.3	32.4
112.	NC St. Wolfpack	-4	16.7%	13.2	31.4
113.	Mid Tenn Blue Raiders	-8	15.4%	13.9	32.5
114.	Syracuse Orange	-13	10.5%	12.2	34.3
115.	San Jose State Spartans	+1	10.0%	9.5	32.4
116.	Utah State Aggies	+1	9.5%	12.0	35.7
117.	San Diego State Aztecs	+1	9.4%	11.6	36.1
118.	North Texas Mean Green	-9	8.2%	11.5	36.5
119.	Fla. Int. Golden Panthers	+1	6.7%	10.3	36.9
120.	Army Black Knights	-1	6.7%	8.7	35.0

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