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ARLINGTON, TX - NOVEMBER 21:  Head coach Jason Garrett (R) of the Dallas Cowboys celebrates with quarterback Jon Kitna #3 after scored against the Detroit Lions late in the fourth quarter at Cowboys Stadium on November 21, 2010 in Arlington, Texas.  The C
ARLINGTON, TX - NOVEMBER 21: Head coach Jason Garrett (R) of the Dallas Cowboys celebrates with quarterback Jon Kitna #3 after scored against the Detroit Lions late in the fourth quarter at Cowboys Stadium on November 21, 2010 in Arlington, Texas. The CTom Pennington/Getty Images

NFL Week 12 Picks: Can Jason Garrett's Dallas Cowboys Upset New Orleans Saints?

Tom KinslowNov 24, 2010

NFL picks Week 12 are in and there are a lot of big games on the slate this weekend. Playoff-caliber teams will be meeting to try and sort out the contenders and pretenders as we head into the final stretch of the season.

We have a full Thanksgiving slate as always and a lot of great games on Sunday. Enjoy the picks, but more importantly, enjoy your Thanksgiving holiday. I hope it's a great one with some great food.

New England Vs. Detroit

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FOXBORO, MA - NOVEMBER 21: Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots reacts with teammate Julian Edelman #11 after a touchdown in the second half at Gillette Stadium on November 21, 2010 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)
FOXBORO, MA - NOVEMBER 21: Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots reacts with teammate Julian Edelman #11 after a touchdown in the second half at Gillette Stadium on November 21, 2010 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)

The Patriots are coming off of huge wins against Pittsburgh and Indianapolis and you'd think this could be a slight trap game.

The Lions are usually no pushover and have the type of offense that can keep Detroit in games with Shaun Hill under center. Calvin Johnson is a big threat against a young secondary like New England has but the Patriots have too many weapons.

Look for Tom Brady to carve up the Detroit secondary.

Prediction: New England 34, Detroit 17

New Orleans Vs. Dallas

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NEW ORLEANS - NOVEMBER 21:  Quarterback Drew Brees #9 of the New Orleans Saints waits during a timeout against the Seattle Seahawks at Louisiana Superdome on November 21, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
NEW ORLEANS - NOVEMBER 21: Quarterback Drew Brees #9 of the New Orleans Saints waits during a timeout against the Seattle Seahawks at Louisiana Superdome on November 21, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

It's a rematch from last year where the Cowboys pulled a shocking upset and ended the Saints' bid at an undefeated season.

The Cowboys are rolling with two straight wins but I wouldn't count on there being a repeat of last year's magical upset if I'm a Dallas fan. Drew Brees and company are rolling and it's going to be tough for the Cowboys to slow that offense down.

Look for the Saints to continue their playoff push with a big win.

Prediction: New Orleans 38, Dallas 20

Cincinnati Vs. NY Jets

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 21:  Mark Sanchez #6 of the New York Jets looks to throw a pass against the Houston Texans on November 21, 2010 at the New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 21: Mark Sanchez #6 of the New York Jets looks to throw a pass against the Houston Texans on November 21, 2010 at the New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

It's hard to explain how it keeps happening, but the New York Jets keep winning football games.

Mark Sanchez has helped lead his team back from what seemed like certain defeat the past few weeks, and the Jets are starting to get that vibe around them like the Saints had last year. Meanwhile, the Bengals are just an utter disaster.

I think the Jets finally win in a blowout.

Prediction: New York 41, Cincinnati 24

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Minnesota Vs. Washington

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MINNEAPOLIS - NOVEMBER 21:  Quarterback Brett Favre #4 of the Minnesota Vikings looks for an open receiver while playing the Green Bay Packers at the Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome on November 21, 2010 in Minneapolis, Minnesota.  (Photo by Matthew Stockman/
MINNEAPOLIS - NOVEMBER 21: Quarterback Brett Favre #4 of the Minnesota Vikings looks for an open receiver while playing the Green Bay Packers at the Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome on November 21, 2010 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/

This is a game between two teams that are going nowhere fast.

The Vikings are all but done and now it's time to see what Leslie Frazier has as the head coach of the football team. Brett Favre is the guy and we'll see how he plays without having to deal with Brad Childress as his coach.

I think Washington takes advantage of a bad Vikings team.

Prediction: Washington 27, Minnesota 16

Pittsburgh Vs. Buffalo

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PITTSBURGH - NOVEMBER 21:  Ben Roethlisberger #7 of the Pittsburgh Steelers drops back to pass against the Oakland Raiders during the game on November 21, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)
PITTSBURGH - NOVEMBER 21: Ben Roethlisberger #7 of the Pittsburgh Steelers drops back to pass against the Oakland Raiders during the game on November 21, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)

The Buffalo Bills have been circling the wagons like no other team in the league the past few weeks, but all good things must come to an end.

The Steelers are just too good and have too many weapons for Buffalo to be able to keep pace with Pittsburgh in this game. Buffalo will make plays in the passing game but it won't be enough for the Bills to keep pace.

Look for Mike Wallace to have a big game for the Steelers.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 31, Buffalo 13

Tennessee Vs. Houston

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NASHVILLE, TN - NOVEMBER 21:  Andre Carter #99 of the Washington Redskins tackles Chris Johnson #28 of the Tennessee Titans at LP Field on November 21, 2010 in Nashville, Tennessee. The Redskins won 19-16 in overtime.  (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Imag
NASHVILLE, TN - NOVEMBER 21: Andre Carter #99 of the Washington Redskins tackles Chris Johnson #28 of the Tennessee Titans at LP Field on November 21, 2010 in Nashville, Tennessee. The Redskins won 19-16 in overtime. (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Imag

It's just a total mess in Tennessee right now.

The whole sage between Vince Young and Jeff Fisher has turned into a major distraction, and not only that, the Titans have to start Rusty Smith on Sunday. I don't care how bad Houston's defense is, but he can't be productive after being a late draft pick out of Florida Atlantic.

Look for Houston to win this game easily.

Prediction: Houston 38, Tennessee 13

Jacksonville Vs. NY Giants

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JACKSONVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 21:  David Garrard #9  of the Jacksonville Jaguars is chased down by Marcus Bernard #58 during a game agaisnt the Cleveland Browns at EverBank Field on November 21, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty I
JACKSONVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 21: David Garrard #9 of the Jacksonville Jaguars is chased down by Marcus Bernard #58 during a game agaisnt the Cleveland Browns at EverBank Field on November 21, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty I

The Jacksonville Jaguars are leading the AFC South right now. I'm not sure how.

I thought the Tennessee Titans left the Jags for dead after their Monday night matchup a couple of weeks ago, but Jacksonville has rebounded since then and with the win over the Colts earlier in the year, the Jaguars lead the South.

I think the Giants continue to slide as David Garrard plays another solid game.

Prediction: Jacksonville 31, New York 27

Carolina Vs. Cleveland

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JACKSONVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 21:  Colt McCoy #12  of the Cleveland Browns warms up during a game agaisnt the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Field on November 21, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)
JACKSONVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 21: Colt McCoy #12 of the Cleveland Browns warms up during a game agaisnt the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Field on November 21, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)

The Carolina Panthers are destined for the first pick in the draft. It's really that simple.

Carolina is a total mess right now and the Browns are a scrappy team that has beaten some of the best teams in the league. I think the Browns are going to cruise to an easy win in this game. The Panthers do not have much talent on the roster, but  lot of it is banged up.

Look for the Browns to win easy.

Prediction: Cleveland 31, Carolina 10

Baltimore Vs. Tampa Bay

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CHARLOTTE, NC - NOVEMBER 21:  Ray Rice #27 of the Baltimore Ravens against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium on November 21, 2010 in Charlotte, North Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
CHARLOTTE, NC - NOVEMBER 21: Ray Rice #27 of the Baltimore Ravens against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium on November 21, 2010 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)

This is going to be a great game between some of the best teams in the league.

Josh Freeman is playing great football this year, and it's a big reason why the Bucs are playing as well as they are this year. Baltimore is rolling this year as well and the offense has combined with that defense to form a Super Bowl contending team.

Look for the Ravens to pull this one out late though.

Prediction: Baltimore 31, Tampa Bay 27

Philadelphia Vs. Chicago

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PHILADELPHIA - NOVEMBER 21:  Michael Vick #7 of the Philadelphia Eagles looks on against the New York Giants at Lincoln Financial Field on November 21, 2010 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
PHILADELPHIA - NOVEMBER 21: Michael Vick #7 of the Philadelphia Eagles looks on against the New York Giants at Lincoln Financial Field on November 21, 2010 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)

Who thought this would be a game between two of the top NFC teams before the season started?

Don't worry, I'll wait.

The Eagles are playing the best football in the NFC right now, and while the Bears do have a surprisingly good record, Chicago will be exposed down the stretch in the NFC, and it will start with this game against Philly.

Prediction: Philadelphia 26, Chicago 13

Green Bay Vs. Atlanta

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ST. LOUIS - NOVEMBER 21: Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons passes against the St. Louis Rams at the Edward Jones Dome on November 21, 2010 in St. Louis, Missouri.  The Falcons beat the Rams 34-17.  (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)
ST. LOUIS - NOVEMBER 21: Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons passes against the St. Louis Rams at the Edward Jones Dome on November 21, 2010 in St. Louis, Missouri. The Falcons beat the Rams 34-17. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)

This is a possible NFC Championship Game preview as the Falcons and Packers square off.

Matt Ryan is almost unstoppable at home and Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are rolling after beating the Vikings down and rebounding from some injuries earlier in the season. The Falcons have a potent offense and it will be a tough challenge for Green Bay.

I'm not betting against Matt Ryan at home.

Prediction: Atlanta 31, Green Bay 28

Miami Vs. Oakland

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PITTSBURGH - NOVEMBER 21:  Jason Campbell #8 of the Oakland Raiders hands the ball off to teammate Darren McFadden #20 during the game against the Pittsburgh Steelers on November 21, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Jared Wicker
PITTSBURGH - NOVEMBER 21: Jason Campbell #8 of the Oakland Raiders hands the ball off to teammate Darren McFadden #20 during the game against the Pittsburgh Steelers on November 21, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jared Wicker

This is an interesting game because the Miami Dolphins' season is all but done after last week's loss to Chicago.

Oakland had a tough loss against Pittsburgh last week, but are still very much alive in the AFC West, where three teams are going to be fighting for one playoff spot. The Raiders struggled last week, but they will rebound and beat the Dolphins.

Look for Darren McFadden to have a good game and set the tempo for the Raiders.

Prediction: Oakland 27, Miami 16

Kansas City Vs. Seattle

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DENVER - NOVEMBER 14:  Center Casey Wiegman #62 and Jon Asamoah #73 of the Kansas City Chiefs team up to block Justin Bannan #97 of the Denver Bronco to protect quarterback Matt Cassel #7 at INVESCO Field at Mile High on November 14, 2010 in Denver, Color
DENVER - NOVEMBER 14: Center Casey Wiegman #62 and Jon Asamoah #73 of the Kansas City Chiefs team up to block Justin Bannan #97 of the Denver Bronco to protect quarterback Matt Cassel #7 at INVESCO Field at Mile High on November 14, 2010 in Denver, Color

The Seattle Seahawks can be a dangerous team at home, but the Chiefs will find a way to get things done on Sunday.

The Kansas City running game is just too potent for the Seahawks to defend, and I'm not a huge fan of the Seattle offense, even though Mike Williams is having a very strong year and shaking the bust label coming out of USC.

Look for Matt Cassel to keep the Chiefs in first place with a big win.

Prediction: Kansas City 26, Seattle 10

St. Louis Vs. Denver

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ST. LOUIS - NOVEMBER 21: Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams passes against the Atlanta Falcons at the Edward Jones Dome on November 21, 2010 in St. Louis, Missouri.  The Falcons beat the Rams 34-17.  (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)
ST. LOUIS - NOVEMBER 21: Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams passes against the Atlanta Falcons at the Edward Jones Dome on November 21, 2010 in St. Louis, Missouri. The Falcons beat the Rams 34-17. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)

The St. Louis Rams are going to be in almost every game they play this year.

Sam Bradford has this team believing and it's clear that there's been a culture change for the Rams after this past year. It's good to see that a proud franchise like the Rams can turn things around and have a shot at a playoff berth.

I think the Rams beat a sputtering Denver team, even if they're going on the road to try and do it.

Prediction: St. Louis 23, Denver 20

San Diego Vs. Indianapolis

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HOUSTON - NOVEMBER 07:  Quarterback Philip Rivers #17 of the San Diego Chargers looks for a receiver as linebacker Brian Cushing #56 of the Houston Texans applies pressure at Reliant Stadium on November 7, 2010 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Gett
HOUSTON - NOVEMBER 07: Quarterback Philip Rivers #17 of the San Diego Chargers looks for a receiver as linebacker Brian Cushing #56 of the Houston Texans applies pressure at Reliant Stadium on November 7, 2010 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Bob Levey/Gett

Here come the San Diego Chargers on another late season run, and the next road block is the Indianapolis Colts.

The Colts are banged up and coming off a close loss to the rival New England Patriots. That has to still be stinging as Indy prepares for San Diego. The Chargers are on such a roll right now and Philip Rivers is playing so well that they'll be hard to beat, even with the Colts playing at home.

That's right, I'm betting against Peyton Manning at night.

Prediction: San Diego 31, Indianapolis 28

San Francisco Vs. Arizona

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SAN FRANCISCO - NOVEMBER 14:  Troy Smith #1 of the San Francisco 49ers in action against the St. Louis Rams at Candlestick Park on November 14, 2010 in San Francisco, California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
SAN FRANCISCO - NOVEMBER 14: Troy Smith #1 of the San Francisco 49ers in action against the St. Louis Rams at Candlestick Park on November 14, 2010 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

This is the worst Monday Night Football matchup of the year. It isn't even close.

Nothing says futility like having two NFC West teams go up against each other in the primetime spotlight. That division is by far the worst in football and we may have a division winner with a record below .500. I can just see people betting against them in the playoffs and getting big wins off it.

I'll take San Francisco, but I'm not happy about it.

Prediction: San Francisco 17, Arizona 13

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