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CHICAGO - NOVEMBER 14: Jay Cutler #6 of the Chicago Bears drops back to look for a receiver against the Minnesota Vikings at Soldier Field on November 14, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois. The Bears defeated the Vikings 27-13. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Ima
CHICAGO - NOVEMBER 14: Jay Cutler #6 of the Chicago Bears drops back to look for a receiver against the Minnesota Vikings at Soldier Field on November 14, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois. The Bears defeated the Vikings 27-13. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty ImaJonathan Daniel/Getty Images

NFL Picks Week 11: Thursday Night Football and Predictions For Every Game

Matt RudnitskyNov 18, 2010

NFL Picks are here for Week 11.

Thursday night football continues this week, with the Chicago Bears visiting the Miami Dolphins.

In other action, The Houston Texans visit the New York Jets, the Indianapolis Colts match up with the New England Patriots, and the New York Giants travel to face the Philaelphia Eagles.

It will be an exciting week in the NFL, despite the small number of divisional matchups (the Giants-Eagles game is the only important one).

So, with the early start this week; it's time to make some picks.

Miami Dolphins (-1) Over Chicago Bears

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ARLINGTON, TX - SEPTEMBER 02:  Quarterback Tyler Thigpen #16 of the Miami Dolphins  during a preseason game at Cowboys Stadium on September 2, 2010 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
ARLINGTON, TX - SEPTEMBER 02: Quarterback Tyler Thigpen #16 of the Miami Dolphins during a preseason game at Cowboys Stadium on September 2, 2010 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

Miami Dolphins (-1) Over Chicago Bears

Tyler Thigpen will surprise people tonight; the kid can play.

But if Cutler can cut down on the interceptions (possible, but not likely), I see this going differently.

I'll work under the assumption that Cutler will turn the ball over at least twice, and the Dolphins capitalize.

Dolphins 26, Bears 20

Pittsburgh Steelers (-7.5) Over Oakland Raiders

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PITTSBURGH - NOVEMBER 14:  Rashard Mendenhall #34 of the Pittsburgh Steelers is tackled by Rob Ninkovich #50 of the New England Patriots during the game on November 14, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Imag
PITTSBURGH - NOVEMBER 14: Rashard Mendenhall #34 of the Pittsburgh Steelers is tackled by Rob Ninkovich #50 of the New England Patriots during the game on November 14, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Imag

Pittsburgh Steelers (-7.5) Over Oakland Raiders

You can't beat Pittsburgh with the run, and everything Oakland does on offense relies on getting the ground game going.

The Raiders are improving, but this is a bad matchup for them.

Steelers 30, Raiders 16

New York Jets (-7) Over Houston Texans

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CLEVELAND - NOVEMBER 14:  Quarterback Mark Sanchez #6 of the New York Jets celebrates with Brandon Moore #65 after scoring a touchdown against the Cleveland Browns  at Cleveland Browns Stadium on November 14, 2010 in Cleveland, Ohio.  (Photo by Matt Sulli
CLEVELAND - NOVEMBER 14: Quarterback Mark Sanchez #6 of the New York Jets celebrates with Brandon Moore #65 after scoring a touchdown against the Cleveland Browns at Cleveland Browns Stadium on November 14, 2010 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Matt Sulli

New York Jets (-7) Over Houston Texans

See: Raiders, Oakland.

Arian Foster won't be able to run on the Jets and Andre Johnson will be (somewhat) shut down by Darrelle Revis.

And the Texans secondary is awful.

Bad matchup for Houston.

Jets 31, Texans 20

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Baltimore Ravens (-10) Over Carolina Panthers

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ATLANTA - NOVEMBER 11:  Ray Rice #27 of the Baltimore Ravens rushes upfield against the Atlanta Falcons at Georgia Dome on November 11, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
ATLANTA - NOVEMBER 11: Ray Rice #27 of the Baltimore Ravens rushes upfield against the Atlanta Falcons at Georgia Dome on November 11, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Baltimore Ravens (-10) Over Carolina Panthers

The Ravens are better than the Panthers at every position on the field.

10 points is a lot, but this is Carolina.

Baltimore 34, Carolina 10

Tampa Bay Bucs (+3) Over San Francisco 49ers

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ATLANTA - NOVEMBER 07:  Quarterback Josh Freeman #5 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers passes against the Atlanta Falcons at Georgia Dome on November 7, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
ATLANTA - NOVEMBER 07: Quarterback Josh Freeman #5 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers passes against the Atlanta Falcons at Georgia Dome on November 7, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Tampa Bay Bucs (+3) Over San Francisco 49ers

Josh Freeman is better than Troy Smith.

And the Bucs are better than the Niners, hands down.

Bucs 27, 49ers 20

Washington Redskins (+7) Over Tennessee Titans

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LANDOVER, MD - NOVEMBER 15:  Donovan McNabb #5 of the Washington Redskins looks to throw a pass  against the Philadelphia Eagles on November 15, 2010 at FedExField in Landover, Maryland.  (Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images)
LANDOVER, MD - NOVEMBER 15: Donovan McNabb #5 of the Washington Redskins looks to throw a pass against the Philadelphia Eagles on November 15, 2010 at FedExField in Landover, Maryland. (Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images)

Washington Redskins (+7) Over Tennessee Titans

The Redskins aren't as bad as they looked on Monday night, and the Titans are struggling.

Great value pick here.

Redskins 23, Titans 20

Detroit Lions (+7) Over Dallas Cowboys

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ORCHARD PARK, NY - NOVEMBER 14:  Leodis McKelvin #28 of the Buffalo Bills strips the ball away from Calvin Johnson #81 of the Detroit Lions at Ralph Wilson Stadium on November 14, 2010 in Orchard Park, New York. Buffalo won 14-12.  (Photo by Rick Stewart/
ORCHARD PARK, NY - NOVEMBER 14: Leodis McKelvin #28 of the Buffalo Bills strips the ball away from Calvin Johnson #81 of the Detroit Lions at Ralph Wilson Stadium on November 14, 2010 in Orchard Park, New York. Buffalo won 14-12. (Photo by Rick Stewart/

Detroit Lions (+7) Over Dallas Cowboys

The most underrated team in the NFL (Detroit) against the most overrated (Dallas).

Don't mistake the Cowboys for a good team after one solid showing.

This is another terrific value pick.

Detroit 27, Dallas 24

Green Bay Packers (-3) Over Minnesota Vikings

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GREEN BAY, WI - NOVEMBER 07: Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers runs out of the pocket while looking for a receiver pursued by Stephen Bowen #72 of the Dallas Cowboys at Lambeau Field on November 7, 2010 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The Packers defeat
GREEN BAY, WI - NOVEMBER 07: Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers runs out of the pocket while looking for a receiver pursued by Stephen Bowen #72 of the Dallas Cowboys at Lambeau Field on November 7, 2010 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The Packers defeat

Green Bay Packers (-3) Over Minnesota Vikings

The Packers are coming off three straight wins (including one over the Vikings), while Minnesota is coming off a bad loss to the Bears.

This could go either way, but I'll take Aaron Rodgers (this decade) over Brett Favre any day.

Packers 28, Vikings 24.

Buffalo Bills (+6) Over Cincinnati Bengals

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ORCHARD PARK, NY - NOVEMBER 14:  Fred Jackson #22 of the Buffalo Bills runs against the Detroit Lions at Ralph Wilson Stadium on November 14, 2010 in Orchard Park, New York.  (Photo by Rick Stewart/Getty Images)
ORCHARD PARK, NY - NOVEMBER 14: Fred Jackson #22 of the Buffalo Bills runs against the Detroit Lions at Ralph Wilson Stadium on November 14, 2010 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Rick Stewart/Getty Images)

Buffalo Bills (+6) Over Cincinnati Bengals

I've said it once (actually, about 50 times); I'll say it again.

Carson Palmer is not a good quarterback anymore.

Cincinnati 23, Buffalo 21

Cleveland Browns (+1.5) Over Jacksonville Jaguars

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CLEVELAND - NOVEMBER 07:  Running back Peyton Hillis #40 of the Cleveland Browns runs the ball against the New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns Stadium on November 7, 2010 in Cleveland, Ohio.  (Photo by Matt Sullivan/Getty Images)
CLEVELAND - NOVEMBER 07: Running back Peyton Hillis #40 of the Cleveland Browns runs the ball against the New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns Stadium on November 7, 2010 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Matt Sullivan/Getty Images)

Cleveland Browns (+1.5) Over Jacksonville Jaguars

The Browns only lose to quality teams.

Despite a 5-4 record; the Jaguars are not a quality team.

Browns 24, Jaguars 13

Arizona Cardinals (+8) Over Kansas City Chiefs

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DENVER - NOVEMBER 14:  Running back Jamaal Charles #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs rushes as Brian Dawkins #20 of the Denver Broncos tries to strip the ball at INVESCO Field at Mile High on November 14, 2010 in Denver, Colorado. The Broncos defeated the Chi
DENVER - NOVEMBER 14: Running back Jamaal Charles #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs rushes as Brian Dawkins #20 of the Denver Broncos tries to strip the ball at INVESCO Field at Mile High on November 14, 2010 in Denver, Colorado. The Broncos defeated the Chi

Arizona Cardinals (+8) Over Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs have been struggling lately, and eight points is a lot.

Chiefs 26, Cardinals 20

Seattle Seahawks (+12) Over New Orleans Saints

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CHARLOTTE, NC - NOVEMBER 07:  Drew Brees #9 of the New Orleans Saints against the Carolina Panthers during their game at Bank of America Stadium on November 7, 2010 in Charlotte, North Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
CHARLOTTE, NC - NOVEMBER 07: Drew Brees #9 of the New Orleans Saints against the Carolina Panthers during their game at Bank of America Stadium on November 7, 2010 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)

Seattle Seahawks (+12) Over New Orleans Saints

The Saints should roll here, but I will never take a team minus-12 in an NFL game, where anything can happen.

Saints 28, Seahawks 17

St. Louis Rams (+3) Over Atlanta Falcons

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SAN FRANCISCO - NOVEMBER 14:  Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams looks to pass the ball against the San Francisco 49ers at Candlestick Park on November 14, 2010 in San Francisco, California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
SAN FRANCISCO - NOVEMBER 14: Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams looks to pass the ball against the San Francisco 49ers at Candlestick Park on November 14, 2010 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

St. Louis Rams (+3) Over Atlanta Falcons

The upset of the week.

I really like Sam Bradford, and the Falcons aren't as good as everyone is saying.

Rams 23, Falcons 20.

Indianapolis Colts (+3.5) Over New England Patriots

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INDIANAPOLIS - NOVEMBER 14:  Peyton Manning #18 of the Indianapolis Colts throws a pass during the NFL game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 14, 2010 in Indianapolis, Indiana. The Colts won 23-17.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty
INDIANAPOLIS - NOVEMBER 14: Peyton Manning #18 of the Indianapolis Colts throws a pass during the NFL game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 14, 2010 in Indianapolis, Indiana. The Colts won 23-17. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty

Indianapolis Colts (+3.5) Over New England Patriots

The Patriots can be beaten through the air.

Peyton Manning is pretty good.

Colts 34, Patriots 28

New York Giants (+3.5) Over Philadelphia Eagles

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 14:  Eli Manning #10 of the New York Giants looks on against the Dallas Cowboys on November 14, 2010 at the New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 14: Eli Manning #10 of the New York Giants looks on against the Dallas Cowboys on November 14, 2010 at the New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

New York Giants (+3.5) Over Philadelphia Eagles

Take last week's explosion by the Eagles and the Giants' implosion against Dallas out of the equation, and you'll see that the Eagles shouldn't be favored here.

The Giants had an off-week, but if they can keep their turnovers down; they are the best team in the NFC.

Giants 30, Eagles 28

San Diego Chargers (-10) Over Denver Broncos

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HOUSTON - NOVEMBER 07:  Quarterback Philip Rivers #17 of the San Diego Chargers throws downfield as linebacker Brian Cushing #56 of the Houston Texans applies pressure at Reliant Stadium on November 7, 2010 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Im
HOUSTON - NOVEMBER 07: Quarterback Philip Rivers #17 of the San Diego Chargers throws downfield as linebacker Brian Cushing #56 of the Houston Texans applies pressure at Reliant Stadium on November 7, 2010 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Im

San Diego Chargers (-10) Over Denver Broncos

The Chargers are back.

And they will demolish Denver.

Chargers 31, Denver 20

Comments

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LANDOVER, MD - NOVEMBER 15: Dimitri Patterson #23 of the Philadelphia Eagles celebrates a tackle against  the Washington Redskins on November 15, 2010 at FedExField in Landover, Maryland.  (Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images)
LANDOVER, MD - NOVEMBER 15: Dimitri Patterson #23 of the Philadelphia Eagles celebrates a tackle against the Washington Redskins on November 15, 2010 at FedExField in Landover, Maryland. (Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images)

What do you think?

Let me know in the comments.

Last Week's Record: 7-6

Season: 44-30

Matt Rudnitsky is a student at the University of Michigan and a writing intern at Bleacher Report. Follow him on Twitter at https://twitter.com/Mattrud

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