Utah Jazz at Miami Heat Betting Preview: Value In Balanced Miami Offense

The Utah Jazz open a four-game road swing against the Miami Heat’s superstar lineup. Tipoff is at 7:35 PM ET. The Heat have really owned head-to-head home matchups recently, winning eight straight versus the Jazz in South Beach.

The Super Friends for the Miami Heat (5-2) are coming off of their most balanced scoring game in their short time together. Against the New Jersey Nets, all three were over 20 points. Wade led with 29, followed by James at 23 and Bosh at 21.

It took double overtime, but the Utah Jazz (3-3) are coming off of a big come-from-behind victory over the LA Clippers. The Jazz trailed by as much as 18 before coming back to force overtime. Deron Williams was the hero, scoring with 6.8 seconds left in the second overtime to secure the victory.

Williams is starting to improve after a slow start to the season. He shot just 27.3 percent while averaging 15.0 points in the first two games of the season, but is now shooting 48.6 percent and averaging 22.8 points since then.

The Heat have generally been a good under team for NBA betting fans to start the season, with the focus squarely on the defensive side of the ball. They are holding opponents to 86.9 points per game. However, their offense really feeds off of the home crowd. They're averaging 108 points per game at home, which makes the over a definite option.

Both of these teams have lost their last two ATS, but Miami is 2-1 ATS at home while the Jazz are just 1-2 on the road. The NBA spread opened with the Heat at -10, but it has since dropped to -9.

Miami’s ability to cover this number depends largely on whether their last game was a sign that the offense is getting ready to consistently roll opponents.

Betting against the Heat will generally be a good strategy this season, but I’m intrigued by the possibility of finding value in the Heat when the offense finally figures things out.

Now just might be that time.