College Football: Week 10 Predictions for Every D-I FBS Game

Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game, including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win %) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2010 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Locks and Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: TCU at Utah

TCU and Utah should get a quote from the car insurance pitchman and random windstorm known as Mayhem. Because, by the looks of their remaining schedule, their shot at qualifying for the BCS national title game is shaky—shaky, shaky, shaky—at best.

The two undefeated programs are currently stuck in mid-major prison. Granted, Saturday's winner will be allowed to pass go and collect their 200 dollars, but the BCS system will be damned if it'll let them buy Boardwalk or Park Place.

TCU is currently ranked third in the BCS standings (.8911, thanks mainly to their win over Oregon State) and Utah is fifth (.7318, thanks mainly to their win over Pittsburgh). However, when you compare the duo's BCS averages to the top two Oregon (.9777) and (Auburn .9599), potential wins over San Diego State and New Mexico (TCU's final two games) don't scream BCS lock.

The profound fact of the matter is the competition in the Mountain West Conference doesn't carry with it the reputation or the quality needed for the Horned Frogs and Utes to attract BCS attention. It's the reason why Urban Meyer left for Florida and why Utah is jumping to the Pac-10 next season. These two teams are loaded with talent, but the Win/Loss record and stats accumulated through the first nine weeks carry with it the rhetorical stigma of "Who did you play?"

That's enough of the Debbie Downer analysis.

The silver lining is the Utes host the Horned Frogs Saturday in Salt Lake City. One team from the MWC will empower their BCS resume with a win and insure their chances of crashing the BCS party once again. Whatifsports.com has TCU ranked third and Utah ranked 9th in this week's power rankings.

The Horned Frogs offensive attack comes on the ground where they rank ninth in the country in rush yards per game (270.9 yds/gm). But, it's on defense where Gary Patterson's crew can toot their horn(s).

They are the only team in the country allowing less than 10 points per game (8.7 pa/gm). They are also first in pass yards allowed per game (119.0) and ninth in rush yards allowed per game (98.3). When you mix the lock down defense with the 40-plus points TCU rings up each week, it's no surprise they are undefeated.

Utah is more balanced on offense. Both their passing (258.1) and rushing (191.5) attacks rank in the top 35 in the country. Although they only managed 28 points this past weekend against Air Force, the Utes are third in the country in points per game (45.3). Their win over Iowa State sticks out the most because they racked up 68 points on the same Cyclones team that upset Texas a few weeks back.

Similar to a previous Game of the Week, the hyper-offense matchup between Oregon and Stanford, the Utes and Frogs have the defenses to slow each other down. Utah is sixth in points allowed per game at 14.1.

Whatifsports.com's college football simulation engine "played" this game 101 times and the Horned Frogs of TCU win 72.8-percent of the time by an average score of 33-26.

College Football Week 10
Matchup	Win%	Avg Score
Maryland Terrapins	14.9	20	Boxscore
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes	85.1	36
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	34.2	27	Boxscore
@ Virginia Tech Hokies	65.8	32
North Carolina Tar Heels	38.6	26	Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles	61.4	30
North Carolina State Wolfpack	40.6	32	Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers	59.4	33
Virginia Cavaliers	51.0	23	Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils	49.0	22
Boston College Eagles	65.8	26	Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons	34.2	21
Rutgers Scarlet Knights	26.7	16	Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls	73.3	24
Louisville Cardinals	49.5	24	Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange	50.5	25
Minnesota Golden Gophers	5.0	16	Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans	95.0	36
Illinois Fighting Illini	35.6	27	Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines	64.4	32
Northwestern Wildcats	54.5	25	Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions	45.5	24
Wisconsin Badgers	91.1	37	Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers	8.9	16
Iowa Hawkeyes	95.0	43	Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers	5.0	11
Western Michigan Broncos	10.9	14	Boxscore
@ Central Michigan Chippewas	89.1	31
Buffalo Bulls	17.3	17	Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats	82.7	29
Akron Zips	51.0	21	Boxscore
@ Ball State Cardinals	49.0	20
Temple Owls	89.6	32	Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes	10.4	15
Washington Huskies	5.0	14	Boxscore
@ Oregon Ducks	95.0	49
Arizona Wildcats	45.5	33	Boxscore
@ Stanford Cardinal	54.5	34
Arizona State Sun Devils	75.2	32	Boxscore
@ USC Trojans	24.8	25
Oregon State Beavers	75.7	29	Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins	24.3	20
California Golden Bears	93.6	35	Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars	6.4	17
Chattanooga Mocs	5.0	7	Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers	95.0	64
Idaho State Bengals	5.0	9	Boxscore
@ Georgia Bulldogs	95.0	57
Charleston Southern Buccaneers	5.0	8	Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats	95.0	47
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns	22.8	23	Boxscore
@ Mississippi Rebels	77.2	35
Arkansas Razorbacks	53.5	38	Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks	46.5	36
Alabama Crimson Tide	79.2	27	Boxscore
@ LSU Tigers	20.8	18
Florida Gators	95.0	38	Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores	5.0	9
New Mexico State Aggies	5.0	11	Boxscore
@ Utah State Aggies	95.0	38
Hawaii Warriors	11.9	31	Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos	88.1	47
Fresno State Bulldogs	59.9	31	Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	40.1	27
Nevada Wolf Pack	64.4	41	Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals	35.6	36
Air Force Falcons	77.2	25	Boxscore
@ Army Black Knights	22.8	15
Florida Atlantic Owls	88.1	34	Boxscore
@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	11.9	17
Baylor Bears	28.7	34	Boxscore
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys	71.3	42
Oklahoma Sooners	60.4	36	Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies	39.6	34
Missouri Tigers	73.8	37	Boxscore
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders	26.2	27
Colorado Buffaloes	75.2	29	Boxscore
@ Kansas Jayhawks	24.8	17
Texas Longhorns	82.2	28	Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats	17.8	16
Nebraska Cornhuskers	95.0	37	Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones	5.0	12
Rice Owls	22.8	26	Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane	77.2	35
Marshall Thundering Herd	42.6	26	Boxscore
@ UAB Blazers	57.4	28
Navy Midshipmen	42.6	23	Boxscore
@ East Carolina Pirates	57.4	25
UCF Knights	55.4	35	Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars	44.6	32
Southern Methodist Mustangs	60.4	33	Boxscore
@ UTEP Miners	39.6	29
Southern Miss Golden Eagles	75.2	39	Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave	24.8	27
Tennessee Volunteers	95.0	36	Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers	5.0	12
UNLV Rebels	8.9	14	Boxscore
@ Brigham Young Cougars	91.1	29
Colorado State Rams	9.9	17	Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs	90.1	36
TCU Horned Frogs	72.8	33	Boxscore
@ Utah Utes	27.2	26
Wyoming Cowboys	79.7	24	Boxscore
@ New Mexico Lobos	20.3	13
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	59.4	29	Boxscore
@ Arkansas State Red Wolves	40.6	26
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	71.8	29	Boxscore
@ Florida International Golden Panthers	28.2	22
Troy Trojans	94.1	36	Boxscore
@ North Texas Mean Green	5.9	18